Who Wins New Hampshire? Politisite Political Polls Review

by politisite | January 7, 2008 at 05:20 pm

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Obama, Clinton In Virtual Tie In N.H. Primary Poll

McCain Holds Onto Lead Over Romney

MANCHESTER, N.H. (WBZ) ― With the New Hampshire Primary only days away, and exclusive new WBZ/Franklin Pierce poll shows Democratic candidate Barack Obama has closed the gap with opponent Hillary Clinton, while John McCain continues to hold nearly a 10 percent lead on the Republican side.

Obama up by 13 points, McCain up by 4 in USAT/Gallup Poll in N.H.

Obama up by 13 points, McCain up by 4 in USAT/Gallup Poll in N.H.

Sen. Barack Obama has opened up a 13 percentage point lead over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in the battle for votes in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary, according to a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll conducted in the state from Friday through this afternoon. The results were just released.

On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain is 4 percentage points ahead of Mitt Romney.

The surveys of 776 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Republican primary and 778 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Democratic primary were all completed after the news from Thursday's Iowa caucuses had been reported.

The rundowns:

New Hampshire Democratic Primary

CNN/WMUR/UNH 01/05 - 01/06 599 LV 39 30 16 7 Obama +9.0

Suffolk/WHDH 01/05 - 01/06 500 LV 35 34 15 3 Obama +1.0

Marist 01/05 - 01/06 636 LV 36 28 22 7 Obama +8.0

Rasmussen 01/05 - 01/06 1203 LV 38 28 18 8 Obama +10.0

CBS News 01/05 - 01/06 323 LV 35 28 19 5 Obama +7.0

USA Today/Gallup 01/04 - 01/06 778 LV 41 28 19 6 Obama +13.0

New Hampshire Republican Primary

CNN/WMUR/UNH 01/05 - 01/06 31 26 13 10 10 1 McCain +5.0

Suffolk/WHDH 01/05 - 01/06 27 30 9 10 8 2 Romney +3.0

Marist 01/05 - 01/06 35 31 13 5 8 4 McCain +4.0

Rasmussen 01/05 - 01/06 32 31 11 10 8 3 McCain +1.0

Franklin Pierce 01/04 - 01/06 38 29 9 8 7 2 McCain +9.0

USA Today/Gallup 01/04 - 01/06 34 30 13 8 8 3 McCain +4.0

Strategic Vision (R) 01/04 - 01/06 35 27 13 8 7 5 McCain +8.0

Reuters/CSpan/Zogby 01/04 - 01/06 34 29 10 9 6 3 McCain +5.0

American Res. Group 01/04 - 01/06 35 27 12 10 7 2 McCain +8.0

Here is what Politisite says the out comes will be:

Republican

McCain:

Due to recent world events: New Bin Laden tapes, The American
Spokesman for Al-Quieda coming out with a statement that says, when
Bush visits the Middle east greet him with bombs not flowers, A
confrontation today between US Navy Ships and Gun Speed boats from Iran,
I believe that John McCain will win by 5% Points or less. My
number for him is 29%

Romney will be 2nd, with 24% of the vote

Huckabee Third with 14%

Giuliani 4th with 9%

Ron Paul 5th with 8%

Democrat

Obama: Due to The congressional and
presidential approval ratings being 25-35.7%, The “Change” is
playing well in New Hampshire. New Hampshire has 44% of its Voters registered as Indipendent. Independents can vote in Republican or Democratic Primaries. 65% of them are expected to vote for Obama. Politisite Gives him the
win. We think the poll numbers are incorrect and Obama will Beat
Clinton by 13% points and cary 41% of the vote.

Clinton 2nd with 28%

Edwards 3rd with 17%

Richardson 4th with 7%

So there you have it. The first votes
come out of NH at Midnight. We have the vote results in another story on NowPublic.

politisite, I like this story. It's good stuff.

NowPublic

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Who Wins New Hampshire? Politisite Political Polls Review

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