More money to be made

by mr.zoltanblack | April 24, 2008 at 11:13 am

206 views | 0 Recommendations | 0 comments

Call it hindsight, call it post race capping, call just plain rubbish but Wednesday nights Major League Baseball game between the Cleveland Indians and the hapless Kansas City Royals was a gambling bargain. The Royals opened the season as one of the highest scoring offenses in the League but this however is no oyster pearl, no these kind of statistical anomalies pop up quite often in a 162 game baseball season. Kansas City’s early success and 9-6 start are two off these very typical statistical pop ups. Not that I want to get to carried away on a game that will be hours in the bag before anyone reads this post but Cleveland starting pitcher, a horse named Fausto Carmona has some really nasty stuff especially when he can manage to keep the ball low in the strike zone. Kansas City’s starting pitcher the stellarly average Brett Tomko is the type of pitcher Fausto will beat nine times out of ten.

Cleveland Indians are the road favourites -148 or fifty cents to the dollar.

A highly recommended play and for better or worse, win or lose, I will post my predictions tomorrow afternoon sometime prior to NBA tip-off.

1.If I lose Im a fraud for losing

2.If I win Im a fraud for not being able to tear myself away from the office long enough to make this post

As I’m sure you’ve all had enough and I am quite sure that’s enough belly aching for one day I digress.

And onto the more pressing . . .

The Toronto Raptors are now down two games to none in their best of seven series with the Orlando Magic in a first round series that has seen the inferior Rap’s exposed, embarrassed and utterly belittled.

And it going to get worse, when the Raptors players minus the hearts and soles they left on the floor of Amway Arena Tuesday night in Orlando travel back to their home court to be further embarrassed in front of their own fans.

There is definitely fools gold in them their hills

. . .
Thursday evenings game in Toronto will present the single best betting opportunity of the entire series as Toronto’s home court advantage will be grossly overrated. Top this off with the courageous comeback by the Raps in game two only to drive all the way back into contention and lose by a single point. The Rubes and Homers will be out in full force wagering heavily, likely in Canadian dollars on the home team.

But I however will not be fooled, the Raps played their hearts out and still came up short and now two days later they are expected to "pound the same pavement" with a more favourable result. Except nothing has changed over the course of 48 hours, except the Raptors have had two days to dwell of the fact that they gave the Magic all they had and still it wasn’t enough.

The truth is in the NBA playoffs teams are more likely to comeback from a twenty or thirty point loss then a single point loss in the second game of a seven game series.

Toronto is a -4 point favourite at home in game three, I’ll take Orlando +4

Go on take the money and run . . .

Page2

Zoltan Black

Endnote: Wednesdays game between Cleveland and Kansas City was postponed, so it looks like I’m not a fraud after all . . . The game goes as the first part of a double header starting at 6:10pm EST and provided the starting pitchers are Brett Tomko and Fausto Carmona I’ll take Cleveland and Carmona at the slightly improved odds of -158.

Cleveland Indians (Fausto Carmona) -158 over Kansas City Royals (Brett Tomko) in game one Thursday night.

0 See all footage | View Slideshow

Share: email story | add to any | | facebook | stumbleupon