Maintaining a target for terror in Iraq

by YankeeJim | November 22, 2011 at 06:21 am
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Iraq | Photo 18

Iraq | Photo 18

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Foreign Weapon Sales

That’s how I read it. Americans left behind in Iraq will be hotly pursued not only by terrorist insurgents, Taliban, Iranian bad actors, and disgruntled Iraqi soldiers and police – all combined.

Walter Pincus notes in his story, it’s really all about $8 billion in foreign weapon sales that boosts the GDP.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/usmilitary-presence-will-continue-in-iraq/2011/11/18/gIQAJAWBjN_story.html?wpisrc=nl_fedinsider


“U.S.military presence will continue in Iraq

By Walter Pincus, Published: November 21

The last 24,000 U.S. troops are scheduled to leave Iraq in the next few weeks so that most can be home before Christmas.

The departure is required by the 2008 Iraq-U.S. Status of Forces Agreement signed by Iraq Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and then-President George W. Bush and approved by the Iraqi parliament, giving it the status of law.

Meanwhile, don’t believe those agonized voices on Capitol Hill complaining that “having won the war” President Obama is “about to lose the peace” because he didn’t negotiate well enough with Maliki to allow 10,000 to 15,000 U.S. troops to remain.

There will be a U.S. military presence. The Office of Security Cooperation (OSC), operating under the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, will have several hundred military personnel, and at least an equal number or more U.S. contractors, who will work with Iraqi security forces. Ongoing negotiations with Iraq about OSC activities will determine exact staffing numbers.

Normally, such an office would focus on training for the $8 billion in equipment that Iraq has purchased from U.S. companies. Under current plans, the OSC will do much more.

Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, described the other roles Tuesday at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing. He called the OSC in Iraq “a relatively small training and advisory contingent” that “will advise the ISF [Iraq Security Forces] in closing their capability gaps, assist in the expansion of their training programs, and facilitate their procurement of new equipment.”

Once the OSC agreement is completed, Dempsey said, other negotiations will determine “what exactly are additional areas where we can be of assistance, what level of trainers do they need, what can we do with regards to CT [counterterrorism] operations, what will we do on exercises, joint exercises.”

Working out of the embassy and 10 military bases, “We will be embedded with them as trainers not only tactically, but also at the institutional level,” Dempsey said.

Iraq has purchased 140 M1 Abrams tanks, and OSC personnel will stay at the base in Besmaya, east of Baghdad, where there is a tank gunnery range. Iraq will be responsible for the base’s outer perimeter security, Dempsey said, adding, “We’ll have contracted security on the inner perimeter,” where the OSC people will live.

OSC people will partner with 4,500 Iraqi special forces troops, with some working out of their counterterrorism headquarters. Dempsey said current discussions focus on OSC personnel continuing to train these units where they “would stay inside the wire [the base outer perimeter] of places where this counterterror force is located, not go with them on missions . . . [but] continue to train them to go on missions.”

Dempsey said the Iraqi security forces “are extraordinarily good . . . at closing onto a particular [terrorist] target when the target is identified for them . . . generally through human intelligence.” He said they lack “the ability to fuse [signal and human] intelligence. . . and identify a network” and the OSC will have “a cadre of trainers to continue to build that capability and close the gap.””


 

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batvette

While I tend to agree with your (implied or alluded to) point that it's going to suck to be one of those lonely outnumbered US troops in Iraq, I think it's a bit naive to make a big deal or villify the US over weapons sales to Iraq.

The weapons industry worldwide is huge and America is generally a bit player and a lot more selective about who we furnish to. Recalling the runup to operation Iraqi freedom lots of people were making noise about US being the ones to have armed Saddam, the reality of which being that the US contribution to Iraq's arms procurement during Saddam's rule was 1/2 of 1 percent, hardly significant. See:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SIPRI_Arms_Transfers_Database,_Iraq_1973%E2%80%931990

(note the "coincidence" of his vastly larger suppliers in France, Russia and China were the biggest opponents of forced action against him)

What is there to gain by supplying Iraq weapons, just cash in the pockets of US defense contracters? Hardly, there is a strategic value in the interest of all Americans. Let's face it, we are in the middle east because of oil and it's disingenuous to believe that will end soon. While many oil importers such as the US would like to get off foreign oil, the harder they try the more the remaining oil ends up being concentrated in  the middle east. By 2020 the five nations including and bordering Iraq will have 2/3 of the world's proven conventional reserves. 2/3 of our needs must be imported. We need to be as cozy with them as we can.

Supplying Iraq with weapons keeps them as our friends because they will need spare parts and technical support for those weapons. Look what happened to Iran's Tomcat fleet when they made us a hostile entity. 79 aircraft delivered by the time of the overthrow at a cost of $2 billion in 1974 dollars, rendered almost useless with a handful of kills against the Iraqis. They've actually manufactured some of their own parts but it's probably for the sake of appearances, getting an airframe in the air is a far cry from having one with an operational fire control system and reliable ordnance.

So what we're doing is crazy, like a fox! Keeping our foot in a door we need to be in.

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