H1N1 Swine Flu Could Affect Third of the World, Says UN Official

by Rob Walker | May 7, 2009 at 05:24 am
419 views | 36 Recommendations | 4 comments

A top United Nations health official said that the H1N1 flu virus could affect up to a third of the world's population in the next year. He also stated that it was 'quite likely' the World Health Organization would declare a pandemic in the near future.

Even though the illness is still mild, the speed at which it spreads leads health officials to worry about a mutation of the virus. They also say that existing checks on pigs were sufficient to safeguard the food supply from the new strain.

Keiji Fukuda, acting assistant director-general for the World Health Organization (WHO), also said it was “quite likely” the WHO would declare a pandemic in the near future but a final decision had not been made.

“This is a disease that could potentially infect a third or more of the world's population in the next several months, in the next year,” Mr. Fukuda told Asian health officials meeting in Bangkok by conference call from Geneva.

He added that “even if the illnesses appear relatively mild on a global level, the global population level adds up to enormous numbers.”

"Meat from sick pigs or pigs found dead should not be processed or used for human consumption under any circumstances," he told Reuters.

It is possible for flu viruses such as the new H1N1 strain to survive the freezing process and be present in thawed meat, as well as in blood, the expert said. But he stressed that there was no risk of infection from eating or handling pork so long as normal precautions were adhered to.

While health officials around the planet are racing to discuss and research the virus, scientists in Winnipeg have completed the first genetic sequencing of H1n1 flu samples. The scientists say that unlocking the virus's genetic code will ultimately help develop a vaccine in the future.

The Winnipeg lab's results -- taken from samples collected from Nova Scotia, Ontario and Mexico -- suggest the H1N1 virus is essentially the same in Canada as it is in Mexico.

"There's nothing at the genetic level that differentiates this virus between the samples from Mexico and Canada," Plummer said. "Therefore it's not likely the virus itself that's explaining the differential in severity between Mexico and the rest of North America."

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Blue Crush

Yes, that's the most worrisome to me, the speed at which it's unfolding. 

A case has just been confirmed at a high school right in my neighborhood - I hope no more cases show up there.

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albertacowpoke

It's interesting what the expert from the WHO said in this story.  I heard an interview this morning, too bad I don.t recall who it was, which made the assurance that the virus could not enter the bloodstream and that it was contained in the lungs. Maybe some of these statements are made to protect the pork industry.

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Paschen

The potential is there and so the possibility. This would be true for most Viruses of this type though and I can not see this happening at this time to be even at a level 3 would be more then adequate.

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Roy C

Hail the Yogi Berra reference.

They hope to be wrong. I don't think that being on alert is wrong. If it mutates, we will have all hell to deal with.


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Blue Crush
First Flagged at 5:52 AM, May 7, 2009 by Blue Crush

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