When Will U.S. Interest Rates Rise?

When Will U.S. Interest Rates Rise?

Recently I was asked a question that I suspect has been on many investors’ minds. Here’s the question: “Is it possible that the bond market will be the market to tumble into 2014, and as it does, the general market decline is mitigated by the rotation of money out of bonds and into stocks?”

Here’s my answer: Anything is possible in today’s upside-down world. As my late friend and mentor Bud Kress used to ask, “Does anything surprise you anymore?” But I’d have to say here – and I firmly believe Bud would echo this sentiment – if there’s any validity to the 120-year Kress cycle, a sustainable rising interest rate trend isn’t likely until after October 2014.

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