Hurricane Gustav Weakens To Category 2, Hurricane Force Winds Reach Gulf Coast

by Vinny | September 1, 2008 at 04:31 am
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Hurricane Gustav Still Category 3, Hurricane Force Winds Reach Gulf Coast

Hurricane Gustav Still Category 3, Hurricane Force Winds Reach Gulf Coast

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uploaded by Vinny

Updates now being posted here

Update 09/01/08

1.10pm GMT

Gustav now a category 2 hurricane according to The National Hurricane Center

12.03pm GMT

Tornado warning in Slidel, source

On its current direction, Gustav looks likely to make landfall west of the city, which is has yet to recover three years after being devastated by hurricane Katrina. The deputy director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema), Harvey E Johnson, said the eye of the storm was expected to pass west of New Orleans. But Johnson said the storm surge was likely to breech levees and at least partially flood the city. He said an estimated 2 million people have been evacuated from Louisiana, though as many as 10,000 remain in the New Orleans area.
NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Hurricane-force winds are now being felt along the coast of Louisiana, as Hurricane Gustav gets set to roar ashore with Category-3 ferocity. The National Hurricane Center's latest report has the center of Gustav less than 90 miles from New Orleans, moving northwest at about 16 miles-per-hour. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 miles-per-hour, with no strengthening expected before landfall.

Below is the latest advisory from The National Hurricane Center, the link will lead to the latest one even if I have not updated this one!

...GUSTAV WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...EYEWALL MOVING ONTO THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 125 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PORT FOURCHON ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST BY MIDDAY TODAY. REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES GUSTAV A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...WITH WEAKENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER GUSTAV MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION IN SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...104 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES. AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY. REPEATING THE 800 AM CDT POSITION...28.9 N...90.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT.
Update 08/31/08:

Gustav is moving quickly across the Gulf and is still a category 3 but could strengthen a little and is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane. The latest advisory lower down the page says Gustav is closing in on the northern Gulf coast, according to the latest wind speed chart tropical storm force winds have now reached land. The mandatory evacuation order issued yesterday for New Orleans came into effect today, a dawn to dusk curfew has been announced for New Orleans starting at sunset today. There are reports of widespread damage in Cuba and some injuries have been reported.

Live online video coverage of Gustav here.

WESTERN Cuba woke up on Sunday to a scene of massive devastation after deadly Hurricane Gustav blasted through with winds gusting up to 340 kilometres per hour, wrecking vulnerable coastal towns and knocking out communications and power. Thousands of homes on the coast of the westernmost province of Pinar del Rio were left roofless and sea water from the storm surge nearly reached the levels of roofs on homes on the low-lying Isle of Youth, which was hit directly by the massive huricane Saturday afternoon.


Update 08/30/08:

Gustav made landfall in western Cuba as major category 4 hurricane and has now entered the Gulf, Gustav weakened a little over land but is still a category 4 hurricane.

NEW ORLEANS — Spooked by predictions that Hurricane Gustav could grow into a Category 5 monster, an estimated 1 million people fled the Gulf Coast Saturday — even before the official order came for New Orleans residents to get out of the way of a storm taking dead aim at Louisiana. Mayor Ray Nagin gave the mandatory order late Saturday, but all day residents took to buses, trains, planes and cars — clogging roadways leading away from New Orleans, still reeling three years after Hurricane Katrina flooded 80 percent of the city and killed about 1,600 across the region.
MIAMI, Aug 30 (Reuters) - Hurricane Gustav could strengthen into a potentially catastrophic Category 5 storm before or shortly after it crosses Cuba into the Gulf of Mexico,
HAVANA (AP) - Gustav is stronger than ever. The storm has quickly grown into a Category 4 hurricane with top sustained winds of 145 miles an hour. Cuba is racing to evacuate more than 240,000 people from western areas in the path of the storm. Gustav already has killed 81 people in the Caribbean. NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Lines of people waiting for buses to take them out of New Orleans are growing longer and traffic is getting heavier on the main highways as Hurricane Gustav strengthens. The powerful storm is on a track for the Gulf Coast.
Havana - The Cuban government evacuated areas of the country's west as hurricane Gustav approached, prompting authorities to elevate to the highest state of readiness. The hurricane strengthened into a "major" category three storm as it neared the coast, and there were fears it could develop into a category four storm with winds of over 200 kilometres an hour. More than 60,000 people were evacuated from low-lying coastal areas in Pinar del Rio and Isla de la Juventud, and medical and emergency rescue teams were on alert.
If Hurricane Gustav sticks to its current path, New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin says he will issue a mandatory evacuation order at 9 a.m. ET tomorrow. "I would encourage citizens not to wait," he says. City officials expect the storm, already a Category 4 hurricane, to get worse. "It's going to be tough. But New Orleanians are very resilient, very tough, and we'll get through this," the mayor, a Democrat, says.
Just before 6 a.m., the storm had maximum sustained winds near 115 mph (185 kph), making it a Category 3 storm on the five-stage Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity. The storm, which killed up to 77 people in the Caribbean, is still on track to strike the heavy concentration of U.S. oil and natural gas platforms off Louisiana. The most likely track has it going ashore west of New Orleans on Tuesday.


Update 08/29/08:

More Gustav coverage from other NP contributors here.

Via Vinny's Website

recommend This comment thread is now closed
Rachel Nixon
Rachel Nixon
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 06:20 on August 26th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

0
Vinny

Thanks Rachel, this hurricane could become major news over the coming week ( though I hope not) one TV report said it may become as high as a cat 5 in the Gulf.

PEP
PEP
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 06:23 on August 26th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

I was running predications on this storm and saw that it has significant potential to affect the U.S.  The way this one is trending, it could become worse than Fay, maybe even another Katrina-class storm.

0
Vinny

Thanks PEP, this one has potential to be very  severe and is major concern for Haiti and Cuba at the moment, I  hope that  some of the  early predictions about strengthening in the Gulf  prove to be wrong.

Paschen
Paschen
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 08:10 on August 26th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

0
Vinny

Thanks Paschen for the flag and yuls.source for the video.

Amy Judd
Amy Judd
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 10:45 on August 26th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

Rob Walker
Rob Walker
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 10:45 on August 26th, 2008

Awesome, nice work! Hopefully no one will be hurt...

0
Vinny

Thanks Amy and Rob, that is my hope too Rob.

politisite
politisite
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 16:30 on August 26th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.  Vinny I added your story to one I have that is a personal story.  Thanks for the good work

0
Vinny

Thanks Al.

0
politisite

Thanks for the update Vinny.  I got an email from near Port-au-Prince and many of the grass hut homes are gone.  Some buildings poorly structured building gone.  Mission to Haiti compound is doing well as all the buildings are concrete and steel.  They are working on helping the effected folks. I havent got a responce on how my sponcered children are doing as someone has to go out an check on them.

0
Vinny

My thoughts and prayers are with your sponsered children at this time Al as I'm sure are other members.

Rhonda J Mangus
Rhonda J Mangus
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 19:06 on August 26th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

0
Vinny

Thanks Rhonda.

0
Serious

MY HUSBAND AND I SUPPOSE TO ARRIVE IN JAMAICA ON FRIDAY EVENING. I VERY SCARED ABOUT GOING, I CALL THE HOTEL IN JAMACIA THEY STATED THAT I CAN RESCHEDULE BUT STATED THAT THE STORM IS HEADED NORTH PASS JAMAICA. THE NEWS SAY DIFFERENT. CAN I GET SOME FEEDBACK ON THE MATTER PLEASE.....................

Jordan Yerman
Jordan Yerman
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 05:03 on August 28th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

0
Vinny

Thanks Jordan.

Barry Artiste
Barry Artiste
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 06:44 on August 28th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

0
Vinny

Thanks Barry.

World_Groove
World_Groove
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 16:57 on August 28th, 2008

Alien chaser turned storm tracker ? Good Stuff, well documented !

0
Amy Judd

Tourists and residents are fleeing from Jamaica tonight:


The spinning core of Gustav bore down on southern Jamaica on Thursday evening after leaving 67 people dead in Hispaniola. Texas and Louisiana put their national guards on standby, and New Orleans said a mandatory evacuation might be necessary.

At least 59 people died in Haiti from floods, mudslides and falling trees, including 25 around the city of Jacmel, where Gustav first struck land Tuesday. Eight more people were buried when a cliff gave way in the Dominican Republic. Marcelina Feliz died clutching her 11-month-old baby, and five more children were smothered in the wreckage beside her.

On Thursday evening, the tropical storm's center was 15 miles (25 kms) west of Kingston, Jamaica's low-lying capital. Forecasters said it could strengthen into a hurricane before slamming into Grand Cayman on Friday night.

Even as tourists searched for flights off the islands, officials urged calm. Theresa Foster, one of the owners of the Grand Caymanian Resort, said Gustav didn't look as threatening as Hurricane Ivan, which destroyed 70 percent of Grand Cayman's buildings four years ago.

``Whatever was going to blow away has already blown away,'' she said.



0
Vinny

Thanks for the update Amy.

rpshen
rpshen
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 08:07 on August 29th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff. Thanks for keeping us updated on this story!

Rob Peters
Rob Peters
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 09:58 on August 29th, 2008

Great coverage.

lgal3824
lgal3824
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 07:41 on August 30th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

dunkelberg
dunkelberg
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 09:12 on August 30th, 2008

Vinny, I like this story. It's good stuff.

0
Amy Judd

I have brought this story current as it is an important developing story and rather than posting a new one - it's better to follow all these updates.

Here is a link to all our Gustav related coverage - it's very extensive.


0
PEP

Good choice, Amy.

Isn't NP member Rene in that area? Rene, wherefore art thou?

0
Vinny

Thanks Amy Rene also has ongoing coverage updated often here.

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First Flagged at 6:20 AM, Aug 26, 2008 by Rachel Nixon
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