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Liberals lead Conservatives in polls - Margin of Error?

by Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke | June 18, 2009 at 04:12 am

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A new EKOS poll is out this morning giving the Liberals a slight edge over the Conservatives if an election was called tomorrow. The poll gives the Liberals 33.7%, while the Conservatives have 32.4%. This is well within the margin of error. The NDP has 16.4% support, Green Party 9% and the Bloc 8.4%.

This, to some extent might explain the results of meetings between Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Michael Ignatieff, Leader of the Liberal Party of Canada. Michael Ignatieff agreed to support Stephen Harper's spending estimate on Friday, avoiding an election this summer.

The Liberals have maintained a razor-thin lead over the Conservatives across the country, while also opening up substantial leads in Ontario and Quebec in a week that threatened to plunge Canada into a summer election, according to a new poll from EKOS released exclusively to CBC News.

Asked which party they would support if a federal election were held tomorrow, 33.7 per cent of respondents opted for Michael Ignatieff's Liberals, while 32.4 per cent chose Stephen Harper's Conservatives, EKOS said.

The Liberal numbers are a drop from the 35 per cent support reported in a similar EKOS poll conducted last week.

About 16.3 per cent supported the NDP, while the Green party was the choice of nine per cent and the Bloc Québécois was backed by 8.4 per cent.

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evamoly

at 07:09 on June 18th, 2009

Micheal Ignatieff enjoys overall a good popularity, as he has shown to have a strong personality and good judgement. Prime Minister Harper, on the other hand, while he had a good reputation during his first mandate, has accumulated gaffes that has made him lose Quebec, and losing Quebec always mean Ontario and Vancouver Island are soon to be lost as well.

sivakaran

at 09:03 on June 18th, 2009

Ignatieff addressed the nation on EI (and the meeting with PM) as though he was in charge of things.

Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

at 12:07 on June 18th, 2009

Prime Minister Harper certainly has lost Quebec over the culture issue and he is also losing ground in Ontario. The question now is, in Quebec, will the Liberals be able to cash in on the lost Harper popularity or will the BLOC be able to edge them out.