NP Rank:
Quantitative Easing Explained
The FED started this week with Quantitative Easing (QE) that certainly shall speed up the evidence of further decline.
I wrote about this in one of my previous articles. QE will weaken the dollar and its potential as reserve currency, the beginning of the end for a downfall of the US-Empire as world power.
For a better understanding: QE means that the Central bank (FED) expands the money supply by using newly, electronically, created money instead of printing it, to buying toxic assets from banks and other financial institutions. The aim is to boost the economy by giving sellers of these toxic assets money to spend on goods, services or ‘better’ assets.
Why this new spending spree? The answer may be that the Fed and its policymakers are concerned that the previous deluge of money to improve credit conditions not were sufficient to get consumers back to their shopping habit, more precise the old routine ‘shop till you drop’!
In spite of this even a child will understand that adding more water to an inundated country can not make it dry. So why more money when there is already too much?
The hope is to revitalize the economy by restarting shopping sprees, which won’t happen. QE is just another nail in the coffin of the economy it speeds up the downfall of the dollar as reserve currency. Let’s hope when more people in authority start to understand what is happening a political shift toward something else will begin.
It is reminded that this is not a recession but depression so not reviving but restructuring is required. This QE medicine prescribed by the FED kills the patient in this event it steers the badly needed economic recovery away!
In the 18th century it was John Law, under the name of ‘Banque General de France’, who bought up the debt of France, in a similar experiment of this scale that was followed in England soon after, known as the South Sea bubble. It worked similar in that the bank substituted pieces of (worthless) stock in the South Sea Company for government debt.
When those debt buy-up schemes were put in place in the 18th century, at first their stock rose. John Law's shares were a great hit. Shares in the South Sea Company, meanwhile, went up 10 times in a single year. As earlier in the 1630s with the TULPOMANIA in Holland thousands of people, from the wealthiest merchants to the lowliest street traders were caught up in a frenzy of buying and selling. The object of the speculation was not oil or gold, but the tulip bulb, a delicate and exotic bloom that just had arrived from the East. Over the period of three years rare tulip bulbs changed hands for sums that would have bought a house in Amsterdam a piece. Fortunes were made overnight, and then lost when within a year the market collapsed, with similar disastrous consequences as we do face today.
Until now all the bailouts and stimulus plans haven't worked. The problem still is debt, not liquidity. Buying up the securities of Fannie and Freddie, the Fed will lower the cost of mortgage debt. This will give homeowners an opportunity, most probably the last one in their lifetime, to refinance their houses at lower interest rates. In the short run, if the homeowner is able to refinance at a lower rate, he reduces his monthly cash-flow burden and frees up cash for other things as paying down his credit card debt. In the long run, if he's able to lock-in those lower rates, he will almost certainly see the debt burden itself significantly be eased as a result of rising inflation.
In that event the prudent savers see their savings and interest income melt away!
Nothing else for us boondoggles to do as Wait and See, prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
Crowd Power
-
PIM of SPAIN
San Pedro de A, Malaga, Spain








Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (10)
at 06:53 on March 20th, 2009
This move was predicted last year already. It is a way for the US to get out of its deficit since all its I ow you are in US dollar. This way the US wont have to pay back China, Germany, Japan just to name its main creditors. But does stock them with the burden and simply wound pay back the money owed. Very clever and very unethical yet some would say very American as well. Many feared they would do that.
at 08:34 on March 20th, 2009
Yes Paschen my dear friend, you are completely right, this already was long ago USA's intention, not clever, well unethical if you have been appointed the to be World's Treasurer and guardian to maintain the currency system running.
It wonders me that China, Japan and Germany not have dumped their holdings quietly and slowly. They are scared to death, because the moment they start to do that en mass the dollar and likely many more of the world currencies are probably nowhere talking about value. The world is becoming like Zimbabwe!
The first thing to do at G20 next month is to discharge the USA as world's Treasurer, and replace the system with a basket of major currencies, so that no country on its own can manipulate the world currency system. But that might be a long way off, because no one has the courage and the brains. The only one with brains and courage in charge is in my opinion Germany's Angela Merkel.
at 09:19 on March 20th, 2009
I don't think this is a good idea at all; we already have delusions about money from credit and debit cards, electronic money will only make things worse, not better.
at 09:54 on March 20th, 2009
amyjudd, I don't understand what you mean with electronic money. The fed has two ways to increase the money supply. 1. by printing on paper and 2. electronically that they apply for QE. In general both ways are diluting the value of the dollars in your pocket and/or savings. All money transfers are electronically executed, 'hard' currency doesn't exist anymore after Mr. Nixon cut loose the dollar-gold basis.
at 09:58 on March 20th, 2009
Electronic money - money we never hold in our hands or see or touch so it is easier to pretend that it's not real money and doesn't have to be accounted for. I'm not talking in terms of banks or governments, I'm talking about peoples' personal cash flow.
at 10:57 on March 20th, 2009
I follow you now, although the money system is basically all electronic, your CC and DC, bank statements, etc. It converts in (paper and coins) cash the moment you go to the teller in the bank and put it in yr wallet.
at 11:06 on March 20th, 2009
That's true - I know that when I use my debit card I feel like I am not spending money, but when I take money out of my purse it feels like I am actually spending it - silly really... :)
at 11:10 on March 20th, 2009
I just received the following press review, which confirms more or less the content of my above article:
About QE: "This is a very powerful and aggressive move," said the chief economist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp., speaking with Bloomberg Television. "One of the reasons I've been arguing we won't have a depression if we've got a Fed chairman who understands the problem and is going to come with the right diagnosis and the right medicine."
Bloomberg continues: "With the purchases of Treasuries and housing debt, Bernanke is effectively using the Fed's powers to print money and aim it where he and other officials believe it will have the greatest impact in lowering borrowing costs."
What do we know? Maybe Ben Bernanke will be able to do what no central banker has ever done before: put in just the right amount of inflation...not too much, not too little. In the past, they tended to overdo it. There are not many examples. France, England and America in the 18th century. Practically no examples we know of in the 19th century (they'd learned their lesson!). And in the 20th century - only marginal countries...or countries with nothing left to lose...engaged in 'quantitative easing.' Germany did it in the 1920s, because of her war reparations burden was greater than she could sustain. Argentina did it in the 1980s, because it owed too much money to too many foreigners. And Zimbabwe did it in 2003-2009, for reasons of its own.
at 06:28 on March 22nd, 2009
PIM, what would you suggest investing in that will retain at least some value? I don't want to start hoarding gold bullion, but looks to be about all one can do...
at 06:46 on April 3rd, 2009
Hi tlreed, there is little left to invest in, but one of the few sound investments could be food, like Nestle or Unilever, further in oil Royal Dutch at least they pay a reasonable dividend.