Tropics Are Becoming Active Again

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Tropical Depression 12 and Tropical Storm Jose

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The latest Atlantic tropical weather outlook on the National Hurricane Center's site indicates some increase in activity with several weather systems to keep an eye on:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 10 TO 15 MPH. WHILE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED
TODAY AS THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN OVER LAND... SOME DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE AFTER IT EMERGES INTO IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
LATER TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WILL BE AVAILABLE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON... IF NECESSARY.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN... JUST WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY... BUT IT HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS OVER HISPANIOLA AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... AND
EXTENDING NORTHWARD OVER THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR A COUPLE
HUNDRED MILES. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND IS NOT
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY

Some helpful links:

Gulf of Mexico Visible Loop

Western Atlantic Visible Loop

National Hurricane Center 

Tropical GOES

And a serious weather enthusiast site: Central Florida Hurricane Center

Skeetobite Maps

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2005

...CORRECTED WAVE POSITION TO WEST OF CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

8/22 6:20pm image update:

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO. THIS
SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS IN
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
ABOUT 350 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. WHILE THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...THE
SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTEND FROM EASTERN CUBA AND
HISPANIOLA ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC
FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...AND DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.