Indonesia lost Rp4.1 trln due to bird flu

Indonesia suffered financial losses of Rp4.1 trillion due to bird flu (avian influenza/AI) outbreaks during 2004-2007, chief of the National Committee on Bird Flu Control Bayu Krisnamurthi said.

In a statement here Monday, Bayu said the losses were estimated based on the impact of bird flu outbreaks during 2004-2007 using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model.

The impact calculated in the estimation was financial losses due to chicken culls, reduced demand for poultry products, lower chicken and egg consumption, costs incurred by farmers as well as the government for bird flu control, and tbe decline in the number of tourist visits.

"They do not yet include the loss of job opportunities and a decline in consumption of animal-based protein which in effect has reduced the people`s quality of life," he said.

The losses, he continued, might increase when the disease has entered its pre-endemic and pandemic level, when it widely spreads among humans.

"If the pandemic really happens, then the economic losses will be greater. An economic simulation based on 2006 data showed that short-term losses will reach Rp14 trillion to Rp48 trillion. Long- term losses will be much bigger than that," he said.