NP Rank:
53% Of U.S. Voters Opposed To Obama's Health Care Plan
Recent polling data from Rasmussen and Gallup indicates that more Americans disapprove than approve of the proposed Democrat-sponsored health care reform legislation that is currently up for consideration in the U.S. Congress.
Rasmussen polls reflect data gathered from likely voters and tend to show higher disapproval numbers than do Gallup polls which take into consideration those Americans that typically don't vote.
Both the Rasmussen and Gallup polls, in spite of their differing methodologies however, indicate that more Americans disapprove of the current U.S. health care reform legislation than approve.
Both polls suggest that sentiments, expressed by a vocal few, at recent Democrat sponsored town hall health care meetings, are closer to the health care reform views of average Americans than are the views of the health care reform bill's sponsors.
Nationally, support for the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats has fallen to a new low. Just 42% favor the plan while 53% are opposed. Other data shows that 51% fear the federal government more than private insurance companies. Forty-one percent (41%) fear the insurance companies more. Overall, 32% favor a single-payer health care system for the U.S. while 57% are opposed.
Pennsylvania Senator Arlen Specter is feeling the heat of the health care debate. He now trails Republican Pat Toomey by double digits in an early look at the potential 2010 race. Two months ago, Specter led by double digits. Most Pennsylvania voters oppose the Congressional health care reform effort. Also, Specter’s lead is shrinking in his Democratic Primary match-up with Congressman Joe Sestak.
Overall, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. That’s the lowest level of total approval yet recorded. The President’s ratings first fell below 50% just a few weeks ago on July 25. Fifty-two percent (52%) now disapprove.
It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama's numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the President's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. Other factors are also important to consider when http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c... blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/..._by_scott_rasm" target="_self">comparing Job Approval ratings from different polling firms.
Reporting from Washington - The vocal few standing up at summer town-hall meetings with complaints about the president's proposed healthcare reforms aren't the only ones with concerns, polling shows.
Slightly more Americans disapprove of the president's handling of healthcare than those who approve, the Gallup Poll reports this morning -- with findings essentially unchanged during the last three weeks of an increasingly volatile public debate.Nearly half of those surveyed -- 49% -- said they disapproved of Obama's "handling of healthcare policy." And 43% told Gallup's interviewers that they approved.
The findings of the Aug. 6-9 survey are virtually unchanged from those of a Gallup poll conducted in mid-July, when 50% said they disapproved and 44% said they approved.Despite the efforts to gain support, there appears to be a narrow but persistent gap in public backing for the healthcare reforms that the president is pressing Congress to approve by the end of the year.
PRINCETON, NJ -- A review of public opinion research on healthcare reform reveals that Americans may have hit the slowdown button. One primary cause for this appears to be public concerns about cost, but there are a number of additional elements involved. The bottom line is a sense that, while Americans apparently favor some type of healthcare reform in the long term, they are in no hurry to see healthcare reform legislation passed in the short-term on a rushed schedule.
Herewith is a summary of 10 key elements of American public opinion on healthcare reform, based on a review of the latest survey research as of the week of July 27-31.
1. Most Americans do not believe that the U.S. healthcare system is in a state of crisis. The economy outweighs healthcare as the most pressing problem facing the country and in Americans' personal lives.
2. Americans are not convinced that healthcare reform will benefit them personally. This is, in part, because most Americans are satisfied with their current medical care and access to healthcare. Seniors in particular are not convinced that healthcare reform will benefit them.
3. Americans agree that healthcare costs are a major problem for the country. Americans do not, however, believe that healthcare reform would lessen costs -- neither for the system as a whole nor for individuals.
4. The push for healthcare reform is occurring in an environment characterized by high levels of concern about fiscal responsibility, government spending, and the growing federal deficit. Americans are being asked to approve major new healthcare expenditures at a time when they are not yet convinced that the last massive outlay of government money -- the stimulus -- has made an impact.
5. Americans have relatively little confidence in Congress and thus, by inference, little confidence that Congress can effectively and efficiently reform the country's massive healthcare system.
6. Americans continue to have more confidence in President Obama on healthcare issues than in either the Democrats or Republicans in Congress. Obama's political capital, however, is waning. This leads to a circularity in which Obama's hard push for healthcare reform may hurt his approval ratings, and his falling approval ratings may hurt his credibility on healthcare reform. One inevitable byproduct of Obama's strong push on reform is the politicalization of healthcare. Most Democrats support it, Republicans oppose it, and independents are in the middle.
7. Americans have mixed or ambivalent views of the role government should have in healthcare. They favor some government involvement, but not a government-run healthcare system.
8. On a case-by-case basis, Americans favor many specific proposals that have been put forth as ways of reforming healthcare.
9. Despite positive views of many specific reform proposals, Americans appear ambivalent at this juncture on the overall merits of passing a broad healthcare plan.
10. All in all, while the majority of Americans ultimately favor passage of healthcare reform, many are willing to wait until next year to see it happen.
Bottom Line
Taken together, these findings underscore the conclusion that Americans' views on the push for healthcare reform are in a state of flux, perhaps mirroring the back and forth debate in Congress on this contentious issue. Two keys for the average American appear to be cost and urgency. The data suggest a continuing need to convince Americans of the return on investment of any proposed major investment in healthcare reform. Americans also appear dubious about the benefits of what they perceive to be less-than-fully-informed representatives in Washington rushing into a new healthcare reform law when the need for such legislation is not the highest on the public's agenda.
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Rory Cripps
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Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (15)
at 18:27 on August 13th, 2009
QueensHart: That's one of the major problems with the plan . . . over a thousand pages! Who has the time to read through them all? Moreover, I'm sure that the plan is filled with ambiguities--what government plan isn't?
The polls clearly reflect the sentiment of the American people and the sentiments are more against than for the plan. The polls also show that most Americans are for health care reform. They're just not convinced that the current proposed plan is to their and their family's benefit and they are legitimately concerned about getting royally screwed over. Indeed, if the plan did go into effect there would be no turning back. We're talking about major legislation here that can have ramifications for decades to come.
The approval rating of U.S. lawmakers is abysmal. The country, as a whole, has no faith or confidence in any of them. And the only reason why they get elected is because they're good at bringing home the bacon to a select group of lobbyists and constituents. Not one of the bill's proponents can answer a straight forward question in regard to the bill. They only answer in vague generalities and when someone calls them on it, they get defensive and accuse American citizens of being NAZIS. In a way, I'm glad that this is going on, because I think that it will have the effect of showing many Americans what their politicians are all about.Namely arrogant, full of hubris, and filled with utter contempt for the American people.
at 19:42 on August 13th, 2009
As there is no 'Obama health care plan' or package that has been fashioned and made ready for a vote, with at least 3 pieces of legislation being considered in committee and both the Senate and the House of Representatives, what exactly is it that people oppose?
at 16:01 on August 14th, 2009
Nice job of trying to distance Obama from this inevitable dabacle. Done like a true pol! It won't work but nice to see Obama supporters trying to salvage some of the President's political capital. The biggest problem is that Obama, himself, has been the pointman for these reforms, he campaigned on them and he is leading the efforts (nowithstanding recent efforts to quietly back away and let his minion take the flack). If this fails he will take the hit in the polls.
at 18:01 on August 14th, 2009
Eastvanray, I don't see why this poll would be any truer than another nor do I have a like or dislike for it.
A poll is what it is, a snapshot of a pinpointed time frame, almost absolete upon its arrival, depending upon how fluid the subject matter or events are that are being gauged.
My statement was meant to indicate that, although President Obama is traveling across the country, talking about health care reform, talking on things he finds important in the bills, there is no bill that has been fully formed and submitted to any branch of the government for a vote.
So, there is no actual Obama health care plan, just several pieces of legislation that it's hoped, by the administration, that will get melded together, after Congress hashes out the details.
at 17:01 on August 14th, 2009
Karen: Thank you for your comment. Just to set the record straight, I've indicated (on this site) on a few occasions that I'm not happy at all with my private health care coverage. Indeed, I spend about $10 thousand per year on family medical coverage and that doesn't include medical procedures or emergency room visits. According to the polls, however, most Americans that are on private health plans are satisfied with their coverage. Go figure!
The polling data, included in the above story, paints a pretty good picture of why millions of Americans are highly skeptical of any government-sponsored health care plan. It doesn't make any difference as to which political party sponsors the health care plan. If the current proposal was put forth by Republicans, I believe that we'd see the same reaction.
Average Americans are typically blind to what their lawmakers are up to. Indeed, they couldn't care any less about what their lawmakers are up to unless it directly affects them--especially if it affects their pocket books and the matters of direct importance to them such as their relationship with their doctors and whether or not their families have unfettered access to health care. I know that sounds cynical, however, as an American that's lived in America for 55 years, I believe it to be the truth. And quite frankly, the apathy on the part of average Americans disturbs me greatly as I'm sure it disturbs you.
The politicians that are attempting to sell the health care reform plan are not very good sales people, to say the least, and what's worse is that they appear to be unfamiliar with their product. We all know that Americans will buy it on a stick, given the proper marketing techniques. And no one doubts that, given the amount of unnecessary crap that Americans buy. Indeed, Americans are an easy sell! But the politicians are, simply, not used to being questioned one-on-one and consequently put on the defensive by average Americans, because, as I've pointed out, average Americans (due to their apathy) typically don't engage their politicians.
I've started reading HR 3200 in spite of the fact that I have a life (or at least I thought I did). And right from the get-go of my reading, I couldn't help but conclude that if the bill (in its present form) were to be passed, virtually all Americans would be legally bound to the provisions of the bill. Again: I have no axe to grind in regard to HR 3200. I would love to cut my and my family's health care costs while receiving the same quality of health care.
Source: guardian.co.uk
at 17:41 on August 14th, 2009
You're welcome, Rory.
I seriously am curious what it is the pollsters have asked, by way of questions, and how those polled formulated their dislike.
Did the poll include a break down of what it was those polled opposed? I didn't pose the question as a rhetorical one.
I wondered about specifics, not a general 'I just don't like it', which of course, is their right as well.
So often, Americans like and dislike things 'just because', with no rhyme or reason to it.
at 19:08 on August 14th, 2009
Karen: "So often, Americans like and dislike things 'just because', with no rhyme or reason to it." HA! You've got that right in my opinion! As I've mentioned, I'm starting to read the proposed HR 3200 bill in it's entirety. My wife already thinks that I'm nuts and she'll be totally convinced of it in about another two weeks after I've deciphered the proposed legislation.
As to the "breakdown" of specifics, I honestly can't tell you, however I will look into it very carefully and I promise you that. In regard to specifics, the proponents of the bill don't appear to be conversant with the specifics. It appears to me that American citizens are the only ones that are bringing up specifics and the politicians are the ones that are not specific.
If the proponents of HR3200 really believe in the bill and want to sell Americans that are already covered on private plans, I offer this simple sales solution: Before the proposed bill can be approved, it must be written into the bill (and therefore law) that all members of the U.S. House and Senate, along with all members of the Executive and Judicial branch, as well as anyone working for the U.S. government cannot have any other form of health care other than the health care offered under the proposed bill. Nor can they seek any health care outside of the U.S. and therefore "cheat, as it were. If the bill's proponents show the American people that the bill is good enough for them and their families by giving up their present tax-payer funded health care perks then I think that they have a chance of selling the bill to the American people. Americans are always sold by a salesman that puts his money where his mouth is.
at 15:16 on September 30th, 2009
The latest gallop poll I could find was in July 2009 with USA Today.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2009-07-13-poll-health-care_N.htm
The one outstanding item here is that people want change in health care, but don't want to be responsible for a law that will cover the uninsured, all 48 million.
at 15:48 on September 30th, 2009
http://www.gallup.com/poll/122822/americans-sharply-divided-healthcare-reform.aspx
Here is a poll from August, but I did not see a figure that suggested 53% oppose Obama's health care reform.
at 16:38 on September 30th, 2009
a211423: Gallup, unlike Rasmussen, includes voters and non voters in their polls. Rasmussen only includes voters and likely voters. For that reason, Gallup will show anywhere from a 2 to 5% more favorable view of proposed health care legislation.
at 16:47 on September 30th, 2009
Rory,
Can we promise each other to take up this conversation in January 2010?
Now its all about "if."
We WILL have health care reform no matter which poll claims to have the crystal ball, then we can have a conversation about how its working and discuss where adjustments might have to be made.
: )
at 17:26 on September 30th, 2009
There's no crystal balls here. It's just polling data and accurate data at that. National health care is a big thing for the Democrat party. If they don't get something passed in the way of health care, no matter how they get it passed, then they will have egg on their face.
Voters are the key to whoever wins an election. If 50 million people that don't vote are all for national health care and another 50 million that have voted consistently throughout the years are against it, then no matter what health care legislation is passed, those that passed it are going to have a major re-election problem. Either way, it's a no win situation for the Democrat party because no matter what health care legislation they pass, it will be picked apart, line by line, and used as a wedge against them in the 2010 and 2012 elections. I think that the Democrat party has gone about this issue in the wrong way and the party is just going to continue to piss more and more voters off and alienate those that are sitting on the fence regarding this issue. And what will further compound their problem is that it is virtually always the case in American politics that the party of the president loses seats in the congress during mid-term elections.
at 18:13 on September 30th, 2009
Rory,
I am not concerned whether or not a Democrat or Republican politician gets re-elected, and would not characterize my views on health care reform around election strategy. Health care for 47 million people deserves to be addressed apart from politics. If providing health care for the uninsured and under insured is a wedge, then so be it.
National health care is a big thing for the Democrat party
Health care is "big thing" for everyone at least it should be. But those who are insured do not have the urgency weighted upon them like the uninsured. I would like to know how many of the voters in the poll already have insurance.
at 17:47 on September 30th, 2009
Funny how the disapproval rating grows and the approval rating shrinks in line with the timeline of a strong public option being taken off the table.
The people need to speak and let tell the government that universal healthcare is a universal human right and that it is the responsibility of everyone to ensure that one and all are cared for equally under the law of the land.
This is not socialism, it is called democracy. Who among us does not want healthcare to be available for themselves when they need it? Those are the only people who could possibly vote not to cover themselves. It seems obvious that everyone else wants it.
at 18:07 on September 30th, 2009
Armistral: You make some good points in my opinion. But the problem is that most American voters are satisfied with their private health insurance. I keep emphasizing the word voter and I probably sound like a broken record.
As far as socialism and democracy are concerned, my thoughts are this: I could probably accept socialism to an extent. But democracy ultimately leads to mob rule and is probably the worst form of government. I'm a small "r" republican. There needs to be checks and balances in government if dictatorship is to be avoided. The dictatorship of the masses in a pure democracy is no different from the dictatorship of the elites in a totalitarian regime.