The Reality worse then the prognosis. Latest IPCC report.
By, Uwe Paschen.
The Reality is now worse then the prognosis. Climate Change Prognosis have been to Optimistic in light of latest reports indicating that the predicted global temperature changes of between 1.1C and 6.4C in the IPCC 2007 report had been underestimated as stated by Chris Field, member of the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change or also known as IPCC. This was unveiled at last weeks UN conference and review on the issue.
It has been established now that we are looking at a future climate that is beyond anything we did imagine possible in 2007 when the IPCC report warned of rising sea levels, expanding deserts, more severe weather patterns and the extinctions of up to 30 per cent of all plants, Insects and animal species.
Previous reports have failed to take into account new coal-fired power stations in developing countries like China and India, and the drastic increase in carbon emissions that followed. Society through out the World still focuses on cheep energy sources, meaning coal and crude oil. Falling to take into account the global impact of those pollutants, and their sub sequential cost, in terms of lives lost and irreversible damages to the eco-system.
The decrease predictions of carbon emissions set with the Kyoto protocol and other agreements between 2000 and 2008 had been to optimistic and none where meet either. Rather the opposite the Carbon Emissions have dramatically increased rather then being reduced or even stagnated wish was the goal.
Further reinforcing Field’s arguments, The French National Centre for Space Studies broth forward satellite measurements that showed the Sea Level rising at an accelerated rate, due warmer waters and melting Polar Ice Caps.
The worth is however is yet to come as the Human Caused Climate Change will accelerate as the stored Carbon and Methane in the still frozen Tundra will be released due to the melting of the permat frost and additional releases of Carbon will happen due to the damaged eco-systems of the forests and seas.
The latest Climate models estimate that the loss of tropical rainforests to wildfires, deforestation, Pollution and other causes can increase the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere from 10 to 100 parts per million by the end of this century.
In clear English or as the The "Nutshell" Summary would state this means we will tip the balance of the eco-system some where between 2050 and 2120 making all Human and Mammal life on Earth next to impossible and that may be still to optimistic a statement.
Further Information on the subject.