Is global warming causing global cooling?

by 72JAG | August 25, 2009 at 02:00 pm
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It's called thermohaline circulation, or the ocean conveyor belt, and it is a delicate pattern of circulation within the world's oceans that balances water density gradients generated from surface heat and freshwater entries.

It is an established fact that the ocean conveyor belt regulates climate.  "warm waters around the equator flow northward and bring heat to Northern Europe, while cool waters from the polar region flow southward".  Without the circulation of ocean waters, some regions of the planet where human civilization has been established would no longer be comfortably hospitable to us.

The global warming skeptics who cite a recent downward trend in global temperatures since 2002 may very well be pointing to evidence that global warming is already at work.  Human activity may very well be speeding up a natural cycle that would usually take several centuries to evolve.

The Pleistocene period, an historical era that has lasted roughly for the past 2.5 million years, is marked by cycles of ice ages and warming periods.  The pattern has repeated itself, experts believe from looking at ice core samples, more than 80 times.  Interglacial, or warming periods are marked by increases in plant and animal communities, as marked by the fossil record.  Glacial periods marked extinction events for species not able to adapt to cooler temperatures or unable to migrate from advancing glaciers.

The Holocene period, the only era after the Pleistocene, is simply the latest 10,000 year warming period.  Some experts do not delineate between the Pleistocene and Holocene and state simply that the pattern of glacial and interglacial periods has not yet been broken.

The distinguishing fator that makes the Holocene period different from the Pleistocene is the introduction of human civilization.  Contrary to all of the other glacial periods in the Pleistocene, now humans have the capacity to influence some of the factors to speed along the cycle of glacial-interglacial.

What happens if the thermohaline circulation is disrupted?  Can humans disrupt the circulation pattern in the world's oceans?  NASA states: "If the poles warm, it is possible that melt water from glaciers and the polar ice cap can shut off this circulation and interrupt this circulation system. The melt water is fresher and hence less dense than the ocean water it melts into, and thus the melt water will tend to accumulate near the surface. This layer of fresh water acts as an insulating barrier between the atmosphere and the normal ocean water. The water from the tropics can not release its heat to the atmosphere, and the circulation loop is interrupted. The mechanism has a positive feedback potential in that if the ocean circulation slows, then even less heat will make it to the higher latitudes re-enforcing an effect that will cool the climate at these higher latitudes". 

In plain English, if we melt our glaciers quicker than they would normally in natural cycles, and we release enormous amounts of cool freshwater into the ocean conveyor belt, then global temperatures will plummet faster than natural systems can adapt.  By adding more CO2 into the atmosphere, we are speeding up a cycle that has shown its consistency over the past 2 million years.  (CO2 is a greenhouse gas; greenhouse gases trap heat)

Global warming deniers who simply state that the earth is cooling as their sole data for denial do not realize that they are making the case for global warming.  After warming and melting ice that is frozen on land, earth's temperature drops because the warm ocean currents that regulate our temperatures are disrupted.

Why then were ocean temperatures so warm this summer.  I don't know.  Watch this video from NASA to see what happens to the Atlantic Ocean's circulation when glaciers on Greenland melt.  The whole circulation pattern stops and warm water is backed up along the Eastern U.S. coast.  Perhaps wild fluctuations become the norm until an equillibrium can be established.  Regardless, the idea that global warming can cause global cooling in the long run should make us think about whether both sides of this debate are making the same case.

For more info:   The cryosphere; Wikipedia. Cryosphere: Earth's frozen assets; NASA.

See more posts by this author HERE.

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1
graphicconception

"Global warming deniers who simply state that the earth is cooling as their sole data for denial do not realize that they are making the case for global warming." Does this have the corollary that if the earth is warming then that is making the case for global cooling?  

1
72JAG

I guess you could be right.

The idea behind the post was that global warming and global cooling are related and that the debaters on each side may be arguing eachother's points.

0
Paschen

Good Post.

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Jeff Dearman

Global cooling is only a temporary offset from global warming . Eventually it will come back hotter than ever. Why does the ice continue to melt faster than ever before? Why are summers hotter than ever in alaska? Why are there more fires all around the globe. (Greece, California, etc.)?why are there increasing heat waves and droughts? Why are vegetation and wildlife shifting north? Why are plants blooming earlier like the cherry trees in D.C.Why is sea-level beginning to rise, (small levels right now but in about 20 years i'm sure it'll be more noticeable)These things are from human caused global warmingNo time in our history has the level of CO2 been as great.and no time in our history has the temperature level increased so significantlyYes there have been historical high and low periods, of temp. but the high periods were stretched out of millions or thousands of years in between - this man made temperature increase is an exponential curve in nature, like human population growth and is skyrocketing out of control.If we don't convert to alternative energy and get off oil soon. shame on the human race for not solving a prventable -problemWhat legacy are we going to leave our grandkids and kids? that we could have prevented something but ignored it..?we'll be known for eternity as the generation that destroyed the planet and the human race.on the other hand we have a chance to change things (alternative energy) and be known as the generation that had a chance to save the planet and we didHopefully 20-30 yrs from now everyone will be "Green" and talk about this will be a non entitity

1
bettermaker

You obviously get all your information on the internet or media.  Everything you've said is completely wrong.  Please, go to a LIBRARY and study climate change.  Study the past temperature/climate-change cycles over THOUSANDS of years to get a better glimpse.  I would love to explain in detail why everything you wrote is completely wrong, but I suggest you go to a library and answer some basic questions for yourself.  Has it been significantly warmer or cooler before? (yes, very much so)  How fast has temperature changed in the past? (up to 50 times faster)  Are droughts caused by warming or cooling? (cooling)  This might sound insane to the typical person, but we are actually heading into an Ice Age.  Please, do some research at your local library.  It's free!

1
72JAG

The pattern of glacial and interglacial periods has repeated itself many times.  If we study the CO2 levels for 800,000 years we will find that they never went above 300 ppm.  TerraNature article.  Yes, CO2 levels were higher than that in earlier periods, but we are currently breaking a trend that has been in place for 800,000 years.  Now, whether CO2 causes temperature rise or the vice versa is not the problem; the real problem is what the CO2 indicates.  We have taken liquids and solids out of the ground and turned them into gases and put them into the atmosphere at rates the world has not seen in 800,000 years.  The world will need some time to get back into balance, if we can stop emitting more of the gas into the air.  Even more pressing than the imbalance equation is the species extinction rate and the environmental collapse (this warning was given in 1992) that we are experiencing globally.  To study climate change is to admit that even the PhDs in the field are in disagreement over how to interpret such a complex system as the earth's atmosphere and ecosystems.

0
Amitjha

Good insight, well it is cause or effect? the heat budget and balancing act do change from time to time.Ice age history says there is nothing new in it, it is happening will happen.Only factor that is bothering is anthropogenic involvement and profit mongering from it.

1
72JAG

Global warming aside, there is no question whether humans are causing species extinction and ecosystem collapse; we can agree on that?

1
drhaljr

Remember Mt. St. Helens?  When it erupted, news reports said that more greenhouse gasses were put into the atmosphere in that one eruption than the entire industrialized age of man up to that time.  if that is our contribution to the atmosphere, even talking about anthropogenic contributions is stupid.  The climate is going to do what its going to do, we are just going along  for the ride like the rest of the critters on this rock.

1
72JAG

Seven billion critters all consuming the earth's resources at a rate that the earth can not keep up with.

1
theswamme

It warms it Cools. Over time it does exactly those two things. Sometimes longer sometimes shorter, Sometimes colder sometimes warmer. Been doing it for Millions of years and there is really not much we can do about it.

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theswamme

Great info, Thanx

1
Kirt Griffin

"Global warming deniers who simply state that the earth is cooling as their sole data for denial do not realize that they are making the case for global warming" If you really believe this then you are so out of touch with reality as to be rediculous. Why on earth are you writing about a subject of which you are know nothing at all? CO2 does not correlate with temperature. Sea level rise has slowed to a standstill. Artic Sea Ice is recovering from an event in 2007 unrelated to air temperature. Sea temperatures are cooling. The single fact to dispute this is a recent story that the surface (1m) was a record high. This was due to a complete lack of storms predicted by the models. Solar activity is in perfect correlation to the historical temperature record. Even the total irradiance which is said to vary by only .1% over an 11 year solar cycle has sufficient power to make the changes we measure. That doesn't include the epitrochoidal shaped Solar orbit, solar magnetic intensity and reversing polarity, the change in the nature and number of Sun spots, the solar wind and GCR's. Coronal mass ejections can affect our weather on a shorter time scale as well. Piers Corbyn has accurately predicted weather all around the planet, usually 1 to 3 months in advance, using nothing but the Sun. That should tell you something. The warming was not unprecedented and neither is the CO2 levels. CO2 as determined by ice cores gives a false reading for many reasons. See Jaworowsky. Actual air sample measurements show average concentrations above 500ppm in the last 180 years. CO2 is plant food and the warming was largely beneficial. The fellow that reported the "ocean conveyor belt" known as the thermohaline circulation was slowing was WRONG and he admitted it but some still cling to that message. The single proof that man is warming the earth is a batch of mathematical models that have never predicted anything correctly. They are constantly being adjusted but they do not include the necessary variables to become accurate. There is much more. So much more! The reason you say what you do is because you start with the IPCC assessment reports which are based on a mandate to determine HOW man is causing undesireable warming and not the correct question which would be IF. Recent papers have shown that the IPCC overestimated the climate sensitivity to CO2 by a factor of 6!  The point of the UN is NOT to save the planet but rather to implement Maurice Strong's socialist reformation of the world. They can keep it. And you are promoting that change whether you know it or not. The jury is still out on that. The Sun warms and cools the planet. Don't get rid of your overcoats. We are entering a deep solar minimum and nothing man can do will change that.

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First Flagged at 2:21 PM, Aug 25, 2009 by smkovalinsky
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