DrMarty | March 30, 2012 at 03:01 amby
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A new report on "Global Water Security" by the intelligence and defense institutions of the United States, released in February, addresses the question of how water problems will affect U.S. security interests over the next 30 years.
Its design and conclusions are entirely within the framework imposed by a limited conceptual box (man as an ape in clothes) and economic monetarism of the last 50 years, namely, that resources are fixed, that you can only "manage" them as best you can.
The Defense Intelligence Agency was the principal author of the 30-page report, commissioned by the State Department, whose other contributors include the CIA, Department of Energy, National Geo-spatial Intelligence Agency, and many others.
ASSUMPTIONS--"We assume that water management technologies will mature along present rates and that no far-reaching improvements will develop and be deployed over the next 30 years...."
SURVEY--Seven river basins were selected for evaluation in the "core classfied analysis" because they involve states "strategically important to the United States and transboundary issues." These all happen to be in the region arcing from Egypt and northwest Africa across SW-Southern Asia into Indochina: Nile, Jordan, Tigris-Euphrates, Indus, Amu Darya, Brahmaputra, Mekong.
CONCLUSION--"We assess that during the next 10 years, many countries important to the United States will experience water problems -- shortages, poor water quality, or floods -- that will risk instability and state failure, increase regional tensions, and distract them from working with the United States on important US policy objectives. Between now and 2040, fresh water availability will not keep up with demand..."
"Global Water Security" is available on line. (2 February 2012, Intelligence Community Assessment 2012-08)
With this incompetent assessment, based on an assumption of fixed and linear behavior, the need for better management of water resources is obvious. The National Intelligence Council, which produced the report, is badly in need of education about the rudiments of the creative nature of man, and the unbounded potentials if human creativity is unleashed and collective action is allowed to solve problems like the global water crisis.
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