Obama - "First Pacific President or Supplicant?" - APEC

by Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke | November 15, 2009 at 04:34 am
325 views | 50 Recommendations | 14 comments

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In Tokyo President Obama declared himself as the "First Pacific President".  It would appear that that didn't cut salt with the big players and Obama soon found himself on the defensive.

Asian countries agreed that there should be more free  trade and stimulus.  There was concern about rising U.S. protectionism.  China holds $1 Trillion Dollars of U.S. debt.

No consensus was reached on climate change and it is not likely that one will be reached in Copenhagen.  The consensus was that something needs to be done but not at the cost of destroying already fragile economies.

Obama is now embarking an a three day trip to China.  He is expected to make speech to an audience of China's students, which is to include human rights and the economy.  He is not expected to raise the issue of Human Rights officially, at least not in public.  How will China's leaders react to this? 

A lot is at stake here, since at APEC no consensus could be reached on exchange rates. 

The Asian economy has taken off and is expected to increase by 6%, while the U.S. is only forcast to increase by 1.6%.

Since leaving Washington on Thursday, Obama has sought to show that he is more in synch with Asia than his predecessors, describing himself in Tokyo as "America's first Pacific president" because of his upbringing in Hawaii and time spent in Asia as a boy, when he lived with his American mother and Indonesian stepfather in Jakarta.

Hard economic facts, however, also have made Obama something of a Pacific supplicant. China is the United States' biggest creditor, holding more than $1 trillion of U.S. debt. And while the U.S. economy clambers slowly out of a deep slump triggered by last year's financial crisis, Asia has rebounded with vigor. Asian economies will grow by nearly 6 percent next year, compared with 1.5 percent for the United States, according to the International Monetary Fund.

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2
Uwe Paschen

Good Post ACP, What I hear and read here on NHK and at work or with friends is great disappointment with Mr. Obama his address here in Tokyo last Friday. 

I think it will reinforce the intend given last October at the ESEAN meeting to create an Asian form of the EU with Japan, China and South Korea leading the way, since they decided to become full members and the proposal was well received with all ESEAN member countries.

Should they succeed and learn from the mistakes the EU made, then Asia will become an economic and political force with out precedent.


4
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

I think you're absolutely right and your comments complement what most economist have said for at least five years. The combination of China, Japan and India will be a potent force.

2
YankeeJim

Attending APEC in 1997 as a US delegate at the Conference on Information Literacy, it was clear to me that China was a powerhouse of influence, though other forces were on the move too, and that includes representatives from South America. Australians influenced with ideas, though being geographically handicapped, that is about all. Japan was the host and provided management power, notably, Professor Yoshio Sugasawa, Nihon University. Canadians provided warm and cozy faciliation.

0
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

Thank you for this additional information YankeeJim.

1
Rory Cripps

JEEZ! America's first Pacific president? This guy is quite the transcontinentalist! (I just made that word up) Do you know if he plans to visit the troops in Afghanistan? Ooh! Ooh! Ooh! BHO is a real piece of work . . . .

3
nanute

You are very good at being critical. Can you add anything of substance to the conversation?

2
Rory Cripps

nanute:

"The Asian economy
has taken off and is expected to increase by 6%, while the U.S. is only forecast to increase by 1.6%."

It doesn't take much to be "good at being critical" when it concerns Obama.

My substantive reply is this: Obama needs to shed the rock star/transcontinental  mentality and be  more concerned with what's happening here in America. He's the President of the U.S. . . . isn't he?
If anyone thinks that Obama can succeed in playing nice with the Chi-Com Government and by doing so help the U.S. economy, they're flat out wrong. If Obama feels that it's necessary to go overseas, then the right thing for him to do would be visiting the troops and offering his moral support.  Perhaps he'll do this . . . I hope that he does. Obama is not instilling confidence in his presidency and in the eyes of many, he looks like a complete incompetent that is more concerned with the rest of the world than he is with his own country. Assuming, of course, that he views America as his "own country".

1
nanute

Brilliant!

0
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

Thanks nanute and Rory for your comments.

1
marianmo

ty, good post

1
Barry ORegan

THey say Free trade barriers the US implement will be a detriment to US industry vying for lucrative contracts for heavy equipment such as equipment for road building and other infrastructure projects in asia.'

While that may be true, do you really think Catepillar has a chance of getting those contracts when they have Hyuandi over there making heavy equipment, not to mention all the heavy equipment made in china, heavy equipment technology scammed from the US?  If anyone thinks Free Trade is Free, knows it rarely works both way in Asia, it is corruption, back room deals and scams.  THousands of executed chinese executives cant be wrong?


0
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

thanks for your comments Barry:)

0
a211423

The issues of the imbalance of trade are being addressed with the focus on China importing American goods in balance with Chinese imports to the U.S.. The tariffs on tires and steel pipe  were important concessions favoring American manufacturers but represents a small portion of the total traded between our countries. 

 Chinese currency has long been considered undervalued, and Beijing has connected the yuan to the dollar since the financial crisis began, and it has recently declined with the declining American dollar, making China's exports even more attractive. This has given China a larger share of exports even though exports as a whole worldwide have shrunk.  However, this amounts to only a fraction of the $212 billion in trade between the U.S. and China this year; therefore, the claims of American "protectionism" are largely unfounded.  However, the Chinese might view this as a trend and are compelled to voice opposition.  

The Chinese want assurances, and rightly so,  that the U.S. will control inflation to secure the $797-billion investment  the Chinese have in U.S. treasuries.

Catepillar and their foreign competitors will be vying for the Asian market, this is true; however, like the tire industry, the quality, innovation and industry standard is set by Catepillar and has for many years. Rather than entering the market as competitors, it behooves the U.S. to form parterships with Asian companies in development and contract sharing, which they have already done in Japan.  This is one more reason why Obama's trip is important in creating cooperative relationships with Asia in these emerging markets.


 

0
Barry ORegan

You know I would not have an issue with China made goods if they had any semblance of quality, but they do not and never had. I ask you why the hell does North America allow cheap crap into our country, when it is obvious some of this crap may kill you, such as Chinese tires. drywall, electronic etc for instance. When you are killed of maimed, who and how do you sue?  The importer?  Not likely, you have to find a myriad of 2nd and 3rd party companies in china to sue,  hey good luck with that, at least in north America we have recourse with our home made manufacturers. Pride in the Product certainly was never China's attempt,  You notice we never protest of scream at Japan or Germany for their products, Why? Because they make great stuff.

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Uwe Paschen
First Flagged at 4:45 AM, Nov 15, 2009 by Uwe Paschen
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