Alabama Area Hit Hard in Face of U.S Recession

by Rory Cripps | August 1, 2009 at 07:00 am
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Things are getting pretty bad in the U.S. when public nursing homes can no longer afford to bury dead patients. In Jefferson County Alabama (named after President Thomas Jefferson and home to Birmingham, Alabama's largest city) the unemployment rate, according to the latest figures, is 10.6%. In neighboring Alabama counties, the unemployment rate is as high as 24%. In the last two recessions, Alabama's unemployment rate hit no more than 6%. Apparently the current U.S. recession is much stronger and deeper than previous recessions.

There are now thirteen states that have double-digit unemployment. Michigan remains the worst at 15.2%. California, which is in the top ten of the world's largest economies has an unemployment rate of 11.6%. 

Historically, unemployment rates continue to rise significantly once a recession is over and peak anywhere within six months to a year after the recession ends. However, when the 2001 recession officially ended, the unemployment rate continued to climb for 19 months and the duration of unemployment rise has increased over the last few recessions. This is an example of a "jobless recovery".  If the same historical and rising unemployment trend occurs as a result of the current U.S. recession, we can expect to see unemployment rates approaching 20% in some states and 30% in some localities. During the Great Depression, the highest unemployment rate in the U.S. was 25%.

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. — It is hardly unusual these days for a government building to forgo a fresh paint job or regular lawn care to cut costs. But last week, the director of the Jefferson County public nursing home was told that the county could no longer afford to bury indigent patients.

Across town at the juvenile detention center, the man in charge was trying to figure out how to feed the 28 children in his custody when the entire cafeteria staff is let go.

In family court, administrators plan to delay child support, custody and child abuse cases, leaving some children in the hands of the state indefinitely.

Jefferson County, which includes Birmingham, could be compared to a person who has lost his job, watched his retirement investments evaporate and is stuck with a house that is worth less than what he owes the bank.

Florida's welfare rolls grew 15.2 percent over the past year, according to the latest data, a trend many economists say will continue even after the recession ebbs.

More than 56,700 families received state welfare aid in July. That's up from 49,257 families during the same month last year, state data shows.

"What we are seeing is what we expect to see," said Don Winstead, deputy secretary of Florida's Department of Children and Families. "Given the economic situation in the state, you would expect to see more working-age adults with children needing help."

Florida has become accustomed to tough economic indicators. Unemployment hit its highest point in 34 years last month. Growth has stalled, and foreclosure continues to shutter thousands of homes each month.

Economists expect the unemployment rate to stay high even after the recession ends, so a respite does not seem likely in the near future, said University of Florida economics professor David Denslow.

"The surprise would be if the recovery in jobs turns out to be more rapid than economists are expecting," Denslow said. If unemployment remains high or rises after the recession ends, he said, the welfare rolls could continue to expand.

Economists vary widely on when the national market will generate more jobs. Optimists predict within the next year. A more grim outlook postulates as late as 2012.


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1
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

So much for the Recession is over.

1
Amy Judd

Things are getting really bad, this is awful - they can't even bury the dead; it's like a return to the Middle Ages.

0
Rory Cripps

I just hope the "stimulus" kicks in soon! It's rather bad in certain areas. Especially in the south east, parts of the mid west and Calif, Oregon, and Nevada. If the unemployment trends continue along historic patterns, there's going to be a lot of Americans out there hurting. This is serious stuff. I can't blame President Obama for the mess and those that do are disingenuous. However, I worry that his "stimulus package" and his policies might prolong the misery. I'm one of those skeptics that questions whether FDR's "New Deal" economic policies really worked and, in fact, didn't make things worse.

1
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

Part of Roosevelt's success was based on a wartime economy.

As Britain warred with the Axis nations, Roosevelt provided Lend-Lease aid to Winston Churchill and the British war effort before the United States' entry into World War II in December 1941. On the home front, he introduced price controls and rationing. After the attack on Pearl Harbor by forces of the Japanese Empire and after the declaration of war on the United States by Nazi Germany and by Fascist Italy, Roosevelt introduced internment of Japanese Americans, German Americans, and Italian Americans.

Roosevelt led the United States as it became the 'Arsenal of Democracy'. Roosevelt, working closely with his aide Harry Hopkins, made the United States the principal arms supplier and financier of the Allies. The United States had a vast expansion of industry, the achievement of full employment, and new opportunities opened for African Americans and women. The new Conservative coalition, arguing disappearing unemployment, closed most relief programs like the Works Progress Administration (WPA) and Civilian Conservation Corps. As the Allies neared victory, Roosevelt played a critical role in shaping the post-war world, particularly through the Yalta Conference and the creation of the United Nations. Later, with the United States, the Allies defeated Germany, Italy, and Japan.


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Rory Cripps

Thanks for this Albertacowpoke! I'm often accused of being an "Archie Bunker" when I question the effectiveness of  FDR's "New Deal" economic policies! LOL! I've said it before and I'll say it again: I quit being an ideologue years ago . . . it wasn't productive.

0
kayumochi

America was quite close to a socialist revolution and FDR saved American capitalism. Recall the man was a banker. A rich banker. And was forced into doing things (like protecting deposits at Savings and Loan institutions - he predicted the S&L collapse of the 1980's) by opponents like Huey Long. 

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Rory Cripps

kayumochi: I don't know about FDR being a rich banker. I'll have to look into that one. I know that he was born with a silver spoon in his mouth like George W. Bush and a number of U.S. presidents. I know that he was Governor of New York and Assistant Secretary of The Navy. I also know that many of his policies were merely extensions of Herbert Hoover's policies. Hoover (the "Great Engineer") did a lot of tinkering with the American economy too, however Hoover was blamed for the "Great Depression". Somehow FDR was credited with lifting America from the depths of the Great Depression. FDR was, without a doubt,  a great politician and had a good line of you know what. As far as economics went, I don't think that FDR had a clue. He just tinkered with certain aspects of the economy and claimed credit for anything that was perceived to have benefited the economy. Sort of like a handyman faced with an extremely complex but malfunctioning hydraulic system. The handyman closes a valve here and opens another there and plugs up a leak or two in the hope that his tinkering does some good.

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Isabel Prevost

Jefferson County, the largest county in the state of Alabama, is also home to the city of Birmingham.  Jefferson County's woes started long before the current recession and have more to do with fiscal mismanagement and poor leadership than they do with the current state of the nation. 

High unemployment in Alabama is a leading indicator of other obstacles the state faces in attracting white collar industry, which requires a workforce with college and graduate degrees.

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Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke
First Flagged at 7:11 AM, Aug 1, 2009 by Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke
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