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The Reality worse then the prognosis. Latest IPCC report.
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by Paschen | February 15, 2009 at 05:33 am
946 views | 46 Recommendations | 11 comments
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By, Uwe Paschen.
The Reality is now worse then the prognosis. Climate Change Prognosis have been to Optimistic in light of latest reports indicating that the predicted global temperature changes of between 1.1C and 6.4C in the IPCC 2007 report had been underestimated as stated by Chris Field, member of the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change or also known as IPCC. This was unveiled at last weeks UN conference and review on the issue.
It has been established now that we are looking at a future climate that is beyond anything we did imagine possible in 2007 when the IPCC report warned of rising sea levels, expanding deserts, more severe weather patterns and the extinctions of up to 30 per cent of all plants, Insects and animal species.
Previous reports have failed to take into account new coal-fired power stations in developing countries like China and India, and the drastic increase in carbon emissions that followed. Society through out the World still focuses on cheep energy sources, meaning coal and crude oil. Falling to take into account the global impact of those pollutants, and their sub sequential cost, in terms of lives lost and irreversible damages to the eco-system.
The decrease predictions of carbon emissions set with the Kyoto protocol and other agreements between 2000 and 2008 had been to optimistic and none where meet either. Rather the opposite the Carbon Emissions have dramatically increased rather then being reduced or even stagnated wish was the goal.
Further reinforcing Field’s arguments, The French National Centre for Space Studies broth forward satellite measurements that showed the Sea Level rising at an accelerated rate, due warmer waters and melting Polar Ice Caps.
The worth is however is yet to come as the Human Caused Climate Change will accelerate as the stored Carbon and Methane in the still frozen Tundra will be released due to the melting of the permat frost and additional releases of Carbon will happen due to the damaged eco-systems of the forests and seas.
The latest Climate models estimate that the loss of tropical rainforests to wildfires, deforestation, Pollution and other causes can increase the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere from 10 to 100 parts per million by the end of this century.
In clear English or as the The "Nutshell" Summary would state this means we will tip the balance of the eco-system some where between 2050 and 2120 making all Human and Mammal life on Earth next to impossible and that may be still to optimistic a statement.
Sources.
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/index.htm
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/americas/2009/02/2009215103659133307.html
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles-appendix-a.pdf
http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/index.htm?nn=2009021501
Further Information on the subject.
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/revenge-gaia-humanity-under-attack
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/earth-oxygen-levels-are-dropping-plankton-save-humanity
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/eating-fish-kills-saving-our-oceans
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/agricultural-apocalypse-and-upcoming-food-shortage
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/livestock-farming-one-main-menaces-environment
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/japans-environmental-dilemma
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Crowd Power
Paschen
Narita, Chiba, Japan
Recommendations (46)
mtammas
Vancouver, Canada
Rachel Nixon
Vancouver, CanadaAKAmamma
Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Spydermonkey
huntsville, Alabama, United States
jazzyzazzy
Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom
Babel-Fish
Negros Oriental, Philippines
Adam Purple
Portsmouth, New Hampshire, United States
Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (11)
at 18:59 on February 15th, 2009
Very informative post Paschen. Good Stuff.
at 19:58 on February 15th, 2009
Your 'nutshell' is very clear!
at 20:45 on February 15th, 2009
The biggest mistake was the politically correct one of keeping developing countries off the treaty. China has become the biggest producer of carbon dioxide in these last few years, and developing countries were ideal places for alternative energy because they lack infrastructure and alternative energy production is ideal for a place lacking in infrastructure.
Right now, 25% of the mercury in our water here in the Northwest is from China's coal-fired plants. The pollution there is so bad that it is stifling.
This is what happens when there is no opposition party, and the ruling party controls banks, newspapers, censors the Internet, and is accountable to no one but itself.
at 20:20 on June 13th, 2009
Well at least nowpublic.com is not censored in China, I logon each time I visit and we of course have members from China on line. One is even working on renewable energy.
I think though that China is very aware of the problem the snip-it below leads to a very interesting web page that shows what China is doing at present concerning renewable energy.
Source: energychinaforum.com
Its now nice to see USA has finally taken up the torch so to speak, but it can in to the eco friendly arena at the same time as China did. Clearly anti-communism clouds up the facts and we should research before making remarks even when we are against communism. Pehaps because members of now public normally give a balanced opinion about China is why we are not banned like many other news communities are?
.
at 09:15 on February 16th, 2009
Great post Paschen with some good research and links. (BTW - in your headline did you mean to say "worse than"?)
at 14:58 on February 16th, 2009
Thank you Rachel, Yes I did, Much appreciated. :)
at 12:41 on March 31st, 2009
This is a great post! I wanted to share a link to a report on the Climate Change and its Affect on Ports and Sea levels (http://tinyurl.com/dlwvgd)
at 15:27 on March 31st, 2009
Thank you Jennifer, I appreciate the link. Will look it up.
at 09:35 on June 16th, 2009
And still I find people that refuse to believe that Humans can affect global weather..
Until that changes were Pi**ing in the wind I fear.
at 10:39 on June 18th, 2009
i've studied climate change, and there is no threat from global warming. go to a library and study it as well, and you'll join the MAJORITY of scientists who don't believe it either.
at 21:01 on June 22nd, 2009
thanks for your sharing