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EKOS poll suggests that support of Liberal Party is softening
The leader of the Liberal Party, Michael Ignatieff, recently announced that his party would no longer prop up the minority Conservative government in Canada. At the time the Liberal Party was locked into a statistical tie at 36% with the Conservative Party.
An EKOS poll, released on Thursday seems to indicate that support for Igantieff's Liberals is softening. The poll suggests that if an election were called today 34.2% would support Harper's Conservatives, while 30.8% would support the Liberals. This is followed by 14.8% for the New Democrats, 10.1% for the Green Party and 10% for the BLOC.
The poll also showed that nearly 75% of Canadians are not in favour of an election this fall.
The poll that gives the Conservatives a lead is really not very telling since 40% of the electorate in Quebec supports the BLOC. There is a virtual tie in Ontario. Ontario and Quebec are traditional battle ground provinces.
A tape recording taken by a student at a private Conservative caucus meeting, showed Stephen Harper's strategy for this fall. He talks about a majority not being out of reach and that they must work at it. The tape was given to the Liberal Party, which gave it to CBC.
In the tape Harper also talks about the gun registry (dismantling) and to stop the Liberals and the socialist coalition they might form with the other two parties. In a previous poll the NDP had 16% of the electorate behind them. Although the BLOC is in a better position in Quebec, it is doubtful that this would result in any more seats. Jack Layton and his New Democratic Party do not have a lot to gain either.
Since Canadians are not interested in a fall vote, except for Quebec and BC, it would be incumbent at those politicians to seek an election to reconsider.
The EKOS poll, commissioned for the CBC and released Thursday, shows the Tories with 34.2 per cent support, followed by the Liberals with 30.8 per cent, a bigger gap between the two parties than any seen all summer.
The New Democratic Party follows with 14.8 per cent support, while the Green Party has 10.1 per cent and the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent.
Respondents were asked which party they would vote for if a federal election were held tomorrow.
The poll was taken as Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff said the Liberals will try to trigger the defeat of Stephen Harper's minority Conservative government at the earliest possible date this fall.
Liberals also appear to be losing some ground in both Ontario and Quebec.
In Ontario, the gap between the Tories and Liberals continues to narrow, with both parties virtually tied.
The Bloc remains on top in Quebec with nearly 40 per cent support followed by the Liberals (28 per cent). The Tories are in third with around 15 per cent.
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Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (5)
at 06:12 on September 10th, 2009
It was only a matter of time for Liberal Leader Iggy "Viagra" Ignatieff's Stiff stance on toppling Harper to end Flaccidly, like most Liberals,Strong start,with a wiping on the bedroom curtains and a cigarette finish. Leaving Frustrated Liberal voters alone to stew in their own juices and feel unsatisfied, Quite Typical!
at 09:11 on September 10th, 2009
Can't say I'm surprised
at 09:30 on September 10th, 2009
Boy two whole comments to an important story ,Guess liberal supporters like to stay Mum when their Leader in the Polls show he is somewhat a tard! Shouldve interspersed your story with Iggy and his tie to Obamalicious phrases, but then peoples computer keyboards would fry over their rabid drool as they scramble to write eloquent yet vapid quotes about both of them!
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bettermaker (not verified)at 10:53 on September 10th, 2009
it's a cycle. society wants to be more & more liberal, until you can't get any more liberal ..... then it goes more & more conservative, until you can't get any more conservative ...... look at Chaucer and how liberal his time was compared to a few hundred years later when they were burning witches .... and now it's liberal again, but I think it had reached its peak, and a few hundred years from now we'll be burning witches again.
at 15:57 on September 10th, 2009
Hey Better, good Analogy, can I use that in the future, you may have something there!