No Difference in Recidivism Among Legal vs. Illegal Immigrants

by ScienceDave | February 23, 2008 at 12:13 pm
851 views | 20 Recommendations | 8 comments

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I often hear the tired, old mantra, "Illegal immigrants are the source of all crime in our most blessed country, "X".  However, according to a recent studied published in the peer reviewed journal Criminology and Public Policy, the incidence of recidivism (reoffending) of exconvicts who are illegal immigrants (i.e. are deportable) was no higher than that of legal immigrants.

 

Researchers studied nearly 1,300 male immigrants released from jail over a 30-day period and followed them for a year to see whether there were differences in recidivism between the deportable and nondeportable immigrants.

Immigrants who were deportable — deemed so because they entered the United States illegally, overstayed their visas or committed other violations — were no more likely to be rearrested during the study period when compared to similar legal or naturalized immigrants.

“Our findings run counter to the notion that illegal immigrants are more likely than other immigrants to cycle in and out of the local criminal justice system,” said Laura Hickman, assistant professor with the Criminal Justice Policy Research Institute at Portland State University and a researcher at RAND, a nonprofit research organization.

Hickman and co-author Marika Suttorp of RAND found that a higher percentage of deportable immigrants were rearrested at least once during the following year — 43 percent compared to 35 percent. But when researchers compared deportable immigrants to similar nondeportable immigrants — considering factors such as age, ethnicity, country of birth, and type of criminal arrest — the differences disappeared.

The results of this study are significant because the researchers were able to show that the difference in the simple percentages of rearrest between the groups (43 versus 35) was due to the influence of the other factors like age, ethnicity, and criminal history related to recidivism. When these factors were accounted for in the analysis, immigration status had no influence on rearrest.

Unfortunately, I was unable to obtain a copy of the article, and cannot verify the press release's claims. 

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Jordan Yerman

I would think that what happens between conviction and release has far more bearing on recidivism than nation of origin.

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ScienceDave

When I came across this, I thought "Of course?"

Amy Judd
Amy Judd
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 12:51 on February 23rd, 2008

ScienceDave, I like this story. It's good stuff. It's interesting because as you said at the beginning of your article, many residents of a country often blame 'the foreigners' for bringing more crime and unrest to their country. So it's interesting to note that they don't bring up the crime rate anymore. It would be interesting to see a copy of the article too.

Jordan Yerman
Jordan Yerman
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 12:53 on February 23rd, 2008

ScienceDave, I like this story. It's good stuff.

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the 48th ronin

http://www.rand.org/news/press/2008/02/22/index1.html


 


Of course a comparison of recidivism between two groups is affected by the accuracy of the data.


 


Given that illegal aliens tend to use a readily available supply of FALSE I D ( check out the bus crash in Minnesota last week for a example) to change names when they need to, how much is the release of this very flawed and very small "study" influenced by the availability of GRANTS to produce propaganda thanks to the new "change the attitude" campaign of the Mexican government?


 


This was released a few days ago under the headline "Study: Illegals No More a Public Safety Threat Than Other Immigrants "  at http://www.usnews.com/blogs/news-desk/2008/02/22/study-illegals-no-more-a-public-safety-threat-than-other-immigrants.html which was an example of the Dr Goebbels school of journalism.


 

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the 48th ronin

The actual study in PDF


http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1745-9133.2008.00491.x

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ScienceDave

You need to have a subscription, or pay for that pdf.

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the 48th ronin

Your point is?


 


Didn't you feel like it was your DUTY as a journalist to either PAY or find some other way to verify before repeating the press releases propaganda?


 


I will not give public instruction on using the internet to bypass the intellectual property rights of even as agenda driven an organization as the RAND.  Pay or steal or just admit you didn't care to find out but wanted to trumpet someone else's views of something you have never seen... OH that's right you already did that.   Maybe you could take up a collection to help you pay for the material you are propagandizing?  How much help do you need raising the $29?


 


This is a news posting site, and intellectual property rights and VALUE of original work is part of the sites reason to exist right?


 

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Amy Judd
First Flagged at 12:51 PM, Feb 23, 2008 by Amy Judd
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