Futures Freeze as Stock Markets Plunge Despite Oil Prices Drop

by Jordan Yerman | October 24, 2008 at 06:35 am
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As the trading day winded down in the East, western markets opened on a gloomy note as the UK is officially "on the brink of recession", even as OPEC initiates emergency measures to force oil prices to drop. Futures trading was frozen for the first time in 11 years in order to arrest the slide.

Wall Street was poised to plummet at the opening bell on Friday, after U.S. stock index futures dove so steeply that they had to be frozen at several points as global markets were battered by signs the global economy is in the throes of recession.

The current futures limits are as follows:

S&P 500 Futures: -60

Dow Jones Futures: -550

Nasdaq Futures: -85

They can drop no further until the market opens. These numbers are set quarterly, based on a 5% loss of the markets' values -- not current values, but the values when they were set. Then, these rules go into effect:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 5% in the first minutes of trading, while the hi-tech Nasdaq index plunged as much as 6% at one point.

On European markets, London was down 6% in afternoon trading, Frankfurt fell 8% and Paris was 6% lower.

On currency markets, the pound fell to $1.52 at one point, the lowest level in six years, on expectations of further UK rate cuts.

Banking shares were particularly hard hit. Santander, the largest bank in the eurozone, saw its shares plummet 11%.

The UK's economy shrank for the first time in a generation:

Output fell by 0.5%, according to the Office for National Statistics, a bigger-than-expected drop, knocking UK shares and weakening the pound.

The UK will be classed as being in recession if the economy slows in the fourth quarter as well.

Oil prices fell, too, despite OPEC cutting its output:

OPEC decided to lower supply by 1.5 million barrels a day from November, oil ministers said today at the end of a meeting at the group's Vienna's headquarters. The reduction will be from the existing quota for 11 members of 28.8 million barrels a day.
The decision to cut about 5% of the cartel's total daily output came after an emergency Opec meeting in Vienna.
Manufacturing is slowing down, though, which means less fuel consumed. Initial price is not the only factor driving fuel sales, after all: demand is equally important, and it isn't only SUVs that are less thirsty than they once were.

Stocks followed the lead of plunging markets worldwide, with Japan's Nikkei index ending down 9.6%. European markets down almost as sharply, with major indexes down 8% in France and Germany and 7% in London.

Markets were down 14% in Moscow when the exchange there suspended trading until Tuesday.

"Today might be the day where everybody throws in the towel," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist for Avalon Partners. "People are saying 'I've had it, I can't take it anymore, I'm selling everything.'"

I don't have a Series 7, but if you're a day trader (citizen stockbroker?), I don't recommend going along with Cardillo's hypothetical- there's no sense in selling at a loss unless you desperately need the money, like, right this second. A better move, particularly for mutual fund holders, is to flip to a different story (try the Strange Channel!) and let the long-term-growth tendency kick in. This could take time, though.

We will cover this and related stories on our Markets Channel. Your input is welcome.

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Sputnic

Good stuff, why cant I flag from a mobile

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Jordan Yerman

Does your mobile browser support Javascript?

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Sputnic

I think so !

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