[Smarter than Humans?] Why We Can Be Confident of Turing Test Capability Within a Quarter Century by Ray Kurzweil

by Erik Larson | August 16, 2008 at 02:01 pm
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Why We Can Be Confident of Turing Test Capability Within a Quarter Century by Ray Kurzweil

Why We Can Be Confident of Turing Test Capability Within a Quarter Century by Ray Kurzweil

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Of the three primary revolutions underlying the Singularity (G, N, and R), the most profound is R, which refers to the creation of nonbiological intelligence that exceeds that of unenhanced humans. A more intelligent process will inherently outcompete one that is less intelligent, making intelligence the most powerful force in the universe.

While the "R" in GNR stands for robotics, the real issue involved here is strong AI (artificial intelligence that exceeds human intelligence). The standard reason for emphasizing robotics in this formulation is that intelligence needs an embodiment, a physical presence, to affect the world. I disagree with the emphasis on physical presence, however, for I believe that the central concern is intelligence. Intelligence will inherently find a way to influence the world, including creating its own means for embodiment and physical manipulation. Furthermore, we can include physical skills as a fundamental part of intelligence; a large portion of the human brain (the cerebellum, comprising more than half our neurons), for example, is devoted to coordinating our skills and muscles.

Artificial intelligence at human levels will necessarily greatly exceed human intelligence for several reasons. As I pointed out earlier machines can readily share their knowledge. As unenhanced humans we do not have the means of sharing the vast patterns of interneuronal connections and neurotransmitter-concentration levels that comprise our learning, knowledge, and skills, other than through slow, language-based communication. Of course, even this method of communication has been very beneficial, as it has distinguished us from other animals and has been an enabling factor in the creation of technology.

Human skills are able to develop only in ways that have been evolutionarily encouraged. Those skills, which are primarily based on massively parallel pattern recognition, provide proficiency for certain tasks, such as distinguishing faces, identifying objects, and recognizing language sounds. But they're not suited for many others, such as determining patterns in financial data. Once we fully master pattern-recognition paradigms, machine methods can apply these techniques to any type of pattern.2

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Amy Judd

This seems to be a fairly old article - I'm just wondering why you decided to re-post it here now?

Interesting piece though!


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Erik Larson

sorry Amy, it's been tough keeping up with comments while writing and posting new stuff; it's 2 years old, but still 23 years in advance of Kurzweil's prediction for the date of the first time a computer will pass the Turing Test, so I figured it's still fresh. Plus, I wanted to get the feedback of people here. I agree, Kurzweil's research is fascinating, and dozens of his predictions have come to pass already.

Emilio Lizardo
Emilio Lizardo
flagged this story as Good Stuff

at 11:37 on August 17th, 2008

Erik Larson, I like this story. It's good stuff.

There are people living in the hills of northern India called saddhus who live much in the same way they have for thousands of years. They have their favorite caves and watering holes and know where to go for the beneficial plants which will help them overcome illness or achieve certain mental states.

The saddhus have known about this 'greatest intelligence in the universe' for millenia. Some join with it permanently, others practice to achieve its union only several times a day. Most saddhus nowadays, alas, are little more than bums and hustlers out to seperate the unsuspecting tourist from his rupees.

Saddhus say this great primordial intelligence projects the universes much in the same way a film projector will illuminate onto a flat screen the images we call movies.

They say the name of this intelligence is purusha.

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Erik Larson

That is completely intense, Emilio. Reminds me The Holographic Universe by Michael Talbot. I've never been able to meditate really, but maybe if i go hang with the saddhus, as you did...

I know there is a wealth of untapped power in the human mind and brain, and just as technology has given us the power to see, hear and interact with people and ideas around the globe, i think it is and will be helping us all tap into and liberate our spirits from the chains imposed by governments, corporations, "education", civilization- and our own egos, selfishness and "sin", i.e "missing the mark". 

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