China calls itself a “responsible” investor to soothe dollar selling fear

by Zhou | August 11, 2007 at 09:39 pm
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Beijing, Aug 12 – China’s central bank said it is a responsible international investor on Sunday in response to recent market talks that Beijing, the world’s largest foreign exchange reserve holder, may dump dollar-denominated assets. In an exclusive interview with the state-run Xinhua news agency to clarify Beijing’s official stance on the issue, an official with the People’s Bank of China said US dollar-denominated assets, including US government bonds, are important components in China’s foreign exchange reserves portfolio. “China is a responsible investor in the international financial market,” said the central bank official, whose name is not disclosed. China’s foreign exchange reserves reached $1.33 trillion at the end of June, and it is widely speculated that at least two thirds of the assets were in form of dollar-denominated assets.China has never officially revealed the portfolio of its foreign exchange reserve portfolio treating the information as a state secrete. Two Chinese economists with government research institutions, namely He Fan with Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, and Xia Bin, a former central bank official now with the cabinet’s Development Research Center, published comments last week arguing that Beijing could use its large dollar assets as “bargaining chip” if the United States forced China to revalue its currency. The two economists have clarified on local media that their comments only represent academic views instead of any official plans, but their opinions still caused a stir in both the financial and political circles in Washington. US Senator Charles Grassley wrote a letter to Zhou Wenzhong, the Chinese Ambassador in the United States, asking Zhou to clarify the issue. In Sunday’s Xinhua interview, the Chinese central bank official said China hope to increase understanding and to seek consensus with the United States.

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Tom van B
Tom van B
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 01:10 on August 12th, 2007

Zhou, This is a good story and illustrate the sensitivities surrounding monetary influences and tensions between two major economic powers. Good stuff.

0
pcwick

The Chinese are nationalists and do not adhere to "free market" ideology, though they were eager to take the gift of free money from the free marketeers.  They would have been fools not to take gift.  The outcome of US free market policy has been obvious for years to those with eyes to see, but those blinded by greed continue to insist the invisible hand will enrich all worthy.  With $1.3 trillion US, the wishes of the Chinese will be a significant factor in the future decisions of the Fed, and the Chinese will likely accelerate their acquistion of western capital. 

It is possible that the Chinese will pull the plug on the US economy at some point.  Such a decision would wreak havoc with the global economy including China's economy.  The move would be a counter-intuitive to those whose strategic thinking is grounded in economic religiosity.  If the Chinese sell US dollars, it will be a move in a grounded in military stragegy, political-economy, and the history of Asia.  The Chinese will probably wait until after the 2008 Beijing Olympics to make such a move.  They want to showcase China to the world and will probably avoid global disruption.  It seems likely that China will prefer to avoid global economic disruption even after the Olympics, preferring a smooth glide to ascendancy.  It also seems likely that China will remind the US from time to time of the possiblity of the power it has to kill the US economy.

pcwick
pcwick
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 10:28 on August 12th, 2007

Zhou, I like this story. It's good stuff.

Jordan Yerman
Jordan Yerman
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 10:35 on August 12th, 2007

Talk about the lone superpower...

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