Climate’s Urgent Repair

by PIM of SPAIN | May 6, 2009 at 08:20 am
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   Writing about biofuels that aren’t always contributing to climate improvement, followed by explaining the destructive effects of carbon emissions and nitrous oxide-N20 gasses into the atmosphere, this article deals with the consequences from the errors made and what should be done in avoiding the catastrophic global warming. Since meanwhile is clear that greenhouse-gas emissions, primarily from fossil fuels, have started to change our climate. We together are responsible to reduce those emissions to save our planet for future generations from the worst of possible effects.

With nowadays about 6.7 billion people on earth and by 2050 estimated more than 9 billion, to maintain these extra 2.3 billion people while added with expected raising standards of living all over the planet, the world consumption of energy could increase by about twice from that of today. For economical, security and environmental reasons, the west has to free itself from foreign oil. Oil dependency weakens security because much of the world's oil is controlled by regimes that do not share our values. The only solution is to become independent of the present energy supply, by using energy sources as described in my two previous articles related to synthetic diesel fuel and nuclear energy both are abundant, cheap and don't have hidden environmental, social or military cost. Thus the west should wean itself off fossil crude in order to diminish its crucial importance in the world’s energy market. That would make states like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia and Venezuela less powerful, and less able to fund militias and terrorist groups.

However the slow speed of decision-making in global politics is no match for the swiftness of climate change and growing energy consumption. The earth's climate system is a big, slow-moving mechanism with plenty of inactivity but that doesn’t mean a catastrophe is slow in coming. Some of the increasingly frightening scenarios are for example, that carbon begins to leak out of melting permafrost, or warming oceans raising air humidity in other words intensifying the greenhouse effect caused by carbon. Perhaps most important is the growing consent that the gasses already emitted, will go on warming the earth for centuries to come. The U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimated that by the end of this century, temperatures could rise by between 2 and 5 degrees Celsius. A rise of 5ºCelsius by 2100, which is a relatively short period in geologic terms, would almost certainly demonstrate to be a disaster for civilization. That's why many scientists have begun to urge serious consideration to apply geo-engineering schemes that only a few years ago seemed absurd and dangerous. The gigantic issues that surround the prospect of modifying the planet, are currently off the radar screen for most of us, but could come up in a very big way in the relatively near future. Leaders and scientist are required to start talking to the public before that happens.

Two key views for a solution do exist: the first to capture the gasses out of the atmosphere and the second to cool the Earth’s atmosphere by putting up a protective sun-ray shield in this case by utilising sulphur particles.

Carbon capture, is very expensive and less likely to offset the expected steep rise in temperatures. Although cleaning the air is far less controversial than the idea of cooling it by geo-engineering. The task of sucking carbon out of the atmosphere is mind-bogglingly huge. Each year the world’s industries and autos release about 30 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide in the air. If liquefied it would take less than four years to fill an underground space the size of Lake Geneva. And that is not including the 1.8 percent annual rise in emissions, or the billions of tons of carbon dioxide that have already accumulated in the atmosphere for the past 100 years. Scientists still think there's enough storage space in the form of porous rock deep beneath the earth's surface to accommodate all the liquid carbon dioxide we can pump, but getting it there would take many years and cost billions. The cost to removing only the new emission would reach up to $150 billion/year. Britain's authoritative 2006 report on the cost of cutting emissions enough to stabilize temperatures put the price tag at about 1 percent of the world's annual GDP; while other estimates run as high as 4 percent.

The second option is much cheaper it is based on cooling the planet by deflecting solar rays by the release of sulphur dioxide or SO2. This could be done for one thousandth of 1 percent of GDP. (1/1000% of GDP).
In 2006 Mr. Crutzen, a chemist and Nobel Prize winner, wrote a paper in the journal Climate Change. He followed up on an idea that originated from Russian physicist Mikhail Budyko, who proposed in 1974 using planes to release sulphur dioxide, into the atmosphere, where it would react with water and other molecules to form sulphate particles, the same substance as volcanic ash. Crutzen pointed out that the amount of SO2 you'd need to lower temperatures is surprisingly small. By Crutzen's calculation, it would take about 1.5 million tons of SO2 to offset the effects of a doubling of CO2 concentrations from preindustrial levels to 550 parts per million (ppm), compared with today's level of 385ppm. Others talk about the necessity as high as 5 million tons, which still is nothing that couldn't be handled by a fleet of airplanes for a few billion dollars. The low price is rather astonishing.

Engineering the climate may look worrisome, but it will be inevitable, which is why policymakers would do well to start thinking about it now. If global warming does accelerate in coming years, any scheme to stop it may start to look safer than the alternatives.

Epilogue:

Having read these three articles it will be clear that D-day for Climate’s Urgent Repair is not far off anymore. The question may arise, what can I do to avoid this catastrophe? You and we all can do a lot more than we think. You could start by forwarding this message to all your friends and ask them after reading to do the same. Lets hope that as many members of nowpublic take notice as well and also do the same. Further anyone with a blog is allowed to copy this message to get even more people informed about the urgency on this subject. Together we might be able to generate better awareness and to have politicians motivated and convinced of the utmost importance. In December this year the climate summit takes place in Copenhagen-Denmark. Measures so far implemented in the Kyoto agreement are either counter productive or not far reaching enough. Better solutions are available than so far are applied there may be some drawbacks like the use of SO2 in the atmosphere, for which alternatives are under development. Action has to be started now, soon we are too late, and there is a real urgency to have as many people informed and mobilized as achievable. Bear in mind: Cheaper energy also contribute to faster economic recovery and the creation of more jobs. Hope more nifty ideas and initiatives will follow.

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/biofuel-or-biofool
http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/carbon-con

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Amy Judd

I think that probably a shield sounds like the best idea as of now, but I'm wondering how long it would take to build such a device and by the time it was done, would it already be too late?

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Paschen

The energy needed as well as the resources to build a shield would be immense and can only be afforded by very few. Meaning we are back to the basic reality that J.L. Talked about in his book the revenge of Gaia. 80% of Humanity will perish one way or the other and there is no nice way to put it or to sugar code this. A shield is unrealistic and even if successful can only save and protect less then 5% of Humanity. In addition, those 5% wont be those we want to save either. I do not think that pumping another chemical into the air will help us, SO2 does react and can change it self with as well as the balance in it self in ways we can not predict at this point. Stop eating Fish and leave the ocean alone for a century will be far cheeper and safer. Then the Ocean can absorb the CO2 as well as filter other chemicals. Fish by them self could help a lot here as well as some forms of plankton.

We need to stop trying to sugar cote the problem and face reality.

http://my.nowpublic.com/environment/revenge-gaia-humanity-under-attack

 

 

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PIM of SPAIN

Indeed amyjudd the shield option is at this moment the best solution very cost effective compared to the other solution sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere. As you can see from the attached diagram it is a one time operation that covers the whole globe for a long period of time.


Paschen sorry, I don't agree with you, the proposed SO2 shield is meant to cover the globe entirely and not only 5% as you may think. The only drawback for SO2, which is equal to volcanic ash, is that it could cause drought in unwanted areas. But alternatives are under development. If Earth's temperatures do rise the oceans' temperatures too, that will realease CO2 instead of absorbing it! It is a real feasible and realistic option without sugar cote.


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Paschen

Did you ever go near a Volcano, SO2 will kill you eventually.

Sulfur dioxide (also sulphur dioxide) is the chemical compound with the formula SO2. It is produced by volcanoes and in various industrial processes. Since coal and petroleumoften contain sulfur compounds, their combustion generates sulfur dioxide. Further oxidation of SO2, usually in the presence of a catalyst such as NO2, forms H2SO4, and thus acid rain.[1] This is one of the causes for concern over the environmental impact of the use of these fuels as power sources.

It will eventually come back down as Sulfur dioxide is an intermediate in the production of sulfuric acid, being converted to sulfur trioxide, and then to oleum, which is made into sulfuric acid. Sulfur dioxide for this purpose is made when sulfur combines with oxygen. The method of converting sulfur dioxide to sulfuric acid is called the contact process. Several billion kilograms are produced annually for this purpose.

Wish means people will have to protect them self and that only 5% can afford. SO2 affects the Heard bonds Oxygen meaning we deplete the atmosphere of more oxygen and reduce it another one or two percent wish would cause death for most mammals. 

The O has to come from some where, to bind with the S. We are already losing Oxygen and reducing our levels dangerously, we can not afford to lose more. It is a Chemical equation and all things in Nature need to be balanced out as well as in Chemistry. 

SO2 + 2 H2S → 3 S + 2 H2O  It does also react with other Atoms SO2 + Cl2 → SO2Cl2 Creating some nasty chemicals. 

SO2 is a pollutant and toxic as well as Chemical that reacts with all other Chemical or atoms.

PollutantTypeStandardAveraging TimeaRegulatory Citation
SO2 Primary 0.14 ppm (365 μg/m3) 24-hour 40 CFR 50.4(b)
SO2 Primary 0.030 ppm (80 μg/m³) annual 40 CFR 50.4(a)
SO2 Secondary 0.5 ppm (1,300 μg/m³) 3-hour 40 CFR 50.5(a)
PM10 Primary and Secondary 150 μg/m³ 24-hour 40 CFR 50.6(a)
PM2.5 Primary and Secondary 35 μg/m³ 24-hour 40 CFR 50.7(a)
PM2.5 Primary and Secondary 15 μg/m³ annual 40 CFR 50.7(a)
CO Primary 35 ppm (40 mg/m³) 1-hour 40 CFR 50.8(a)(2)
CO Primary 9 ppm (10 mg/m³) 8-hour 40 CFR 50.8(a)(1)
O3 Primary and Secondary 0.12 ppm (235 μg/m³) 1-hourb 40 CFR 50.9(a)
O3 Primary and Secondary 0.075 ppm (150 μg/m³) 8-hour 40 CFR 50.10(a)
NO2 Primary and Secondary 0.053 ppm (100 μg/m³) annual 40 CFR 50.11(a) and (b)
Pb Primary and Secondary 0.15 μg/m³ Rolling 3 months 40 CFR 50.12


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PIM of SPAIN

But Paschen the sulphur dioxide once brought in the stratosphere reacts with water and other molecules to form sulphate particles the same stuff as volcanic ash. In a volcanic outburst the sulphate for 90% falls direct on earth surface without sorting any cooling effect apart from the one you described. Contrary to the cooling effect once brought in the stratosphere by plane or weather balloons. I do agree this is likely not the nicest solution, but at the moment no other alternative is available, and it is better to undertake the yet best option than doing nothing at all. Remember: D-Day is coming up on us very fast!

Further Crutzen pointed out that the amount of SO2 you'd need to lower temperatures significantly is surprisingly small—nowhere near the 20 million tons that Pinatubo released, much of which was wasted near the ground where it had no effect on temperatures.

Besides: Scientist Keith is working on designing particles that are more efficient at cooling than sulfates, but without the side effects. Because sulfates tend to settle on the ground after a few months, they'd need to be replenished regularly. Keith's engineered particle would absorb the sun's energy unevenly, causing one side to heat more quickly than the other and to drift upward. Such a particle might be released on the ground and rise up on its own accord. It might be built in such a way that it rises higher than the ozone layer—to the mesosphere, 100 kilometers up—where it would reflect light but leave the ozone intact. For safety reasons, these particles could also have preordained lifetimes. "It's something we're developing," he says. "It may not work. But it's almost certain that if engineers put their minds to this, something could be made to work better than sulfates."

The most devastating side effect could be political. Success in lowering temperatures—or even the knowledge that scientists had the means to do so—might decrease the political will to make costly emissions cuts. Not even the most zealous advocate of geo-engineering argues for using it in lieu of cutting and capturing carbon. Using geo-engineering to keep temperatures artificially low while carbon levels continued to rise would be doubling down the risk of rapid warming should the air-cooling project suddenly stop, or need to be halted, for any reason.

The sulphur in Petroleum is in Europe eliminated and the rest of the world could do the same. Nevertheless it is recommended to use synthetic diesel fuel that no sulphur at all contains.

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Paschen

I have not seen this idea in any major science review paper though nor being broth before a board of peers for review or being tested in any lab to confirm its claim.

We shall see once it has been debated before a review board of peers and tested in an accredited lab. 

I for one would need a lot more data and proof as well as test before I could endorse it with a good conscience. 


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Amy Judd
First Flagged at 11:02 AM, May 6, 2009 by Amy Judd
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