Iowa Caucus 2012: Check Here for Results
Iowa Caucus 2012: GOP Primary in Full Swing
The Iowa Caucus gets underway on January 3, 2012, kicking Election 2012 into full swing. Barack Obama has no real challengers in the Democratic side, so expect "Iowa Caucus" and "Iowa Republican Caucuses" to be reported interchangeably.
As they emerge, you can find the Iowa Caucus results below:
When Does the Iowa Caucus Start?
The Iowa Caucus starts at 7pm CT (5pm PT/8pm ET) on January 3, 2012.
Iowa Caucus Republican Candidates
The Republicans competing in the Iowa Caucus are:
- Rick Perry
- Jon Huntsman
- Newt Gingrich
- Mitt Romney
- Rick Santorum
- Michele Bachmann
- Ron Paul
Going into the Iowa Caucus, roughly 40% of voters are undecided.
How the Iowa Caucus Works
Voters gather at locations central to Iowa's 1,774 voting precincts.
After hearing pitches from representatives of each candidate, anyone who will be 18 by Election Day 2012 can fill out a blank form for the candidate of their choice. These forms are counted by each party, which then reports their caucus results to the media.
These votes are non-binding: for example, if you vote for Mitt Romney in the Iowa Caucus, you can then vote for Ron Paul or Rick Perry in the actual election.
Is the Iowa Caucus Accurate?
The Iowa Caucus has been fairly accurate in recent years: keep in mind that the caucus should be measured for its accuracy in determining a party's nominee, and not for predicting the next President of the United States.
However, the process requires around two hours of a voter's time, and those with hard commitments can't spend hours in a meeting room. As such, the Iowa Caucus favors political junkies and party zealots, rather than casual (or undecided) voters. Roughly 1/5 of Iowa's Republican voters tend to participate in the Iowa Caucus.
Since 1992, the Iowa Caucus has correctly predicted 8 out of 10 nominees: 4 Republicans and 4 Democrats. We should probably record that as 5 out of 7, because George H.W. Bush (1992), Bill Clinton (1996), and George W. Bush (2004) ran unopposed in their respective caucuses.
Something to keep in mind as CNN, Fox News, and others get into a froth over the Iowa Caucus:
andrewphelps: Iowa is <1% of the U.S. population. Of that 1%, some are voting adults. Of those, some are Republicans. Of those, some are voting tonight.
As an aside, Rick Santorum got a soft endorsement from Rupert Murdoch. Do you think that will help or hurt him?