NP Rank:
More than 40 Percent of World Wealth Wiped Out By Crunch
If you are feeling poorer because of the credit crunch, it is for a reason: 40 percent of the world's wealth has been wiped out so far and it is predicted to only get worse.
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Steve Schwarzman, chariman of private equity giant Blackstone, said an "almost incomprehensible" amount of cash has been vapourised by the crunch.
Also at the talk, global media mogul Rupert Murdoch had this to say: "The crisis is getting worse. It's going to take drastic action to turn it around, if it can be turned around, quickly. I believe it will take a long time."
Sir Howard Davies, director of the London School of Economics and a former Bank of England policymaker said: "The outlook is pretty grim. Things are not good and business surveys are coming out showing they're getting even worse."
In 2006, the global market for the financial instruments called derivatives more than doubled to US $29 trillion, according to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). The total amount of over-the-counter contracts whose value is derived from price changes of bonds, currencies, commodities and stocks, or events like interest rates or the weather, rose 39.5 percent to US $415 trillion, the biggest jump since the BIS began compiling the data.
What this means in layman's terms is this: the entire global economy is based on speculated figures. When the confidence and economic instruments underpinning this enormous bubble of wealth disappear, then it quickly falls apart. While it is true the sun still shines and the rain still comes, such an implosion has very serious consequences for all economic decisions. Many people have based their whole concept of wealth on this bubble, and it will take a long time for them to get to grips with a dramatic reduction in the wealth they believe they have.
The respected Market Oracle blog has an article contemplating the US entering a period of stagnation lasting two decades. It believes the weight of debt is so great, and consumers feeling so burned by what has happened, people will not fall for the government's attempts to make them consume more, and get further into debt. The consequence will be increasing savings and dropping prices. It also postulates that if the government does press ahead with trying to stimulate more consumption and debt (which it does look like it wants to do), then the end result will be an enormous hyperinflationary crisis along the lines of what is happening today in Zimbabwe. Or happened with the Weimar Republic in Germany prior to World War II.
LINK:
Photos from Iceland's credit crunch demonstrations. Website: http://www.flickr.com/photos/15195144@N06/sets/72157613009834677/
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Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (19)
at 13:27 on January 28th, 2009
I think everyone, except the elite, are feeling poorer these days.
Such scary and dire times we are definitely facing.
at 14:40 on January 28th, 2009
at 15:07 on January 28th, 2009
I have a question...where is that 40% now?
It has to be in someone's pocket.
at 15:36 on January 28th, 2009
Actually when assets (like shares and real estate) decrease in value the money (value) is just lost. No transfer of wealth is involved. Like this: your home used to be worth $500,000 and it drops down to $300,000 you lose $200,000 of wealth. No one gained anything. You just lost.
at 18:21 on January 28th, 2009
Interesting point--but in all actuality, its real money that's been destroyed. For example, if your 401(k) had $2,000,000 in assets last year for your retirement but now it has $800,000, that's a real and value based loss.
at 18:41 on January 28th, 2009
i agree but no one gained (like i said in my post). A home and a stock portfolio are both just assets. Their value is only really relevent when you go to sell them.
at 13:36 on January 29th, 2009
The speculative bubble burst and the speculative money went poof!
at 15:37 on January 28th, 2009
Maybe we can just go back to bartering with eggs and chickens
at 15:41 on January 28th, 2009
I don't have any eggs or chickens!
at 15:45 on January 28th, 2009
The world economy has to reconsider basing currency on assets like gold, oil or some other commodity that has real underlying value and scarcity. Otherwise we will see collapses and currency manipulations that fulfill political and not economic goals. We had it until 1972 (the $USD) so it wasn't that long ago - it is still a viable option.
at 14:02 on January 29th, 2009
The world economy is built on slave labour and UNSUSTAINABLE resources like gold, oil etc. Please STOP thinking along those lines!
at 14:23 on January 29th, 2009
Please refrain from telling me and other NP members how to think. You are free to voice your own opinion but so is every other NP member.
at 16:16 on January 28th, 2009
A quick trip to Coffs harbour Australia ina Cessna Citation bravo.
twitter @jonoh
JonoH has contributed a photo to this story.
at 18:01 on January 28th, 2009
Thank you for this timely article. Here is my contribution to the worldwide tale of woe. In spring 2008, I had to rollover a pension amount to an IRA because I had not stayed with the employer 10 years (the amount of time it took to be vested). So I rolled over seven years of my own pension contribs. (not matched by the company and not tax-deductible during those years). Once I started this IRA with a reputable American firm, all it did was lose and lose money in 2008! Q. is how long will it take just to get back to where I started it, in April '08? That is was not just the middle class that lost money in in the past year is kind of comforting, I have to say. We're all in the same boat, trying to recoup our losses.
at 18:06 on January 28th, 2009
In the past that time frame (for the Dow index not individual stocks) was 7 years or less. In other words any time since the Dow Jones Index was invented if you purchased the 35 Dow stocks and looked forward there was no period where that investment would be a loos and mostly it would provide good returns.
at 18:17 on January 28th, 2009
This is only a piece of metal...
Gabriel Velloso has contributed a photo to this story.
at 18:33 on January 28th, 2009
The Oglebay Institute Mansion Museum, near Wheeling, West Virginia, was built in 1846 as an eight room farmhouse. It has been remodeled and enlarged since that time.
JimLacey has contributed a photo to this story.
at 20:07 on January 28th, 2009
If 40% of the world's wealth has all of a sudden vanished into thin air, would someone please tell those on Wall Street that got paid those huge annual bonuses for plunging the entire world into financial ruin that they have been paid with funny money? Oh wait a minute. So that's where the missing 40% went!
at 12:58 on January 29th, 2009
Capitalism is stupid