The Lybian Mistake

by ishambat | July 16, 2011 at 11:28 pm
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When NATO began bombing Lybia a few months ago, I knew that this was a miscalculation.


While there are many Lybians who hate Qaddafi, there are many others who love him. Lybia is the richest country in the region, second in Africa in per-capita terms only to the tiny Equatorial Guinea. Further, Qaddafi had made moves toward reconciliation with the West over the last few years. So that while he is a dictator, he is far from the worst leader out there, and to suddenly start bombing Lybia was a mistake.


Perhaps there can be moves made for him to have to allow unbiased elections. That may be the only solution to the quagmire. As it is now, there are Lybian forces and people who are rallying behind Qaddafi, and what seemed like a short-term battle is turning into what looks like a long and wrenching entanglement.

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matt  stefanovich

verbally very nicely put, Ilia. as always, very rational and lucid article. yet I disagree with you..  it mind sound a bit bizarre from a political science kind of person, but I watched a greek mythology tale yesterday- it was filled with good hollywood actors. When we look at this Lybian conflict or war through the eyes of ancient Greeks, not only through judeo-christian perspective, human rights, etc..., it still a just war. Ancient Greeks would propably think , that this war is not only just, but clever. maybe Odysseus would prepare some Trojan horse, which we {and French and British} do not have right now. some arguments : Kaddafi is a murderous dictator, yet unlike Mubarak he killed people also on European continent-Berlin and Lockerbie. {which made a lot of europeans angry}. He started shooting also his own people. He is believed to be mentally unstable {he is not alone, but he is the leader}. He threatened to destroy oil fields and burn the oil reserves. imagine, that Saudi Arabia would make threats like that....  my personal belief is, that oil reserves are here to serve many countries, not one person.  the last argument : Kaddafis Lybia is almost an underbelly of Europe, very close to Sicily. Its natural , that european powers want to have peace and order in their direct neighborhood. that is clever and I think Odysseus would approve that.   If Britain or France would push forward a war in Sudan, well, that would be a different story. I am not saying, that Lybia after kaddafi would be a nice place to stay, but I deeply understand the motives of european allies.

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matt  stefanovich

small correction- Mubarak victimized a lot of people, but he was in no way murderous dictator. I want to correct myself. he was an autocrat with strong ties to the West.

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