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India's Lok Sabha Elections 2009: Exit Polls Too Close to Call
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by Ravi Dixit | May 13, 2009 at 04:28 am
24667 views | 73 Recommendations | 73 comments
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Long and winding elections to Lok Sabha finally ended on Wednesday, but roughly half of the 71.4 crore registered electors participated in this democratic exercise that is widely expected to deliver a hung house. The Congress-led UPA is looking for a new term in office while the NDA steered by the BJP is trying to end its term in the opposition, although it isn't clear if one of them would on their own be able to muster the 272 seats needed to stake claim for power.
Most of the Hindi heartland like UP, Bihar, Gujarat (Modi Magic) and MP are going with NDA and states like Rajasthan, WB, Punjab, Delhi and most of the bigger South Indian states are predicted to go to UPA.
It was being said that the Left will only support a congress government if Manmohan Singh is not at the helm of affairs. Media reports are now coming in that Congressis pretty firm on their stand that if they have to form a government Singh will be the Prime Minister.
If the tables turn on May 16th and NDA comes to power, these polls will be for naught, but if recent upward trends in the stock market is an indication then UPA is favoured.
The actual counting of votes will take place on 16th of May but the exit poll predictions will be out this evening and the entire country will be glued to their TV sets to see if their votes have made an impact.
TV Today Network has come out with national numbers with the ruling UPA party backed by the Congress party predicted to get 191 seats. BJP is predicted to get 180 seats. All the other news outlets will be coming out with their national figures shortly. The Times of India has created a page outlining the History of Indian Elections.
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Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (73)
at 05:31 on May 13th, 2009
In my opinion, Congress led UPA should rule over the country for next 5 years if we want the growth of the country.
at 05:43 on May 13th, 2009
Lets see Aditya , these are just exit polls that have been proven wrong in the past.. the real decider will be on 16th May and we will all know for sure. Till then we can pray for our favourite party to win.
Post that all should work together to support the new government!!
at 06:21 on May 15th, 2009
Indian politician speaks to one of his slave, another slum dog, i wonder why elections are held, we always win, questions are standard and our response is also standard.
Their are no roads- We are Secular and BJP is comm
Population is 116 crore, it will be soon 150 crore-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
No quality of life, people want to eat other people, honesty , integrity, compassion, culture all exits in Amar Chitra Katha stories now-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
Well air is no dirty, no water, no system, so much of corruption, no jobs, people are doing slavery-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP Is comm
Common citizen is suffering, is paying taxes for what, atrocities by police, no healthcare, look at government hospitals-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
Terrorists are attacking, Taliban is taking over, they will make Indian just like Pakistan-Hey stop all this, remember we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
Due to population Sir no Food to eat even-I already have US citizenship, keep playing on this tape recorder, yes Sir "We are SECULAR and BJP Is comm
at 09:25 on May 13th, 2009
According to me, NDA should form Government in the interest of India's growth and all other non UPA party should support NDA for this noble cause.
at 21:19 on May 14th, 2009
yes u are correct. we want Advaniji as a PM
at 06:37 on May 15th, 2009
Lalu is corrupt or not?
Mulayam is corrupt or not?
Mayawati is corrupt or not?
Pawar is corrupt or not?
Karunanidhi is corrupt or not
Devagowda is corrupt or not?
Paswan is corrupt or not?
Jaylalita is corrupt or not?
But all are secular...They hates with commun.. party. They want only money by making fool to us.
at 06:41 on May 15th, 2009
When I was watching star news yesterday,Girija vyas in the programme was trying prove herself and her party as secular several times.Lalu yadav is also doing the same.But poor indians now confused about the meaning of secularism.CPM,CONGRESS,RJD alll parties define themselves as secular.But onething as UPA was born as secular with several leaders who are involved in scandals,corruption.Even Sonia speaks in public only if a written paper available for her describes herself as secular.So who is comm?those who are saying against terrorism and congress party.
at 12:28 on May 13th, 2009
Stupid UPA.
Tell me one major decision or a great policy they made during last 5 years. (I don't have to tell u on their internal security policies)
In abroad, Prices have dropped by even 50% during financial crisis.
Average expenses for food, transportation has more than doubled in last 5 years. Would you not agree.
I hope BJP gets rid of stupid communal gurus soon and comes clean infront of people. At the moment, I see the need for NDA to come into power and I seriously wish NDA Allies makes sure BJP don't do any stupid things that hurts my country's pride.
at 13:23 on May 13th, 2009
Major decisions:
1. Right to Information
2. NREGA- National Rural Employment Gurantee Act
3. Forest Bill
stop following what you are told..think and question. God gave us the brain not to follow but to question..
at 05:43 on May 21st, 2009
I agree with u, Mr. Sharma. The previous Govt. has done a great deal for the nation as a whole. We shall come to know about it only after we stop staring at their flaws; and stop listening to anti-democratic people!!
at 21:47 on May 13th, 2009
Mr. Aditya, I think you are in abroad so that you are not knowing facts about last 5 year news from India. If you are loyal to country than you should not have to will that UPA will ruling the India for next 5 years.
You know Our Indian Government failed in many important factors.
1. UPA foreign Policies are totally failed with our neighbors like Nepal, Shrilanka, Bangladesh. They have no trust on us.
2. Every time Mr. Pranab has to ask America for indian pouint of view.
3. last seven months cruderate is fall down but u can see still the rate of petrol and diesel is not going to down . that'swhy the inflation rate is going to fall but actual inflation fall is not seen in the market.
4. UPA is totally failed to prevent terrorist attacks contineously in India.
5. UPA stopped Mr. Bajpayee's groth plans like To connect big rivers with each other and widen the National & state highways.
There are n numbers of reasons that it is not advisable to come again UPA and spoil our Indian economy, foreign policy and home security. I hope that you are also going to convience other people to share my message.
JAI HIND, Vande Mataram.
My best regards
K K Pandya
at 03:20 on May 14th, 2009
Hi Aditya.
you are truely an indian who looks positively. for the developement of ower great country we need a broad minded leadership with out any bias to race,language,religion and cast. it will be good for our country for keeping away the narrow minded and racist parties from distructing the peace & developement of our country
at 16:26 on May 14th, 2009
growth like last 55 years
at 06:16 on May 15th, 2009
Indian politician speaks to one of his slave, another slum dog, i wonder why elections are held, we always win, questions are standard and our response is also standard.
Their are no roads- We are Secular and BJP is comm...,
Population is 116 crore, it will be soon 150 crore-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm...,
No quality of life, people want to eat other people, honesty , integrity, compassion, culture all exits in Amar Chitra Katha stories now-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm...,
Well air is no dirty, no water, no system, so much of corruption, no jobs, people are doing slavery-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP Is comm....,
Common citizen is suffering, is paying taxes for what, atrocities by police, no healthcare, look at government hospitals-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm..,
Terrorists are attacking, Taliban is taking over, they will make Indian just like Pakistan-Hey stop all this, remember we are SECULAR and BJP is comm...,
Due to population Sir no Food to eat even-I already have US citizenship, keep playing on this tape recorder, yes Sir "We are SECULAR and BJP Is comm...,
at 06:19 on May 15th, 2009
Indian politician speaks to one of his slave, another slum dog, i wonder why elections are held, we always win, questions are standard and our response is also standard.
Their are no roads- We are Secular and BJP is comm
Population is 116 crore, it will be soon 150 crore-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
No quality of life, people want to eat other people, honesty , integrity, compassion, culture all exits in Amar Chitra Katha stories now-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
Well air is no dirty, no water, no system, so much of corruption, no jobs, people are doing slavery-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP Is comm
Common citizen is suffering, is paying taxes for what, atrocities by police, no healthcare, look at government hospitals-Hey we are SECULAR and BJP is comm
Terrorists are attacking, Taliban is taking over, they will make Indian just like Pakistan-Hey stop all this, remember we are SECULAR and BJP is comm.
Due to population Sir no Food to eat even-I already have US citizenship, keep playing on this tape recorder, yes Sir "We are SECULAR and BJP Is comm
at 06:00 on May 13th, 2009
We will wait till 16th, till that we are having hope that our favorite party will win.
at 06:11 on May 13th, 2009
According to me, NDA should form Government in the interest of India's growth and all other non UPA party should support NDA for this noble cause.
at 07:10 on May 13th, 2009
Thanks for this Ravi. Looking forward to hearing more results as they're counted.
at 10:29 on May 13th, 2009
UPA should comes to the power for the better future of india. india is doing well better than other countries like UK, japan and european countries. and dr. manmohan singh proven that he is a man with soft voice and hard determination for the country.
at 11:03 on May 13th, 2009
I am hoping UPA comes to power back, I want Manmohan to be our PM and Chidambram to be given more oppurtunities.
I also have a better IDEA - Wondering why BJP and Congress don't come together to give us a stable government.
when BJP can pretend to be secular, when in NDA, why can't they have the same attitude and join hands with Congress. Atleast this move will save india from Maya, Jaya and Mamta triangle.
one more triangle to add lalu - paswan- mulayam..
we need a brk - Cong + BJP = Stable Government.
at 22:17 on May 13th, 2009
This is the only sensible comment I could see. But will it happen, that is the billion Rs question. But for the sake of country these parties should come together to from a strong government and should discourage regional and personal parties which is core reason for uncertinity and increasing curruption in our country. These small parties with vested personal interest of some individuals are really pulling down the country. In this process main parties i.e Congress and BJP is alo diluting its principle and policies to grab power by alligning with these small parties.Congress and BJP should come together and should amend the constitution debarring small regional parties from participating Lok Sabha elections.Two or three parties at State level and Central level should be recognised to take part in elections to improve the quality of house and to curb politically encouraged curruption,
at 10:49 on May 13th, 2009
we want a prime minister elected by the people of india, not by the so called first family of our nation
at 11:30 on May 13th, 2009
Opinion poll suggested Approx 200 Seats for both NDA and UPA
My Opinion is that NDA will get Clear Majority
BJP 200
NDA 274
at 16:48 on May 13th, 2009
NDA will get more seats but may not get majority, it needs to take some more parties from 3rd front. ADMK ally from TN will join.
at 10:07 on May 15th, 2009
srini i think bjp will get almost 200 seats and together with alliance 274
at 11:43 on May 13th, 2009
Great job on this Ravi as always.
at 11:47 on May 13th, 2009
Do we want the Prime Minister Like Manmohan Singh who is not clear when he speak any language, Can Not Take Decisions, Allow the terrorist activities with its International Policy,Does not have good team,Even he does not waive the hand properly to audiance.
I mean comparing him and his team with todays world it looks very odd to me
Why talking secularism always when it is not at the ground level anywhere in india like the rascism in US is no more now.
We need dedicated people to run the country like Modi, Arun Jaitely, Advani, Rajnath Singh , etc
at 12:04 on May 13th, 2009
no congress nda will come back to power.....advaniji is the strongest primeminister....
at 21:14 on May 13th, 2009
At 80+ Advani is strongest! I saw he even can't walk at normal space and want to run country like india!He has only one dream ,to become prime minister! that's all.We need Young and energetic with new and fresh ideas to run and improve the economic and health of the nation.
at 10:42 on May 14th, 2009
compare advani and manmohan
Why Manmohan not contesting election?
who is good orator?
who is clear?
who needs written paper of someones else to give speech?
advani dedicated whole life for india whereas manmohan was professor before some years
manmohan is like a statue while advani is very active