Electric Cars a Hoax

by PIM of SPAIN | April 17, 2009 at 09:10 am
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In my article “Hybrid Hype” published last month, I mentioned the fact that contrary to the general opinion that Electric Hybrids should very much reduce the tailpipe CO2 are just fodder for policymakers, because those cars are too expensive and not green at all.
Electricity is more often than not generated from coal, which qua CO2 emission is as bad or even worse as the CO2 gasses released by gasoline or diesel engines. In addition the manufacturing of batteries and the disposal of these batteries that have an average lifetime of 6 years, are bad for the environment too. Not to mention the extra weight that has to be tossed around.

Technically everything is ready for electric vehicles to enter the mainstream, except for the batteries. What matters for all-electric vehicles, as opposed to hybrids, such as the Prius, which can fall back on a petrol engine when the battery runs out, are their limited range and the time taken to recharge their batteries. Lithium-ion battery technology could push range to 300 KM or approx 200 miles, and fast-charge systems promise to provide a 60-70% top-up in only a little more time than it takes to fill a tank with petrol. However restricting the range to just over 100miles. Further a new infrastructure network for fast electric filling stations has to be put into practice within a range between each other of 150 KM (100miles). Further it is very inconvenient on a long journey that about every hour has to be stopped for a refill.

The Toyota’s Prius is the longest serving hybrid vehicle on the market and from the practice is learned that there are critical problems. Likewise the gas mileage is far more favorable declared in the prospectus than consumers have experienced. Most of the hybrid's big mileage gains occur in stop-and-start city traffic. On an open road, the conventional engine actually gets better gas mileage. When you look at the Prius' true mileage, there are plenty of conventional vehicles that do as well or even better.
Add in the high extra cost of the hybrid engine, and you have to drive the car over a hundred of thousands miles to recoup the extra money you pay for the fancy technology, and most likely still come out worse. Frequent stops for refueling are necessary and a cruel pain in the neck.

Next is the hydrogen fuel cell that gets the most hype. Detroit put all its chips on fuel cell technology, and it's been telling us since the late 1990s that a breakthrough was just around the corner. In 1997, German-owned DaimlerChrysler actually predicted 100,000 fuel cell engines on the road by 2005. In 2001, General Motors projected about the same timeline. Even George Bush got into the act, declaring in his 2003 State of the Union message that "America can lead the world in developing clean, hydrogen-powered automobiles." It didn't happen and it probably won't happen at all. Because the engineering problems are much bigger than anticipated. On top of that, the fuel cell engine costs 10 times as much as a conventional engine. Worse yet, there's also the additional problem of building a national network of fuel stations where you can fill the tank with hydrogen. Hydrogen isn't found in nature in a usable form, and it's very expensive and energy consuming to produce. A national hydrogen rollout could cost $100 billion. There's still hope that hydrogen will come through in the end, but the National Academy of Sciences believes the "hydrogen economy" is decades away.

There is a third alternative the old humble diesel engine. Because we Europeans have to pay heavy gasoline taxes and also worry about global warming. Much of R&D is invested in the diesel engine technology that in the current decennia has proven to be equal or even superior to gasoline engines.

Diesel engines get about 30% more mileage out of liter than gasoline, and those savings are real in any kind of driving conditions. What's more, people who worry about global warming prefer diesel because it emits up to 20% less carbon dioxide (CO2). Diesels now rival traditional gasoline engines for quietness, while European refineries have removed most of the pollutants from the fuel. The engines cost more, but the gas savings make up the difference easily. While the lower expenditure on maintenance cost is another contributor to the savings. Diesel's biggest edge is something you may never expect because there is no need for crude oil to make diesel fuel it can be made from coal, algae or even cooking oil. For example a restaurant can invest in a cooking oil converter kit that after the oil is used to fry a batch of potatoes, later to be reused as diesel oil in the delivery truck. Above and beyond all these advantage the range between refilling is over 1.000KM or 600miles!

Currently another new development is liquefied coal, the brilliant technology of the future no matter what. In diesel engines this coal converting technology will be the biggest phenomenon since the time horses were traded in for cars.

Imagine: The Chinese would have to buy 650 million vehicles to reach American levels of car ownership. That's not likely to happen. But a fraction of that figure will create an oil and pollution crisis big enough to finish off our existence.
In the vast markets of India and China, a vehicle that runs without crude oil will be appealing.
And what about a hybrid diesel engine as next step? A combination of hybrid and diesel technology will take the fuel savings up another notch. And that might happen soon. Amongst others BMW has made much progress in reusing exhaust heat to generate electricity for onboard appliances.

A MIT study envisages the diesel hybrid that will outperform a hydrogen fuel cell engine on both fuel mileage and carbon emissions, within 10 years. In other words, the hydrogen fuel cell car may never get to market.

The auto industry is on its way to becoming a replay of the airline industry. The competition is already cutthroat, with razor-thin margins. Now we're going to see General Motors and Ford file for bankruptcy. When that happens, they'll walk away from the pension and health care obligations that are killing them. Their plants are in political battleground states so the politicians will help them stay afloat. They're "too big to fail."
Once they're operating under Chapter 11, like the airlines, the automakers will launch profit-killing price wars that may last for decades, in which emissions are the key to their profits.
The best way forward from the diesel revolution will be a filter technology that’s going to remove the final pollutants, the last obstacle that stands in the way to zero emission.
The Europeans have been quite successful to remove the last bit of filth from diesel exhaust, for the sake of fuel economy and lower carbon emissions. Whoever now comes first with the best exhaust filter to take the ultimate particles out of the tailpipe fumes will become King in the automotive industry.

Concluding: the electric car is politically motivated and will never make it despite the governmental financial support and free publicity. It is absolutely a waste of money. The hydrogen fuel cell is decennia off in the future, but the diesel engine will for sure be the winner, even more now bio fuels will have the future, and make politically far more sense in becoming independent from the Middle East hot spots and Venezuelan Hugo Chavez.

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1
albertacowpoke

Pim thank you for this story.  I wonder how many of these vehicles have been tested in our severe cold climates.  How long would the batteries last?   What additional electric modifications would be needed at home to support these type of vehicles?  I think there are still many unanswered question, but somehow we must all rid ourselves of the dependence on oil. 

2
PIM of SPAIN

In severe cold climates the lifetime and charge potential of batteries are very much limited.

Not that many have been tested, because of the recharge problem. But if politicians offer money why shouldn't manufacturers take it? When unwise subsidies are given, don't expect wise responses!

In cold climates only diesel engines are reliable, they never leave you without power. I talk out of tens of years of experience and in the early days I haven't been a friend of diesel engines because of the smell and the noise. But all this is past. Now with bio-diesel there won't be any dependence on oil as you still do think. In the event you or others do have more questions don't hesitate to let me know.


3
Jordan Yerman

I think the largest obstacle isn't the batteries, but the lack of a viable network of charging stations.

1
Mikasi

As was the case when the automobile first came into use in the USA. Perhaps a look back at the history of how that was tackled could provide a blueprint on handling this.

Eh... just a thought.

0
nyctuber

It's not a 'hoax.' Electric cars will have drawbacks, but it's a step in the right direction, especially with increased renewable energy sources. Try factoring in reduced healthcare costs in cities where pollution will be lowered by electric cars.

0
Tomas101

Let the electric vehicles come...and yes, there will be problems,but this is the year 2009! & we were supposed to be like the "Jetsons by now!" The recriprocating engine is ancient, the only thing driving that thing down our throats is the oil companies.

1
Amy Judd

I agree with Jordan, how are they going to implement all those charging stations for the cars? I don't see how they could do it.

2
Roy C

Until you can generate electricity without generating carbon dioxide, the electric car will remain a hoax, as Pim has so well argued.

Diesel made from bio-diesel is the best solution. Valcent Technology has the best bio-diesel approach that I have read about, but that would not be the point. The link takes you to the Valcent Tech article from here at NowPublic.

The point would be that one-tenth of the land in New Mexico could be devoted to growing algae in their towers and would create enough bio-diesel to fuel the whole US where diesel or gasoline is now being used.

No extra batteries. No need to implement a whole new way to charge cars or a whole new way to generate electricity. Just change fuels and engines and drive on. Oh, by the way, now bio-gasoline is available, too.

0
Mikasi

The thought of pulling up to the MacDonalds filling station and choosing between Regular and Supersize at the pump intimidates me...

2
PIM of SPAIN

What Jordan points out is correct the batteries will improve over time, although that can take much more time than yet is envisioned. The real problem is the infrastructure of a viable recharge network. This will be a huge task, and requires a big investment that might not be in the cards. Imagine to put up hundreds of loading station in a very short period of time. For biodiesel you can use the existing fuel stations, its already there!

Nyctuber pollution in the cities is not gone with the use of more electricity, it even might increase by the higher degree of consumption of electricity. Zero emission has to be materialized through innovative technology in filtering it out, as I stated at the end of the story.

Thanks Cypresso for your encouraging comment.


0
JeffHuang

Great post.

2
PIM of SPAIN

Thanks Roy it is the carbon factor in the generation of electricity that conveniently taken out of the equation. I'll take a look at the of valcent, thanks for the tip. It is my intention in the near future to write about the various bio fuel possibilities. Even dung is converted into bio fuel yet. But algae and coal are the most abundant options relative to cost and surface needed.

0
PIM of SPAIN

Thanks Jeff for yr compliment.

0
albertacowpoke

So living where I live creates several problems as I see, first of all a viable network, a battery that will withstand the cold winters and the generation of electricity from an already stressed out power grid.  Energy in Alberta is generated by coal, so it is a double edged sword.  Thanks for the info.

0
Pedro B. Meyer

Great story. Personally I am very interested in bio-fuels, especially making bio-diesel from algae. Though currently it is pretty difficult to make bio-diesel from algae, this because there are various types of algae, some containing little lipid and fatty acids and others more.

"Algal strains, diatoms, and cyanobacteria (catagorised collectively as "Microalgae") have been found to contain proportionally high levels of lipids (over 30%). These microalgal strains with high oil, or lipid content are of great interest in the search for a sustainable feedstock for the production of biodiesel." www.oilalgae.com

There are so many factors that influence algae, such as water temperature, amount of sun light and Co2 (and other gasses), that it's currently difficult for producers to make "the best" algae for bio-diesel production. But, I truly believe that sometime soon with thorough research, these factors could be controlled and we'd be able to produce the best algae unlimitedly.

0
James Raider

PIM,


Thank you for shedding light on the fog being pushed on the world by the MSM and politicians.

0
djermano

PIM you have no faith in the design, and the means to making a real electric car. Myself and my ideas, are entirely different than the hybrid hubrub, and coal plant electric generation.

See my car here.....

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/my-car-wind-generator-car

Now I know this may look strange, but the point is...it works.. I am certain designs can be made to make it look more attractive. My idea also revolves around the electric bike. There are thousands of electric bikes in China. I am trying to start up a company that will install hand size fans onto the bikes, so when they are moving, electric is pumped back into the battery. I envision several designs ranging from one in the front, to two to four in the back as it shares the turn signal location..if you get my meaning. My word......this will work...in supplying at least additional go go power and distance. And when it is parked, and a wind comes along, it is still putting juice back into the batteries. I think it is a worthwhile business opportunity....and will create new jobs....I am excited about this market opportunity.

My first plan is to buy a bike and set it up. Whether I craft my own handsize fans, or get a small company to start making them for me..time will tell....

As far as fuel options..I think our best bet at the moment is using methane gas. It is everywhere, and it is much cleaner than Oil. In fact you can make methane from cow-poop, chicken poop, pig-poop, or any kind of poop. Now here would be a great additional money maker for struggling farmers to make. It is much easier to make than ethanol, or growing algae for algae oil.

Here in China they do this.....whether in a large swimming size pool pit, or in canisters in the house....they generate gas and hook it up to their stoves for cooking. Pretty amazing I think.

I have a single tank design that will work... These are some of my ideas that I personally am working on... The nice thing about cow-power or really Poop-Power is that....you get the stuff for free....unlike needing to grow sugar or starch for ethanol production, or waiting long periods of time for algae oil to be harvested...

http://journeytoforever.org/biofuel_library/methane_bate.html......

 

Rev. Jermano

 

0
George Hardy

PIM,

You fail to understand the basic principles of marketing.  Take a look on the street.  Are all of the vehicles the same?  Of course they are suited to different purposes.  A sports car cannot hold more than two peole, yet there is a market for sports cars.  A five-passenger sedan cannot transport a refrigerator, yet there is a market for five-passenger sedans.  

So you use logic of the same parlous validity to argue that since electric cars may not work in very cold climates, and cannot be driven long distances without a recharge, they must therefor be a fraud.  The parts of the world that do not have extremely cold climates have huge car-buying populations.  Further, the majority of car miles driven per day in urban and suburban population centers (where most car buyers of the world live) are much less than the range of an electric car.

There is a very large market for vehices in families that own more than one vehicle, and the vehicles are purchased for different reasons.  For example, many families own a small, easy-to-park car for most daily uses, but may also own an SUV for long trips and family trips.  An electric car that can go for even 80 miles between charges is more than edequate for many purposes.  Charging at home at night is actually very convenient because you never have to waste time going to a gas station.

Your reasoning is the same as the reasoning of the Big 3 US automakers, and they are essentially bankrupt.  So if you ar suc a marketing genius, who not seek a job at one of those firms?  They will like your position.  But unfortunately they are not hiring right now.

0
PIM of SPAIN

All of you very much thanked for the positive comments. Indeed it is the purport of my contribution to create better insight through in depth public awareness.

To the ones who apparently misunderstood the factual meaning of this post:

Djermano your idea is ingenious however outside the relevance of my contribution. In my second comment above I already mentioned the dung (poop) application for bio fuels. This application as you described is already widely in use in India. Please keep me posted about your turbo prop bike development. I agree, if it all works to plan that could have a future.

To George Hardy: Your insult is incorrect, unnecessary and not polite. It shows me that you didn’t catch the gist. Your arguments are beside the content of this story and thus not relevant. As a matter of fact I was fifty years ago amongst the pioneers that developed and implemented successfully industrial marketing.


0
djermano

Thanks PIM...I hope so too... It's exciting.....and I think a superb idea.

Rev. Jermano

God Bless

0
3fold

PIM is the first person I've read to show any understanding of energy.  Jermano, go to engineering school and study thermodynamics. You'll see where you're ideas are flawed.  In fact, I encourage everyone to study the laws of thermodynamics.  Until then, don't make ingnorant claims about our energy problems until you understand the subject. 

What you all must understand is Energy cannot be created or destroyed; it can simply change forms.  The electricity used to power a car has to come from somewhere-coal power plants, perhaps?  Jermano, your fans mounted on the bikes will be an areodynamic inefficiency, simply adding to the energy required to move the bike down the road.  Every time engery changes forms-battery power used to spin the wheels of a bike-you lose energy by other means do to inefficiencies of the system (friction, heat loss, drag).  Simply, all of the available energy in a battery or that stored in the molecular bonds of a fuel does not get used for it's intended purpose: some, if not a majority, is lost due to these inefficiencies.

Also, you must think about energy content.  Gasoline and other oil derivatives contain a huge amount of energy per volume, unlike many of its 'competitors.' In other words, miles per gallon with oil products is far better. Research dollars should be invested in how to make what we have more efficient. 

And to Mr. George Hardy, there's a huge market for ignorant individuals who cannot think for themselves.  It is served by mass media and they obviously have your business. 

0
djermano

I am not about to become indoctrinated into your lies 3 fold. I can make and do anything I want...and when it proves to work....what is your grumbling. Who cares what you think.....when I have done them, seen it work. I am not about making racing cars....and jet engines....I am about making simple common form transportation....That's all you need...and it shouid be encouraged. So get off your high horse and accept other people and their ideas in the world do exist. Who gives you the right to demean me?   I will do every thing I can to resist and defeat the Oil Company Monsters who are destroying our planet... I will not shut up....I have only just begun MF.

http://www.mdi.lu/english/...

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/my-car-wind-generator-car

And PIM you are a disgrace to discourage innovation, and parade around here that electric cars are a hoax... The problem with you people..is you never try to disprove or improve the transporation market.....only feeding us your continued BS about the Oil industry...with their hooks in America's pocket... You and them should be ashamed of yourselves..... Murderers.

 

Rev. Jermano

0
PIM of SPAIN

3fold very much to the point, I'm happy with yr contribution because it clearly explains the dynamics of energy that even can be understood by laymen and amateurs in this field. Indeed it is amazing that none or few politicians do understand this subject why little tax dollars are invested for more research in improvement in efficiency of energy use. May I refer to my other articles related with this subject Biofuel or Biofool and Carbon Con. Thanks.

0
PIM of SPAIN

Dear djermano I see you're very upset with above comment. But in all fairness it has to be explained what the dynamics are in energy generation and use. I personally don't believe in your turbo bike, but are still interested to learn more about your development. I'm not closed for innovation, I have been one of the very first that introduced industrial innovation in the late 50s, and encountered, at that time a lot of resistance. However an objective analysis is not always appreciated as you apparently do. Never mind, the going idealism about electric cars at this stage is not justified. The thing I did is to bring that to the attention. That doesn't mean that all is garbage, the electric car industry isn't yet at a stage that makes such a car a viable option. For the time being there are better innovative alternatives. Electric cars are too expensive and don't deliver what up till now has been promised. If Governments want to subsidize new transport vehicles, they should go beyond electric cars. For the record: Per definition battery-power contains a waste in the supply of energy, as correctly is explained by 3fold.


By the way djermano I don't like your insult, being a murderer, I'm a descent family man.


0
djermano

There are lots of family men who live in Iraq and Afghanistan as well. We all know this phoney war on terror revolves and percolates from the criminals in Washington who operate the military for the Oil Hawks.

The reason they don't want this special electric turbo bike.....is because it can also become the new ElectricTurboWarBike; due to the military applications it can be used for. That is why unverified guys come in making comments with their finger pointing because they are not only coming to grip to realizing they have been bamboozled by Bush and his cronies in this murder campaign across the Middle East and Asia Minor, but also their auto empire is going down the toilet that supports their Oil machine...which really runs the US military..

Yeah they want to shut me up...but they don't know what they are up against.

If someone comes out with a vehicle that needs no oil or gas to run.on ...it will change the entire spectrum of  war in the battlefield. Who needs oil..when a special military warbike is used that can climb and go through terrain...to deliver weapons, and supplies....to fight occupation forces such as in Afghanistan.... Picture Taliban soldiers riding these, with their over the shoulder stinger missiles.

Then they take the technology to a new level, by making it into a robot which can be steered and operated by telephone technology..and the GPS system. Camera phones could be stationed and have an endless supply of energy to operate tracking and keeping informed to military operations.  And they can be used to operate mobile radar bikes to spot drones, and impending attacks on them.

And it doesn't end there...because these warbikes can be setup to simply run around in a circle having it attached to duel large generators that could provide enough energy to keep camps and guerillas happy....

Think when Vietnam cranks up its arms manufacturing selling to the Taliban....having arms delivered by mercenary smugglers.....Think how they would help India by fighting Pak troops in Kashmir....simply because the US has occupied their Homeland in Afghanistan, and has promoted the fake terror into Pakistan...pressuring Pakistan with bribes to fight innocent people....All for what? For the Oil Empire, the US Military Complex......the lies from 911.... And it is supported by a defunct society that puts more integrity into creating War than creating peace.

I am a family man too PIM.....and by God I am no murderer.....and doing all I can to get US troops out of peoples homelands..... They are not God's messengers....they are quite the opposite.

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/taliban-are-gods-great-people-voiceforpeace..

Rev. Jermano

0
3fold

Jermano

Whoa! War bikes? Your words only reinforce the point I made earlier.  I can't stress this point enough.  Study and understand energy.  Then, you will be able to make intelligent contributions to the discussion.  I do not appose any intellectual thought or invention.  In fact, I am all for it.  I am an engineer.  That is what we do.  But I can't sit mute while people spread this ingnorant b.s.  

Look into 'perpetual motion' and you will see where your ideas are flawed.  One more time to clear the record:

ENERGY CANNOT BE CREATED OR DESTROYED.

So, your 'war bikes' or turbo fans will not generate any more energy than that used to move them.  Now, if the fan is turned from natural wind, as in a wind mill, then you can capture the energy from the moving air.  But, I fear the amount of energy you will get from this source may only be enough to power a headlight, if you are lucky. 

0
PIM of SPAIN

Thanks 3fold for your clear explanation on the subject.

And djermano if you too are a family man don't insult us being murderes until you have evidential proof it. I really had expected to read your apology. But still it is not too late to do so.


0
djermano

ENERGY CANNOT BE CREATED OR DESTROYED.....you expect me to believe that? You want me to believe the world will not run out of oil? You want me to believe that by using so much ... Global Warming will not destroy the earth? You certainly are one delusional engineer....and frankly is the reason I am smart enough to not give you /them the Institutions my money for your defunct lies....

Now, if the fan is turned from natural wind, as in a wind mill, then you can capture the energy from the moving air.  But, I fear the amount of energy you will get from this source may only be enough to power a headlight, if you are lucky. 

Frankly 3 fold....you have no idea what you are talking about.....you have no imagination of how things work...Perpetual Motion has already been invented, and you don't even know it, and you went to a University? Goes to prove you learned nothing, and I am not about to tell you my ideas.... That's what you BS artists want... You are a Big Oil supporter.....those who are; I consider liars, murderers and supporters of the Militaristic Machine. If anyone needs apologizing it needs to be coming from your end. You buy their gas...which pays for their bullets.... 1+1= Murderer.

Stop lying about it to yourselves.

Rev. Jermano

0
3fold

Jermano,

1+1=2.  Don't spread more lies than you already have.  Perpetual motion is a myth.  I know your uneducated mind doesn't understand; that is why I instructed you to study the subject before you open your mouth.  For the last time, study THERMODYNAMICS.  There are four laws you should know.  I'll leave the rest up to you.  And yes, accusations of murder only detract from you already ignorant and uninformed argument.  As you study engery, maybe a lesson or two in rhetoric will help.

0
PIM of SPAIN

Thanks 3fold, unfortunately not many under us do have a logic mind, usually that are the people than cannot think along straight lines, and consequently don't understand your message. To hide their incompetence they make you out for murderer and don't have the education to apologize for their error. Stubbornness is the result.

Anyhow your explanations are a great contribution to this article. If you wish send me a private message.


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