India's gold holdings

by SHIVAPRASAD | November 5, 2009 at 12:44 am
344 views | 23 Recommendations | 9 comments

Though India is among the fastest developing nations in the world, yet the per capita income is below $1000. It is due to the fact that India is the second most populous states in the world only next after china. With the liberalization of the economic policy India became an attractive destination for foreign investments and has huge foreign exchange reserves.

India surprised the world by buying out 200 metric tons of Gold from IMF at $6.7  billion on 3/11/09 at an average price of $1045 per ounce. Experts say that India is increasing its gold reserves to hedge against the falling US dollar.

According to reports Indian fascination for Gold made it the largest consumer of Gold since ages. Out of the estimated 160,000 tons of gold mined so far till now, Indians privately own as much as 15000 tons of gold. At current rates the value of private gold holdings in India are estimated at more than $50 trillion dollars.

While the government introduced many schemes in the past to unlock the privately held gold value, none really worked as people hold the view that keeping gold at home brings them a sense of security and safety.

Instead of spending billions for gold purchases from abroad, the government may announce such schemes that attract private gold holders to part with their gold so that the money flows into the economy speeding up all round growth.

100 billion dollars will be sufficient to ensure safe drinking water to all the citizens and another 50 billion dollars go a long way in improving sanitation facilities and health facilities. Another 50 billion dollars may be needed to provide reasonable shelter to all.

India has to do something to unearth the wealth within so that people enjoy a standard of living that is reasonable. India has to find solutions for development from within. Only thing is that they don’t know how to unlock the wealth within their society.

 

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Hugh Askew

"India has to find solutions for development from within."

India has some very bright people. Give them time, they will find the solutions.

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Gold Coins

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1
Issacn

My friend, 15000 tonnes amounts to only $500 billion. Secondly, GOI will borrow $100+ billion this year, from Indian public. This amount should be enough for your pet projects & indeed many states are getting around to doing it (Delhi is looking to generate 50+MW electricity from solid waste. Safe drinking water is also being progressively provided everywhere. Shelter or public housing projects are so successful/ profitable that GOI has broken its target & is actively clearing slums with help of private sector!!) Clearly, rapid urbanisation as well need for country-wide infrastructure demands huge and on-going capital that GOI does not have. Instead of Public-only investment, GOI has woken up to find that private sector (ie. those holding $500 billion private gold and others) can do most of this investment. eg. look at all the private Real Estate developments. As per GOI, roads create wealth (which gets passed on in higher taxes to GOI) - hence, it has opened up design, build and operate opp. to even foreign players. Question for you  1) Is GOI a better investor than the public from whom the money is being extracted via public borrowing? 2) Why hasn't GOI done more with this huge public borrowing. 3) How does GOI unlock the value of private gold? Answer: 1) No. Governments are inefficient and probably corrupt. Even in profitable projects, the gains are wasted away in inefficient adminstation and employee perks (ie. Air India). 2) GOI is doing some good, as mentioned. But it has to cater for many needs incl. poor farmers and high fuel costs. In doing so, it misses out on many profitable investments. It could do more in strategic investment, incl. education, health, public transport. 3) Stimulate private business sector - incl building infrastructure, PPP projects. Stimulate private equity investment by selling off stakes in PSUs. Develop financial instruments, incl general insurance, pensions, life insurance. Gold is but one investment. You will be shocked to know that Indian public invests upto 40% of its income.

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SHIVAPRASAD

My dear friend. At current gold rates a ton costs 3.35 billion USD and you can calculate the current value of gold held in private hands in India. It is $ 50,250 billion dollars and not $500 billion dollars. What $ 50,250 billion dollars can do if the value is unlocked I leave it to Isscan imagination.

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Issacn

Back again: From you main post: "India surprised the world by buying out 200 metric tons of Gold from IMF at $6.7  billion on 3/11/09..." In other words, 1000 tonne of gold = $33.5 Billion (X5 $6.7 billion figure) or $ 502.5 billion for 15,000 tonnes. Also from your post, at $ 1045 / ounce --> 529109429.24371 ounce (15000 tonnes) * $1045 = $552.91935 billion. (Almost idential to $500 billion).  

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issacn

Back again: It would be worth my while to comment if you actually read my post- the money is not GOI's to spend as it sees fit... I DON'T HAVE A SAY IN IT EITHER!! You are also forgetting that these private holders of Gold may use it as collateral in times of need ... or to buy a business etc.   BTW what does "unlocking value" mean? My house is worth $3+ million, how do YOU unlock the value of my house? Say YOU will have me sell it and rhen what - pass on the money to GOI or your personal interest to spend on the poor??? And if I'm made to sell and someone will buy it, do you go after his money as well? While you are at it.. can I have what is in your pocket?? ANSWER to your problem is SIMPLE: STOP IMPORTING GOLD!! STOP MAKING AND STOP SELLING JEWELRY OF ANY KIND!!! STOP MAKING EXPENSIVE HOUSES ALSO. If the GOI seizes all private gold.. what does it do then? Loan it back to the private players .. who will in effect own the gold that was theirs anyway. And why would any Indian want gold if GOI will rob them of it anyway?? Perhaps GOI can sell it overseas (or borrow overseas) .. then, GOI will have foreign currency .. but what use will that be as GOI already has £300 billion in foreign curency reserves!!!!!  

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issacn

Back again: It would be worth my while to comment if you actually read my post- the money is not GOI's to spend as it sees fit... I DON'T HAVE A SAY IN IT EITHER!! You are also forgetting that these private holders of Gold may use it as collateral in times of need ... or to buy a business etc.   BTW what does "unlocking value" mean? My house is worth $3+ million, how do YOU unlock the value of my house? Say YOU will have me sell it and rhen what - pass on the money to GOI or your personal interest to spend on the poor??? And if I'm made to sell and someone will buy it, do you go after his money as well? While you are at it.. can I have what is in your pocket?? ANSWER to your problem is SIMPLE: STOP IMPORTING GOLD!! STOP MAKING AND STOP SELLING JEWELRY OF ANY KIND!!! STOP MAKING EXPENSIVE HOUSES ALSO. If the GOI seizes all private gold.. what does it do then? Loan it back to the private players .. who will in effect own the gold that was theirs anyway. And why would any Indian want gold if GOI will rob them of it anyway?? Perhaps GOI can sell it overseas (or borrow overseas) .. then, GOI will have foreign currency .. but what use will that be as GOI already has £300 billion in foreign curency reserves!!!!!  

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SHIVAPRASAD

I apologize to Issacn and other readers as I erred in calculating the current value of the estimated private gold holdings in India. Yes Issacn is right, The value comes to $500 billion dollars and not 15,250 billion dollars as I mentioned. 

 

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Agustus

There is a lot of wastage in India due to wrong polices, ill conceived plans, meddlesome red tape and bureaucracy, and lack of people with right vision and leadership. India has been receiving nearly 50 billion dollars every year just from remittance from NRIs. Over past 15 years, this alone must have amounted to 500 billion dollars. Where has all this money gone. What has the country to show for all this money eaten away.?. The answer is what I have stated above.India must recognize this fact. That it wastes too much resources due to lousy leadership and wasteful bureaucracy like the planning commission etc. In every sector, there s colossal waste. From food storage to transportation to production and manufacturing. And energy, of which it imports 70% by paying forex cash to the Arabs. Would you believe it.?. Just by changing some rules, it can save tens of thousands of crores . But like I said..there are too many duffers running the show in Delh. They think they know what to do. But in reality they don't know. Just one example. Replace all the white ambassador cars that ferry ministers and bureaucrats on official use. The car is mandated in govt rules as the official car to use, even though it consumes more than twice the petrol of other modern cars.So what is preventing the govt from changing a simple rule.?..dufferism, sheer neglect and incompetence.  Nothing to do with democracy.

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Hugh Askew
First Flagged at 4:13 AM, Nov 5, 2009 by Hugh Askew

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