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T20 Live: India must beat SA by at least 32 runs to reach semis
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Now that Australia have qualified for the ICC World Twenty20 semi-finals – by virtue of a superior net run-rate despite losing to Pakistan – the scenario for India to become the fourth and final team in the knockout stage has been decided. Put in to bat by AB de Villiers, an unchanged India must beat South Africa by 32 runs if they score 160 or 31 runs should they make 140 to go past Pakistan's net run-rate and reach the semi-finals.
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If they fail to do so, Pakistan will go through and join Australia, West Indies and hosts Sri Lanka. If India happen to win by 42 runs, they will top Group 2 ahead of Australia.
Pakistan's 32-run win over Australia on Tuesday at the Premadasa Stadium left India’s task clear-cut – beat South Africa by a bigger margin. Australia needed to score 112 to make the semi-finals and did just that, with Michael Hussey hitting a four in the final over of the chase though his team ended up losing. At the end of the match, Australia’s net run-rate was 0.464 to Pakistan's 0.272. Going into the final match of the Super Eights, India's net run rate was -0.452.
South Africa have been eliminated by virtue of Australia crossing 112 against Pakistan.

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at 21:52 on October 2nd, 2012
Watch India vs South Africa CRICKET T20 World CUP LIve
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South Africa have lost both their matches in contrasting manners ---- a close defeat against Pakistan and a comprehensive one against Australia.
AB de Villiers and Co. will now want to end the tournament on a respectable note and think of an outside chance of qualifying although their net run-rate might prove to be a deterrent.
Tomorrow, the Indian team will not only have to deal with a South African team that is keen to maintain its reputation as a world class outfit but also have to counter the threat of a man who knows about them like the back of his hand.
Gary Kirsten, definitely India's most successful coach, is now in the opposition ranks and will play a key role in trying to plot the downfall of the 'Men in Blue'
Spin will again play a key role in the match and it will be interesting to see whether Dhoni would go for a second spinner in Harbhajan Singh by dropping senior pro Zaheer Khan.
With the seven-batsman policy paying results and a theory that Dhoni believes in, it remains to be seen whether he would rejig his bowling resources or stick to the winning formula.
The South African batsmen looked distinctly uncomfortable against the off-spin of Mohammed Hafeez and Saeed Ajmal in the match against Pakistan.
Even left-arm slow orthodox bowler Xavier Doherty troubled the Proteas in the last match which will certainly encourage Yuvraj Singh, who has turned into a utility 'bowling all-rounder' in this edition of the World T20.
The big question will be whether the Indian skipper will bring in Harbhajan who can be effective considering the South African line-up features two left-handers in Jean-Paul Duminy and Robin Peterson.
The opening woes, however, is a cause of concern for Dhoni as both Virender Sehwag and Gautam Gambhir have been scratchy in the tournament.
Sehwag, who was brought back for the Pakistan match, showed his intent to stay at the wicket and should be praised for playing an ideal second fiddle to Virat Kohli during the defining 74-run second wicket partnership.
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