NP Rank:
The agricultural apocalypse and the upcoming food shortage.
By, Uwe Paschen.
Climatology and Agriculture are by far not a simple science nor easily understood by simply reading a couple of articles or even books about it. Why it is so difficult to follow and make sense of it all. Yet, one way it could be explained, or at least in part is through a Simple Physical example.
If we have a building, let say with an Olympic size Swimming pool. Wish is rather large. In addition, we put good water in it and equip it with a good filtering system for the water as well as for the air. Then we put fish and plants in it, as well as insects and animals, and build a perfect self sustainable eco system so once balanced out we can shot off the machines and filters since all it needs is the Sun to keep the cycle going.
Once we achieved all that, we introduce Humans. All is still fine and well balanced. However, now we put more and more Humans in there and give them tools as well. Those generate heat, not only body heat, but also heat from the tools and fires they make to be more comfortable. And they cut the plants in to great numbers for food and fire, now being cut those plants are no longer there to filter the waste and this waste now runs directly into the water and the fish and plants there start dying….
Very fast the exes heat generated over heats the building and kills all the plants and insects that are not adapted to those higher temperatures. The polluted water kills the rest. Now all this dead organic matter starts to decompose and generates a lot of Methane Gas that causes even more pollution and heat, very soon nothing can live in that building any longer. Other then some anaerobe bacteria, that may still be able to strive unless the acidity has gone up to much for them to exist and then it would be a Chemical nightmare.
The Earth is constantly trying to maintain a very delicate balance in order to keep life striving and staying alive as a planet that is rather unique in our Solar System and maybe even in the Universe at large. We are in a building as described earlier and if we mess it up. They wont be another building to go to. To my knowledge, there is no other planet quiet like earth available, at least not so far.
The concept of balance or Ecological Balance is a very sensitive equilibrium for almost every ecosystem, where microorganism, Insects, animals and plants interact to produce a stable and perpetual line of life, where the waste of the one is the nutrient of the other. This in an endless cycle. Such as the water cycle or the nitrogen Cycle.
Those cycles can be disrupted at times, mainly and usually due to Human activities such as over population, Waste, Burning fossil fuels and bad management of their habitat. Ignorance, disrespect, laziness and arrogance as well as greed are the most frequent forces driving this systematic destruction to at times cataclysmic proportions. Such as the Chernobyl disaster, The Bhopal disaster, The Exxon Valdez oil spill, or the coming Climate disaster.
The Climate disaster is due mainly to human activity even if way to many still today would like to free them self of that guilt they will still have to bear the consequences of it through many man made disasters caused by a rupture in the natural cycle of the earth equilibrium that has cause climate changes.
Those climate changes will and are already causing food shortages, yes, some of that food shortage can be attributed to the methanol and ethanol production to fuel car engines, however that is rather minimal and not the main problem. The temperature changes, provoked by our pollution are and will be of apocalyptic dimension for Humanity.
As I said earlier the ecosystem exist and strives with in a very delicate balance and farming or agriculture is part of that balance since we are dealing with plants and lives stocks that will strive under certain conditions and just die once the balance is no longer existent. Such as longer summers or winters, higher or colder average temperatures, more or less rainfall.
All those little factors will dramatically change our food production and its performances. This to a point that we will no longer be able to feed even the best location such as North America, Europe and Asia. Causing global famines, that in turn will cause revolutions and wars as well as more pollutions and there for destabilize our ecosystem even further to the point that we may very well be the next Dinosaurs to die out.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecology
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agriculture
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_(metaphysics)
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/index_en.htm
http://cas.psu.edu/docs/webcourse/wetland/wet1/balnat.html
http://www.burlingtonnews.net/map2.html
http://www.swupl.edu.cn/xuebao/image/info/200533036259205.pdf
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_accident
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhopal_Disaster
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exxon_Valdez_oil_spill
The article bellow send to me by Amy as well as other recent events did motivate me to write this post based on the experience I gained in Science, agriculture and environmental consulting and research.
Thank you Amy. It is in deed a much needed wake up call and yet one many including my self keep on broadcasting over and over again with out ever being heard though by the masses.
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Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (20)
at 11:58 on January 10th, 2009
I'm so glad you know what your talking about when it comes to farming and agriculture. The education you give to NP is wonderful. I feel like I'm reading the National Geographic’s Magazine when I read your post. Thank you
at 12:28 on January 10th, 2009
Very interesting! Pachen san' I think, I'm worried about that'....
''''''Thanks very much for the story!
at 13:25 on January 10th, 2009
what an excellent way to describe what is happening in the world, as it's much easier to think of it on a smaller scale - great piece. thanks for writing it.
at 14:24 on January 10th, 2009
are there any citable studies that point to current food shortages and climate change? (And not citing every drought/flood as these are part of the climate cycle anyway).
at 10:17 on January 11th, 2009
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a scientific intergovernmental body[1] tasked to evaluate the risk of climate change caused by human activity. The panel was established in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization(WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), two organizations of theUnited Nations. The IPCC shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with former Vice President of the United States Al Gore.[2]
The IPCC does not carry out research, nor does it monitor climate or related phenomena. A main activity of the IPCC is publishing special reports on topics relevant to the implementation of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),[3] an international treaty that acknowledges the possibility of harmful climate change; implementation of the UNFCCC led eventually to the Kyoto Protocol. The IPCC bases its assessment mainly on peer reviewed and published scientific literature.[4] The IPCC is only open to member states of the WMO and UNEP. IPCC reports are widely cited in almost any debate related to climate change.[5][6]National and international responses to climate change generally regard the UN climate panel as authoritative.[7]
The summary reports (i.e. Summary for Policymakers), which draw the most media attention, include review by participating governments in addition to scientific review.[8]
at 14:52 on January 10th, 2009
The question of food shortages and climate change is a good one. Most current food crises are human-created -- hmmm, as, it might be argued, are climate change induced ones.
Thank you for this article and for comments.
at 16:32 on January 10th, 2009
Not really...natural climate cycles have always caused famine on a cyclical basis in various parts of the globe. It is exacerbated by the increasing population placing more strain on what can be produced, and in some places war and political tensions stopping crops being seeded/harvested or safe movement of food to market.
at 15:21 on January 10th, 2009
Check out what's happening in Kenya -- food emergency declared in the drought-ridden country.
at 15:24 on January 10th, 2009
Thanks for including that link.
at 16:30 on January 10th, 2009
It is unclear if this drought is man-influenced or part of the natural climatic cycle.
Here in Australia, we have a severe drought, rivers are dry, cities low on water - but no-one is crying man-influence!! Instead we know it is part of the natural climatic cycle - which is why Australia is known as the "land of droughts and flooding rains"
at 18:37 on January 10th, 2009
Great story and information.
at 19:19 on January 10th, 2009
A compelling argument to change our ways.
at 20:14 on January 10th, 2009
Good work, Paschen. The Economist last week did a special supplement on the sea. We always of the sea as fresh, clean, exhilarating, full of healthy eons(?), but not a bit of it. I was horrified by what they wrote. And now prospectors are looking at further exploiting the sea's resources! Where will it ever stop?
at 20:17 on January 10th, 2009
This comment got repeated! When I recommended your piece I did NOT mean to give double recommendations! What is the world coming to - doubling our use of the internet pointlessly?
at 20:25 on January 10th, 2009
You cannot actually recommend something twice - I looked in the logs and you only recommended it once.
at 22:32 on January 10th, 2009
Nice presentation and very informative, Paschen.
My own feeling is that our good old Mother Earth is built strong to last long and also can take a lickin' and keep on tickin ... ( groan :o)
As for we human beings, our bodies are as fragile as soap bubbles and our lifespans so short the Earth hardly knows a person has even been here by the time they're gone ...
If humanity could be considered a bacterial infection of the Earth which has made our planet sick, then all she has to do is get a slight fever ( for her ) and we are finished ...
It's just the way things seem to work ....
at 10:17 on January 11th, 2009
Law
From a legal standpoint, environmental protection during times of war and military activities is addressed partially by international environmental law. Further sources are also found in areas of law such as general international law, the laws of war, human rights lawand local laws of each affected country. However, this article is chiefly focused on the environment and as soon as two countries are battling it out, the issue becomes one of international concern. Thus, international environmental law is the appropriate focus here.
The law of armed conflict is not very well developed in comparison to other areas of international law. This is because there are no international institutions in place to deal with its development and implementation, or to monitor its observance. Relying on the parties to implement it during the most heated time of a country's history is a little like asking the thief to guard a jewellery store - the temptation to ignore the obligation and to overstep the mark is enormous. Military restraint is often theoretical rather than real and the promise of punishment for environmental damage does not appear to weigh heavily on the minds of military commanders.
National laws dealing with environmental degradation caused by military activities during peacetime are also not very strong. Many countries regard military activities as sacrosanct, permitting environmental destruction in the name of country protection. However, there are indications in some countries that national governments are taking their environmental responsibilities more seriously in relation to military activities and it is perhaps from these national experiences in controlling excesses that future international controls may be better modelled and implemented.
UN treaties
Several United Nations treaties, including the Fourth Geneva Convention, the 1972 World Heritage Convention and the 1977Environmental Modification Convention have provisions to limit the environmental impacts of war or military activities.
at 00:17 on January 12th, 2009
"The agricultural apocalypse and the upcoming food shortage."
Whereas you dudes don't want bother to read about my battles with the Masters of War. Perhaps you fancy wordsmiths may enjoy a few Youtubes about the attacks of our fellow men against one Honourable Farmer, Werner Bock who trying to earn a living outside of the corparate empires as they serve their greed in the purported service of the need to stuff our pieholes much to the chagrin of Mother Nature and our fellow beasts and plants..
You can find what remains of Werner Bock's Youtubes here.
http://www.youtube.com/user/WernerBock
A couple of his Youtubes that the smiling bastards have deleted can still be found within my Youtube Domain. You tell me what is going on down on the farm.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g5ac8a3HB6A&feature=channel_page
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoL8LKp6tgQ&feature=channel_page
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtWzi5uXU4I&feature=channel_page
wheter you ignore me or not you must at least admit that we all have to eat in order to sustain ourselves long enough to wtite about many things in order to make ourselves seem imporatant. Rest assured Mother Nature won't care about our two bit take on her wonderful old world or how much we ate or didn't eat while we did out time on in it. Someday she will simply shrug us off as a bad idea whose time has come and keep on spinnning things round and round without us. Our fellow animals and the plants won't miss us of that I have no doubt.
Veritas Vincit
David Raymond Amos
David.Raymond.Amos@gmail.com
506 756 8687
at 04:09 on January 12th, 2009
errr what????
at 07:12 on January 30th, 2009
Excellent Story as usual Buddy!