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Clinton Widens Gap in Pennsylvania

by politisite | April 18, 2008 at 04:07 pm | 126 views | add comment
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Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Clinton Edges Ahead in Pennsylvania

 

UTICA, New York – New York Democrat Hillary Clinton had a good day in the Newsmax/Zogby daily tracking poll ahead of Tuesday’s Pennsylvania primary, following a strong debate performance in Philadelphia Wednesday night, and now holds a 47% to 43% advantage over Barack Obama of Illinois.

The two-day tracking survey, which was conducted April 16-17, 2008, showed that 10% were either undecided or supported someone else.

The telephone survey, conducted using live operators working out of Zogby’s on-site call center in Upstate New York, included 602 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It carries a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.

The race appears stable, as Clinton retained a sizable lead in western Pennsylvania, including Pittsburgh, while Obama continues to lead by a large percentage in eastern Pennsylvania, including Philadelphia. In the central part of the state, including the state capital of Harrisburg, Clinton leads by eight points.

Pennsylvania

4-16/17

4-15/16

Clinton

47%

45%

Obama

43%

44%

Someone else

2%

3%

Not sure

8%

9%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

 

Survey Methodology [Pennsylvania Democratic Primary] 4/16/08 thru 4/17/08

 

Zogby International was commissioned by [NewsMax] to conduct a telephone survey of [Likely Democratic Primary Voters].

 

Approximately [37] questions are asked. Samples are randomly drawn from purchased voter registration lists of Pennsylvania Democrats. Zogby International surveys employ sampling strategies in which selection probabilities are proportional to population size within area codes and exchanges. Up to six calls are made to reach a sampled phone number. Cooperation rates are calculated using one of AAPOR’s approved methodologies and are comparable to other professional public-opinion surveys conducted using similar sampling strategies.

 

Pennsylvania N= 602 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points Weights: region, age, race, gender


April 18, 2008 at 04:07 pm by politisite, 126 views, add comment

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