NP Rank:
Social Networks Losing Steam
The big three social networking sites (Facebook, Bebo, and Myspace) are seeing their pageviews decline. Between a fickle user base and high-profile security problems, more and more users are either not logging in as often (or at all), or sticking around for a shorter span of time on a given page. As in real life, online hangouts see their patronage decline if they become too uncool or too unsafe.
The average length of time users spend on all of the top three sites is on the slide. Bebo, MySpace and Facebook all took double-digit percentage hits in the last months of 2007. December could perhaps be forgiven as a seasonal blip when people see their real friends and family, but the trend was already south.The story year-on-year is even uglier for social networking advocates. Bebo and MySpace were both well down on the same period in 2006 - Murdoch's site by 24 per cent. Facebook meanwhile chalked up a rise, although way off its mid-2007 hype peak when you couldn't move for zeitgeist-chasing "where's the Facebook angle?" stories in the press and on TV.
You can survey the full numerical horror for youself here at Creative Capital.
That "user engagement" is dropping off (page impression growth is merely slowing) should be of particular concern for the sales people struggling to turn these free services into profit-making businesses. In the age of tabbed browsing, how long people stick around is particularly key for "interactive" sites, where people aren't attracted by useful information, but by time-wasting opportunities.
"Once social networking users have collected the people they value into their friends list, the service has to give them a reason to keep logging in. Right now, generalist social networks like Facebook and MySpace are competing for stickiness by accreting features and applications and encouraging users to share and store videos, photos, and other user-generated content."
Also, the edginess wears off when advertisers colonize a site too deeply:
Take Second Life. The online virtual world enjoyed acres of column inches last year, with hoardes of companies creating a virtual presence on the site - the clothing company American Apparel has a retail outlet there, and Reuters has a news bureau within Second Life to report on events in the virtual universe.
Hardly, I think, a death-knell, but definitely a spurr towards innovation.
Crowd Power
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BigT
Whittier, California, United States -
israelonblog
Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel, Israel








Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (6)
at 11:15 on January 31st, 2008
Coolness is like an ice cube - it eventually melts away.
The next generation for online socialization will probably go through a widget people can put on their homepage. There's already a site (maybe more than one) that I've heard about that lets you manage all of your social networking sites from one location.
I think that online communities are here to stay (the investors behind NP surely hope so) but I think they will revolve more around niche markets (like news, for example) instead of just a one-stop shop for everyone. Catering to a niche market allows for more customization and allows for people with a similar outlook to congregate on one site (and I know there is a company that buys niche websites and pimps them out to be more community-like).
Anyways, good stuff Jordan.
at 11:24 on January 31st, 2008
Thanks. Indeed, remote Facebook widgets are in the pipeline- they of the poke and the wall, at least, is planning ahead.
at 12:29 on January 31st, 2008
jordan, I like this story. It's good stuff. Judging by how much time my Teen spends on all three sites, it makes me wonder, perhaps a fad, who knows. My boy still uses MSN messenger as well. I mean how many sites do you need to chat on, especially when phone rings off the hook as well. As least no one can say my son will flunk communications as a subject, since that is all I see him doing.
at 13:49 on January 31st, 2008
Hello Jordan,
I'm not too sure at the moment if that's really true or not as I don't belong to any of them. However a story of mine that I wrote here (which got completely missed!) might give some insight - at least to Technorati's status.
If you don't keep your members happy - they're not going to stay with you - especially when there are other places for you to go.
~ Swan
at 14:09 on January 31st, 2008
I've been amazed at how fast people migrate to new social networking sites. With my friends, it was first Friendster, then MySpace, and now Facebook. There isn't a huge fundamental difference between the three, although Facebook is definitely the nicest, and third party applications are a big development.
Companies that pioneer an idea are often overtaken by the companies waiting in the wings, watching and learning from mistakes, and then pouncing with a slightly more sophisticated product when the timing's right. I think at some point people will get tired of moving from site to site though.
at 16:40 on January 31st, 2008
Jordan: whats funny is I saw this post on FACEBOOK! Why I don't spend much time on myspace is the, "friend requests", that are nothing more than porn to draw you away. I get tired of deleting 9 out of 10 requests becuse they are from porn or dating sites