Government’s Cozy Intervention

by PIM of SPAIN | October 16, 2009 at 09:14 am
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Many think that Government’s intervention in the market is acceptable, but to how far and which manner? There is no doubt that intervention works, seen the news. Goldman Sachs and AIG are paying out bonuses bigger than even at the height of the boom. Certainly there is enough competition from capable people looking for a job to pay much less. But what is certain is that just about every big Wall Street investment house should be kaput right now that should have thrown thousands of well-paid financial wizards out into the street. If things had gone the way things should have gone without government intervention, there would be so much competition for Wall Street jobs that the remaining few employers could get away with paying one-tenth, maybe, of what they're paying today thanks to the taxpayers. But nothing has changed, as could be read from the headlines yesterday:

"JPMorgan profits lift the Dow."

JPMorgan, the Wall Street firm that was bailed out by the feds a year ago, reported income of $3.6 billion in the 3rd quarter. With that kind of profit in the financial sector, it won't be long before the whole economy is running red hot, right?

That's what the papers seem to think. The International Herald Tribune says, “The bank's profits are just another sign that a major recovery is underway.” Investors seem to believe it, too. "Earnings optimism, is behind the buying,” says a broker.”

But is that true? Is the real economy growing, expanding, and making money?
How did JPMorgan earn so much money in such a bad economy in such a short period of time?

Consumers are not borrowing. Consumer credit is down too. So they can't be making money there. Businesses are not expanding either, so the bank cannot make money by lending to corporations and private sector.

 JPMorgan is a bank, and banks make money by lending money. Then to who is JPMorgan lending its money? Of course to the only net borrower available in the market and that is the government.

The Financial Times confirms that Morgan's "US consumer businesses continued to bleed, with its credit card unit losing $700 million in the (same) quarter and its retail banking barely breaking even." “It wrote off $7 billion in uncollectible consumer loans - more than twice as much as last year.”

“Its mortgage group lost money too.” And it surely didn't make any money helping US business to build new factories and expand payrolls.

So from where comes all this profit? Most components of the business environment that have to do with the real economy are losing money or barely breaking even. But what then is left?

The news reports attribute the huge profits to "trading." But trading is a broad category. Looked more closely in it discovers that JPMorgan made its money the old fashioned way - by ripping off the government.

“You mean, JPMorgan took the feds' money and now is showing huge profits because it is just lending money back to the people they got it from? “

Yes, that’s the case, but not only that. The bank also probably is speculating on gold, oil and stocks, along with everyone else. In other words the feds' money pushed all these speculative trades into profit and lifting share values.

“And now, they're going to pay themselves big bonuses, aren't they?”

Yes indeed as the papers tell us, "bonuses explode on Wall Street to a new record."

‘And… when the next crisis comes...will they have left any money in the banks?' No they won’t have. 'So they'll have to get bailed out again.' Yes, indeed.

'But maybe the next time the feds will wise up and just let them go broke?'

No chance. Wall Street has plenty of friends in the highest places in Washington. A report in yesterday’s media tells that "Geithner Aides Reaped Millions Working for Banks, Hedge Funds." These aides earn about $150,000 for their government work. But on the side, they advise the financial firms they are supposed to regulate, and for those services they get paid millions.”

That is a very cozy relationship. “They make sure Wall Street prospers - even when it does stupid things. Wall Street makes sure they prosper - even when they advise the government to do stupid things.” And when their engagement is over in Washington they go back to Wall Street where they earn millions more. “America's centers of political and financial power have a cozy little game going.” It won't end any time soon. It's too profitable for both of them.

Stay tuned for tomorrow's - Business investment is falling:

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0
Hugh Askew

Thank you for this, PIM.

So we the fools for allowing this, or does the blame lie with our masters in DC?

It is way beyond pathetic.


0
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

With associations like that the government advisors, can take their government jobs and work for free.

Thanks for this PIM.  Us peons may wake up some day.


1
Barry ORegan

Yeah, well with the US dollar showing declines, the only benefits are Canada can buy US made goods cheaper,

The downside for the US is they may need to borrow money to prop up the economy.  The US may look to China again to sell some of them T-Bills, of which China now hold a few trillion dollars worth.

Since China holds the US economy in their hands, the Chinese may be wary of buying more Treasury Bills since the value of the ones they already have are losing money on the World Markets.

Granted the declining value of the US dollar may mean a better bargain for the Chinese in buying more T-bills meaning China will be able to increase their stranglehold on the US influence and economy.

But on the other hand, buying more T-Bills does not guarantee the US dollar will start to rise, that is what got the US economy in dire straits in the first place with the Banks and investment houses hedging them mortgages they held on US citizens would be a windfall, instead it turned into a disaster. Same thing could happen to China,

Anyone who constantly borrows with minimum payments does not a good credit rating make.

The US treat China as a Dollar Store so consumers can buy cheaply made consumer goods, giving US citizens a false sense of security all is well consumer buying wise, when in fact buying non US goods can result increasing joblessness in the US.

The time for the US now with the declining US dollar is to ramp up their manufacturing and export US made goods as fast as possible so other countries can take advantage of the cheaper US dollar.

The US protectionist to Buy American may work in some instances, but on big projects it will be disastrous with little or no competition if outside sources are not allowed to bid.  Quality versus cost needs to also be considered, but rarely is in most countries.  Those cheaply made and inferior Chinese made Tires which may soon hit US shores is one example, especially if and when these Chinese tires grenade themselves at 30 miles per hour and US citizens start dying. Who would be to blame? The US Consumer looking for the cheap of course.

But hey what do I know, I am just an Op.Ed Satirist!



1
Spydermonkey

The problem is in DC.. After the Great depression bank regulations were put in place, over the years since, the regulations have been slowly stripped.  Now we are most likely headed back to where we started with the "Great Depression".

When I see a report on the Dow that states "Institutional investors are driving the market" and as the banks use the source of the money to make money I know that this will ,sooner rather than later, fall in upon its self.  When that happens... well the past 2 years will look rosy by comparison.

Institutional Investors: The 'Dark Force' Driving Oil Prices Sky High?

‘what is driving the market’

2
PIM of SPAIN

Indeed, we maybe not the fools, but for sure we all are fooled! More important that we all wake up, it is becomming the final wake up call for many of us. Unfortunately when I started to mention all this in a book of the same name, people didn't believe me. Now the fire is near the house and can be watched van close by. As Roy correctly words, it is awfull it is evil. And all what is in waiting will surprise many of us. Hope people's awareness is born.

The moment China writes down the 2 trillion US$ the US owes them, that will be the end of the US Empire. A new one shall be born, but that will take a while.


2
nanute

Your are assuming that the US will default on the obligations to China? That, my friend is a pretty big assumption. Funny you should mention the Geithner inner circle. I was going to do a piece on the very topic today. This issue is a direct result of regulatory capture. I hate to keep beating a dead horse, but the fact remains, the corporations have taken over the political system. You think the situation was any better under the previous administration? Of course not. It was even worse, and the self regulatory mindset by proponents of laissez faire principles are the very one's responsible for creating this nightmare.

You can rage against the machine, and argue for a creative destruction solution all you want. After that, it's unemployment in the range of the last Great Depression, deflation and a further devaluation of the housing stock, for starters. And just who will be left to pick up the pieces, and re-invigorate the market economies? Why, you guessed it, the very same group, albeit smaller, that hold the power of the purse right now. Either that, or we'll all be speaking Mandarin.

With all sincerity. nanute

0
Babel-Fish

the corporations have taken over the political system


The corporations have always been in control of their political puppets!

0
Rory Cripps

nanute: 

but the fact remains, the corporations have taken over the political system.

Seems like the White House has taken over the corporations! Where does that leave us?



0
158

Very good information.

There may be a need for some regulation but direct government is not ever a good idea.


1
Babel-Fish

JPMorgan is the government, lol I have always hated JPMorgan's their establishment is a very arrogant one.  Playing around with money like its jelly is not the way forward having been an accountant that has been part and parcel to bluffing banks that there is more money avalible within the companies I ran,  than there really was I know in the end jellyfying gets caught out when a recession hits.

The problem can only be solved if the companies can make money from a viable product, in the case of USA Ltd it needs home grown manufactured goods. This creates money and jobs but the problem of course the goods need to be very competitive to imported goods from countries that low overheads due to cheap labor cost.

This will cause a problem because certain imports need to be taxed to make home grown goods more attractive. Unfortunately quality is not the factor having better quality goods does not effectively mean their going to sell. The problem with placing higher taxes on imports is USA will get accused of causing a trade war. But its the only conceivable answer that I can think of to stop money flowing the wrong way further eradicating the US economy. 

This present recession will be surmounted but the problem will not go away as within 4 or 5 years if USA continues the same path heading deeper into debt there will be a much worse recession that could lead to a depression in USA.  I feel that has already been perceived by other leading nations and the dollar will cease to be the controlling factor concerning currencies. No one will want USA pulling them down if US really goes bust.

     

 


0
Hugh Askew

Think Smoot-Hawley, babel-fish. Do you understand what you are saying?

0
Babel-Fish

I am definably not a believer in the stupid notion that the Smooty-Hawley was a lone factor that caused the great depression. It was caused in my mind because of overvalue of stocks and deception of some traders. 

Recession cycles are thought to be caused by inexact balances between supply and demand.The is great avenues of debate concerning what changes a recession into a depression such as the great depression. My thoughts are that this latest recession was more was not actually caused by a inexact balance balance between supply and demand its not text book it was caused by a mainly one way money flow and false property values propping up loans and credit.

Once the property values dropped their value as security faded and started a domino effect that led to american bank securities being practiculy worthless overseas especially in China.

Yes I think I do know what I am saying if the status quo is not changed the debts to China will mount up even more as its is the worlds main manufactoring base.

Building a new manufacture base is really essential to USA and European nations that have rely on cheaper products from China. Citizens need jobs and countries need to be more self reliant. This recession will be surmounted by confidence in the markets and that of course is what the US government are laying their bets on. But without a good manufacturing base at home there will be a recession later in the future that could turn into a world depression, well at least in the West, because the west is not more self efficient on manufactured goods. The one way flow has to be culled to obtain balance. Taxing certain imported goods is the only answer that I can think of at present, what your suggestion Hugh?  

 

0
Hugh Askew

Babel-fish, i am in complete, unabashed agreement with the dire need for manufacturing in this country. No argument with you on that whatsoever.

Tariffs, however, if imposed by the US, will be met with retaliation. The obligatory trade war then erupts. Not so good.

As to suggestions, i'm afraid i am at a loss.

It could take a complete restructuring of the economy to resurrect the manufacturing base.

As things stand, regardless of which party holds sway, there will be no relaxation of power by the unions towards American owned companies, nor will there be any relaxation of government regulation regarding either worker or manufacturing commerce.  

In addition, most of our plant (the equipment needed) has been sold off over the years as industry declined.  We have been reduced to (with a few exceptions) cottage industries.  

It may be, that the only back, is thru the destruction of our present "service" based economy.

1
PIM of SPAIN

For sure many different opinions on the subject, I wouldn't have expected else. Most comes down to "financial illiteracy" as Roy C once mentioned in his article concerning the regulation of Wall Street. If Obama wanted change he wouldn't have chosen Geithner as his Treasure, but perhaps it was his "financial illiteracy" that omitted this change. Certainly the Madoff case is proof that much is wrong as is stated by Whistleblower Harry Markopolos who also testified in the Madoff case, he  "posed (himself in) great danger" to investigators, reports the New York Times, and that he feared for his life." "In 2005 Markopolos submitted a huge dossier to the SEC concerning Madoff's Ponzi scheme, to no effect."

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Hugh Askew
First Flagged at 9:20 AM, Oct 16, 2009 by Hugh Askew
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