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PIM of SPAIN | August 18, 2009 at 04:02 am
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The economy is still sinking, but stocks are rising. Germany, France, Hong Kong and Japan are out of the woods their respective recessions have ended. Even so, everybody believes the worst is over and that stocks ought to continue on their lunar trajectory. The stimulus is working, they say. The problem is not that anyone believes this, but just that everyone believes in it. It is deluded group thinking on a massive scale.
Britain is arguably saddled with the worst public finances of any major nation, thanks to voracious spending in recent years and to borrowing that is growing faster than other developed nations. Britain is so heavily indebted that it is dubbed “Iceland-on-Thames”, suggesting Britain could follow that nation into bankruptcy.
When Britain pilfered $30 billion from their future generations to pay for their present day financial depression, Prime Minister Gordon Brown was on hand to offer his justification of the theft.
“We now have a unique opportunity to do, in a 21st-century way, what was done in the 20th century by the New Deal," Brown said. "As they built roads and bridges to create the infrastructure for the years ahead, we can use this period of adjustment to build both the technological base and human capital to equip us for the opportunities ahead.”
‘The New Deal’ construed by Herbert Hoover when President of the USA to resolve the 1930s Great Depression.
Politicians like Brown encourage the stealing from the future in order to pay for the roads to get there. The problem is, it’s not Brown’s money to spend. It must be borrowed. Rarely during these “periods of adjustment” does the concept of paying for one’s own road even enter the public dialogue? And why would it? The victims of this crime are not even born yet to defend their property. Sadly, Britain is not the only fool in the mad rush off the cliff into the sea.
Perhaps you are inclined to ask how one might go about defending a system that allows for stealing from the unborn generation? Surely no moral argument could be found to support this crime, and surely no moral man would attempt to excuse it. Politicians however, morally absent as they are, are of course exempt from such inconvenient restriction.
“Vice President Joe Biden infamously warned that doing nothing would lead to sure-fire catastrophe. Unemployment would rise above 8%, said he, - which now is already 9.5% - unless the government promptly dispensed hundreds of billions of as-yet-unearned dollars to corporate America’s Walking Dead.” And so, in an environment fraught with fear, the stimulus bill was passed. Unemployment will probably pass 10% by year’s end.
Where does the
government’s intervention fit in all of this? Did stealing a few hundred billion dollars from World’s future generations help to avert catastrophe today, or merely help guaranteeing it will happen tomorrow? You hopefully may know the answer yourself!
Most RecentMost Recommended Comments (4)
at 05:58 on August 18th, 2009
We also steal from our "selves" when we buy on credit and do not pay it off right away. My Dad was right when he told us the new little farmers coming in building their big houses and buying too much machinery were going to implode. He hated credit cards.
We have a lot of " adult children" spending. They cannot wait or accept what is. I know business has to borrow to make money but there should be time limits
I talked with a "big" farmer that used to fish at my dad's place .He said he missed the dock to which I replied, I am surprised you did not buy when he sold? He said , oh I could not afford that kind of money! My Dad ended up owning his land Many others are living at the edge losing their land to rent if they can afford to own machinery. The farmers are few now that own the farms....struggling to keep existing from the cost of machinery, Monsanto.
Overspending is a result of ...bottomline perhaps..(in most cases ).................addiction
When did it start that one could borrow without something to back it up?!
at 07:03 on August 18th, 2009
QueensHart a very wise experience you described. I like the lessons your father taught you and hopefully many others. For consumptive purchases the basic still is never spend until you have the money saved to spend. This was taught to me, and I taught it my children. Only borrow when you can make an investment to generate more production and consequently profit. In business a loan is viable if the business plan is sound and shows the loan can be paid back in a set period of time. Otherwise quit the idea and find something else to generate a profit. This old habit unfortunately is forgotten.
Stimuli do not help the economy. It is like replacing broken windows, or crushed cars, it takes resources away from some other uses. This unseen effect is actually greater than the seen effect - the improved market for new cars. Lured by phony price information, buyers send phony signals to the rest of the economy. The automakers produce more cars than they need. Steel, which might have gone to refrigerators is used for car doors. Oil, which might have been used to generate electricity, is used to stamp out fenders.
Savings, that might have been invested in new industries, go to prop up an old ones. Stupid when you read this, but the truth is that governments apply this policy to save their reelction, in what they think is saving lost jobs. The old American spirit is gone these days! This mirrors your "big" farmer experience. If he had been a wisely investor he could have bought the place.
at 08:13 on August 18th, 2009
So, the Brits are in denial about this. When does the "bankruptcy" begin?
at 09:07 on August 18th, 2009
Its difficult to say Roy, because people turning bankrupt won't tell you in advance. But it's very much a likely scenario.