TruemorsPolitisite Exit Polls, Real Time Election Results, Breaking News & Commentary from North Carolina & Indiana
May 6, 2008
by Albert N. Milliron, Iron Mill Interactive Media Inc. & Politisite.com
Hello all you pundits, politicos, politstes, pollsters, politisites, political junkies, and casual political readers. Your at the right place for exit polling data that is beginning to leak from North Carolina & Indiana. We will start with brining you that coverage first.
Later, tonight when the polls close we will bring you real time election results right from the North Carolina & Indiana election department of the Secretary of States offices.
We often receive chatter from the campaigns, sometimes called leaks to the press. Politisite has sources in both campaigns so you will be sure to hear some of those stories here first. We suggest you check back several times during the night as we will be providing updates every few minutes following the close of the polls.
If there is any problems at any of the polling stations, those reports are a matter of public record. if any legal action takes place, you will hear that here as well.
Our extensive satellite equipment is on line for this primary. We will provide video as it unfolds from on scene
The Politisite Bottom line is that you should keep NowPublic and Politisite Blogs in Que for updates throughout the night until all of the results are in. You are at the Nets HOT SPOT for all of North Carolina & Indiana's election coverage
4:07 pm - Clinton's victory rally a the Murat ballroom in Indianapolis. Obama at the coliseum in Raleigh, N.C. We will have video From Raleigh in a few hours.
3:37 pm - The Charolotte Observer has this to say about turn out in NC and early voting demographics
3:53 pm - John Edwards will not give his endorsement to either of the candidates.
What doesn't he like about Clinton? "Um, still a lot of the old politics," John Edwards said.
As for Obama, he says: "Sometimes I want to see more substance under the rhetoric."
3:48 pm -
72 delegates will be divided by Clinton and Obama.
We expect Hillary Clinton to carry this state handily but the voters may have other ideas on their mind. As has been noted by our brilliant commenters on various election threads, Indiana is not that much different from Ohio or Pennsylvania demographically speaking.
As we await the Democrat primary results, see the final campaign videos thanks to Joe Gandelman at the Moderate Voice who can always be counted on for brilliant analysis
We will give you the data and make the call before any of the major news sources. They will keep you hanging for ratings, while we will give you the facts just as early as they are known.
Here are the polls on election eve:
3:32 pm - A late Zogby tracking poll came out with Obama with a 2.3% point lead in Indiana. Zogby was right on in PA giving clinton a 10 point lead. We disagree with most pundits and pollsters, We think that Obama will win NC with a 6.5% lead rather than the 12+ pollsters views. We think Clinton will win with 7 points in Indiana. If Obama pulls at a win in Indiana, the pressure for Clinton will be very high. We thing tonight will be a stale mate.
3:24 pm - The Fix Gives Exit Poll advise
Don't Trust the Early Exits: Exit polling is supposed to stay secret until the polls close but, let's be honest, that ain't happening. Remember that when you start seeing exit numbers shortly after 5 p.m. These are incomplete numbers based on interviews done early in the day. The last several sets of early exits in places like Pennsylvania and Ohio have drastically underweighted Sen. Clinton's ultimate showings. Although the television networks use exit polling as part of their calculation in calling races, the true value of it is in understanding the shape and look of the electorate after the fact.
3:18 pm - Rush Limbaugh encourages Republicans to vote in the Democratic Primary for Senator Clinton may skew results.
The so-called commander of "Operation Chaos", Limbaugh has been exhorting his conservative listeners to "muddy the waters of the Democrat (sic) primary" by casting votes for Senator Clinton. Although not normally seen as a real ally of the Clinton's, Limbaugh feels that blood needlessly spilled by Democrats furthers the cause he champions. By that cause I don't mean OxyContin for himself and other elites, but rather the continued polarization of the United States. Within this polarized environment Limbaugh can likely attain the ultimate goal of his soul mate, Grover Norquist, who has said he wants to not kill government, but "shrink it in size to the point it can be drowned in a bathtub". Or in Mrs.Clinton case, the "kithcen sink"?
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