Who can afford $1-million houses?

by Barry ORegan | January 5, 2008 at 08:33 am
10366 views | 11 Recommendations | 6 comments

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Who can afford $1-million houses?

Who can afford $1-million houses?

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Opinion

Barry Artiste, Now Public Contributor

The only ones who can truly afford Million dollar homes are well, Millionaires.  Unfortunately for the most of us who purchase what is considered a 1,400 square foot  modest home ($200,000) in the rest of the free world, we are forced to live far beyond our means, resulting in a Cash Poor-House Rich lifestyle.

If ever a setback, such as job loss, divorce, sickness, car or home repair, banks raise the interest rate, or even a tenant who rents your in law suite bails on you and misses a rent payment, any of the above can put you in dire straits.  A Rise in Property Value usually means an ever increasing monthly Crushing Property Tax payments since your home is now assessed at Millionaire Status. The British Columbia Economy is great now, but a political shift or world events in economy could change as it did a scant 5 years ago.  Prime Minister Harper has stated, all is good now, but Canadians should not be to smug. No Truer words spoken.

It's been said some homeowners sometimes have to make a choice of food and clothing over housing payments, some choose housing.  People buy into the hype realtors ("Fear Mongering") love to spread "Buy now, cause they are not making any more land" 

Canadians have witnessed the United States subprime mortgage fiasco whereby homeowners who could not afford a home otherwise, get sticker shock when mortgage rates rise suddenly and they lose their House of Cards, resulting in banks carrying insurmountable debts and losses which are absorbed by banks the world including our banks in Canada.  CIBC and other Canadian Banks lost Billions and Billions in the US Subprime scandal.  Guess how they wish to make that money back for their investors?  Interest rate increases are a good bet. 

My Financial Advisor (of a major Bank) warned me an economic shift  could happen here if mortgage rates  climb a percent or so. So ask yourself, where would your friendly Realtors be then? Most likely counting their commissions, as they win regardless even if you lose your home.

I do have a sound theory based on my years of experiences with Illegal Drug Manufacturing Houses. All  Grow Op and Meth/Cocaine based in residences have a rather large portion (Basement/Inlaw suite) devoted to drug manufacturing activity.  Why? Well there is the criminal profit aspect of it for one and Lax Laws in BC.  The other side of the coin are homeowners desperate to keep their homes and current  standard of living at any cost engage in criminal activity, even if it means endangering the lives of themselves, their children and neighbours.  I meet the majority of these criminal element in my profession and learn they basically do not have a "Pot to Piss In", they have no Savings whatsoever These Criminals both work average jobs outside the home, have children and live in otherwise nice neighbourhoods.  Why do they do this, well someone  approaches them word of mouth and offers them a way to keep their home, either by lending them money, or outright telling them to use their home for drugs.  Once these Homeowners get busted, Municipalities levy fines of around 50-100K and Homeowners always end up homeless and sometimes lose their children.  Ex Drug Houses which escape being busted and unknown in the law enforcement community are usually bought by Savy Realtors or Developers or sold by the Criminal looking to flip these properties for a profit, to unsuspecting homeowners not knowing they were used for Drugs. (Municipalities have records of  homes which were busted for drugs). Not a pretty scenario for homeowners either way to have a "Drug House" stigma attached to your new home.

R.C.M.P.  state  they're close to 20,000 Illegal Drug Labs in the Lower Mainland alone. That is Drug Activity in Homes within a 20 mile radius of Vancouver's downtown core.   That's 20,000 Illegal Drug Labs that we know of, not counting the hundreds if not thousands weekly we do not know about as more and more are being cultivated as I type this report.   We had one home busted and the next day one directly across the street busted, both homeowners not knowing the others existance.

So when Realtors report Real Estate is all "Rosy" in  Vancouver and the Lower Mainland, just know they mean "All is Rosy in their World" as they rake in big money commissions for themselves, certainly not too "Rosy" for families struggling to meet their next Mortgage payment or resorting to Criminal activity to keep a roof over their heads. 

My Final Thought

If you are one of the lucky ones, who can afford your home, count yourself fortunate, for the rest of us, Do not buy into the Realtors "Buy Now" hype.  If Homeownership means to live a lifetime in crushing debt, less quality of family life, stress and health deterioration in the quest to Live Beyond Your Means paycheque to paycheque, that my Friend is "Not Living".


Property values in Vancouver's west side have skyrocketed over the past five years, making the area virtually inaccessible to those without equity

When you drive the streets of Vancouver's west side, virtually every house for sale is worth $1 million or more, which prompts the question: Who is buying them?

The answer is people who are moving up, sometimes after also receiving inheritances or cash gifts from parents.

Still others are stretching themselves in surprising ways with huge mortgages and long periods of interest-only payments to get into the neighbourhood they want to live in, on the premise that appreciation in their equity will keep them afloat.

Don Bull and Donna Toppings hang out in the living room of the Kitsilano half-duplex he bought last April for $1.1 million. His grandmother advised him long ago to buy real estate instead of a car -- and he listened.

Don Bull and Donna Toppings hang out in the living room of the Kitsilano half-duplex he bought last April for $1.1 million. His grandmother advised him long ago to buy real estate instead of a car -- and he listened.

However, there is no getting around previous ownership, because equity is a requirement for entry to the $1-million club.

Don Bull, a 44-year-old independent branding and design consultant, carried equity from three purchases over some 15 years, starting with a 700-square-foot condo at Fourth Avenue and Main Street, to his purchase of a half-duplex in Kitsilano last April for $1.1 million.

"My grandmother, a long time ago, said to me, 'don't buy a car, buy real estate,' " Bull said in an interview. "And that is the only reason I'm in this building today."

Bull added that he doesn't like to boast, because he has almost always lived in the Kitsilano neighbourhood and didn't do anything special to get there except follow some sage advice, buying property with downpayments and making lateral moves at the same time "the market went crazy."

Now, he and interior-designer partner Donna Toppings are comfortably ensconced with a mortgage that is significantly less than 50 per cent of their purchase price.

West side property values have skyrocketed more than 100 per cent over the past five years, which Bull no longer finds shocking, since it is his neighbourhood and he's kept close tabs on the market.

"It almost has a false economy aspect to it," Bull added, because the assessed value of houses doesn't represent cash in the bank.

"[Million-dollar homes] are a function of the economics of the area, and it's only good to me if I move somewhere 400 miles from here. That is the only benefit I'm ever going to see out of it."

Bull's realtor, Lorne Goldman, with Macdonald Realty, said Bull and Topping are fairly typical of the demographic moving into westside million-dollar properties: A bit older, and with substantial equity to bring to a transaction.

Goldman added that more and more, buyers are relying on basement suites to make the economics of westside ownership work.

In making their requests with realtors, he said buyers will list which schools they want to be near, how many bedrooms they need and that they need a basement suite.

"And they need the suite specifically to make the mortgage payments," Goldman added.

However, while million-dollar buyers need equity, not all of them are entering able to cover the majority of their property's value.

Mortgage broker Geoff Willis, a partner in the Vancouver firm Origin Home Financial Partners, said he has dealt with a significant number of thirtysomething professional couples willing to heavily leverage their equity, buying for lifestyle reasons.

Willis said that lenders have catered to the people he has worked with, so long as they have the income, or the equity and good credit, to be in the market.

"As long as you can have the income to qualify for [a mortgage] at the three-year posted rate, you can get any mortgage product you want," Willis added.

For some, Willis said, at the most exotic end, the loan has been an equity line of credit. Buyers take the loans at the prime interest rate, and only have to pay back interest, and they take the loans in order to reduce their monthly payments.

Willis brokered the mortgage for one thirtysomething couple, the husband a utility-company manager and the wife a chartered accountant, who put $300,000 down on a $1.15-million westside house, winding up with an $850,000 mortgage.

A basement suite in the house that rents for $1,500 per month, however, reduces their net mortgage payments from $4,800 to $3,400 per month.

"Really, their upside, from their personal net-worth statement, is in equity appreciation," Willis said. "They're not going to be chunking away at that mortgage anytime soon."

However, Willis said that couple just received their latest property assessment, which has increased $250,000 since they bought their house a year ago.

Willis added that Vancouver buyers are aware of the market's cycles, and that they may have to endure a downturn where values deflate, they are hedging that if and when a downturn hits, it won't erase the equity appreciation they've earned.

In the meantime, Willis said a lot of westside buyers are sacrificing and pouring 40 to 50 per cent of their net income into housing, but do it because it is the neighbourhood they want to live in and worry that if they don't get in now, they never will.

"It is definitely a live-for-now mentality," Willis added.

depenner@png.canwest.com

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Jordan Yerman
Jordan Yerman
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 10:08 on January 5th, 2008

There's a short-sightedness to this beyond adjustable-rate mortgages: even if real estate prices hold (highly unlikely in light of recent developments south of the border), the seller of one of these houses would not be able to stay in the same desireable area: if your house price goes up, its comparables are doing so as well. If you sell your house at a profit, that which doesn't go to a broker will go into the search for, and renovations to, the new abode. You may have something left in terms of profit, but you'd have to move further away from the city center in order to leverage that profit. To me, it just doesn't seem worth it. I'll just wait until the bubble bursts! That may take awhile, since rule #1 of real estate is that emotion rules the day: places are valuable because people say they are, and not necessarily due to any intrinsic benefits.

0
Barry ORegan

Thanks Jordan, so true, even if house prices were a Billion dollars, no use in selling of the next house you buy is over a billion dollars.  Supply and Demand and what the public are willing to pay for it fuels the fear.

 In my research, in 1998 average house prices were 200K with salaries for a middle class person around 50K that's 25% of house purchase price and 7-9% mortgage.  A scant 10 years later, this house is now a Million dollars and 500% more, mortgages 4-5%, yet salaries remain relatively unchanged, perhaps a 10% increase.  It is simple math, the Bubble will burst with the "I told you so" crowd waiting in the wings for a bargain, though at a higher interest rate.   

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SOLARLIFE

Thanks Barry, the voice of reality, thinking of average people! 


No work, no house payments. Hedge funds pulled out of mortgage or seized action.


The article is to apply for next house crash UK. European banks will never aigin be so stupid


to finance risk dept deals. Now you have to have the money , or rent or invest in production


Green economy

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Barry ORegan

Thanks everyone for the comments, certainly this may be a crisis the world over in Western Society as stated by Solarlife.  Overpriced hype by realtors in which the Media who print the Hype and the Banks who are only too willing to lend money.  As I had previously wrote in my Opinion Piece "The Buying of America" and the link below, show Asian Financial Banks and Companies are bailing out American Banks in what can only mean an eventual takeowver of ownership thereby gaining a foothold even more into the American economy, somehow I dont think the Good Times will last when the Asian Tigers call in their Markers from their Borrowers. Unfortunately judging on stories such as mine and others, these stories only get a cursory glance from our readership, validating my point that Britney Spears and other Trivial events get far more hits of interest than our economy or political scene, something I am sure our Political Leaders count on when things such as Hedge Funds go unnoticed without question until too late and the public become personally affected.

http://www.nowpublic.com/culture/buying-america

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Barry ORegan

Below is a Financial Analysis link validating my stories past and present on the economy and our complacency for easy credit. 

http://finance.sympatico.msn.ca/Investing/CanadianBusiness/Article.aspx?cp-documentid=5957804

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August K

The realm of foreclosures left some of us homeless. In this struggling economy, it is hard to buy a house with a big ticket item. Everyone needs some short term financing now and again. Eventually some of us want to own homes, so if your credit rating isn't exactly good, then attempting to repair your credit would be a good idea. Well, getting payday loans now and again to make higher than minimum payments isn't a bad step to take. You might also make some alterations in your personal budget to make more payments and get out from under the cloud of debt. It could save you from worrying about payday loans later on if you repair your credit.

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First Flagged at 10:08 AM, Jan 5, 2008 by Jordan Yerman
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