First of three assassinations?

Across the Bay wonders if today's assassination of Pierre Gemayel is the first of three required to "deprive the majority [of premier Fouad Saniora's cabinet--MP] of the ability to convene the required two thirds quorum to the ratify the international tribunal" i.e. the tribunal that will discover precisely how Damascus arranged the assassination of the late premier Rafik Hariri et alii..