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2008 Electoral College Obama 248, McCain 163
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by politisite | October 8, 2008 at 08:42 pm
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Rove's Latest Electoral Maps Have Clinton Stronger Than Obama Against McCain
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New state polling from Wisconsin has moved that state from "Leans Democratic" to "Likely Democratic" in the Rasmussen Reports http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c... blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...on/election_20" target="_self">Balance of Power Calculator. With this change, Obama leads in states with 248 Electoral College votes while McCain is ahead in states with 163 Electoral College votes. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 300, McCain 174.
Currently, states with 63 Electoral College votes are leaning slightly in one way or the other. Five states with a total of 64 votes -- North Carolina, Ohio, Missouri, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c... blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...tial_election/" target="_self">Nevada, and http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c... blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...idential_elect" target="_self">Virginia -- are pure toss-ups.
State-by-state rankings are summarized in the following table…
State By State Balance of Power
Safe
GOP
(65)Likely
GOP
(98)Leans
GOP
(11)Toss
Up
(64)Leans
Dem
(52)Likely
Dem
(102)Safe
Dem
(146)DC (3)
HI (4)
This Balance of Power Calculator aggregates data from a variety of sources to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House. Data inputs include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms (the “538 Average”), Rasmussen Markets data, http://partners.tradesports.com/adclick.... blocked::http://partners.tradesports.com/...amp;bannerid=2 http://partners.tradesports.com/ad" target="_blank">Intrade market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history and national trends.
As a practical matter, all of the state-by-state changes are driven by the changes seen nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
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Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (6)
at 20:59 on October 8th, 2008
Who is Rasmussen and why is his polls any good? We haven't all voted yet.
at 07:17 on October 9th, 2008
Rene:
Rasumussen is one of the best polling companies around. This map is based upon in the last week not what he thinks the final outcome will be;
Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage I like him and Real Clear Politics. Last election cycle RCP was independent. They have since been bought by AOL Time Warner
at 21:08 on October 8th, 2008
politisite, I like this story. It's good stuff.
at 21:32 on October 8th, 2008
politisite, I like this story. It's good stuff.
at 21:33 on October 8th, 2008
I am surprised to see Maine and California as blue and Texas as red Sates.
at 07:07 on October 9th, 2008
Texas has been red forever as California is Blue.
For those who are worried that John McCain does not have a chance now... keep in mind that at the same time 4 years ago Bush was down by 11 points and the electoral Map had Bush with 167