US and Israeli ATTACK on Iran is INEVITABLE!

OPINION

Today in G8 summit in picturesque island of Hokkaido in Japan the President of America and the leader of the most powerful club George W Bush recorded his noble message for those who come after us on a wishing tree.  “I wish for a world free from tyranny: the tyranny of hunger, disease; and free from tyrannical governments. I wish for a world in which the universal desire for liberty is realised,” Bush wrote.  How touching Mr President!  But isn’t he, the leader of free world, already waging two failed wars on money borrowed from Japan and China and his administration and Israeli’s are currently designing another Middle East war.     <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Since the US invasion and occupation of Iraq we have been hearing this phrase: ‘It’s the Oil, Stupid!’ and we will be hearing it for many years to come.  Indeed it was for only one reason and one reason only; to secure future oils for America.  As I write this paper there is a deal that is taking shape between Iraq’s Oil Minister and Four major Western oil companies: Exxon Mobil, Shell, Total and BP.  A deal that will handicap the Iraqi population from taking part in the role of determining the future of their country’s resources.

Why these Western oil companies? Because Iraq’s oil is the second largest in the world and it is imperative that Iraq remains under the control of US planners.  So, we now and always knew that the primary goal of the invasion was for oil, despite all the pretexts about the Weapon of Mass Destruction, Saddam’s link with Al Qaeda and so on.

Therefore the whole invasion is a war crime and differs from other war crimes for the sole reason that it includes all the evil that follows.  And one thing is for certain, in the presidential campaign this is one topic you shouldn’t expect to be conversed about. 

After all this, America is planning another war with Israel on Iran and this prospect is rising by the minute as the Bush’s exit of the White House nears.

Yesteryear, US intelligence and UN arms inspectors informed Bush administration that there is no evidence Iran is working on nuclear weapons and that its nuclear enrichment programme is merely for civilian use.

But President Bush doesn’t stop there, he recently told Israel's Prime Minister Ehud Olmert that he no longer trusts what the US intelligence says and from now on (5 month to go) will rely on Israel's intelligence agency, Mossad.  Mossad is very critical on Iran, and who can blame them after what Iran said about them, and claims Iran is within 18 months of developing nuclear weapons.  But then again, they have been making these claims for the past eight years.  And the question we should be asking is this: what could a war on Iran lead by US and Israel bring?

Well, if this attack is about stopping Iran’s plans of developing nuclear weapons then they will have to use nuclear weapons to destroy its deeply buried nuclear facilities.  But if Iran is attacked then they would certainly speed up its process and produce nuclear weapons. 

But what Iran could do in its counterattack?  Iran would close on the Gulf areas specially Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait where oil exports pass and endeavour to halt oil passing through.  They would also heavily mine the waterway and attack US tankers and warships near its coastlines.  But there is one area Iran could be venerable of and that is the sky, because its air force is so badly equipped they can hardly fly let alone attack Israel.

But the Revolutionary Guards could attack US forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and damage US bases in Kuwait, Pakistan, Bahrain and so on. 

Hezbollah in Lebanon would most likely, on behalf of Iran, shower northern Israel with rockets as it did in 2006.

So what this war could do to the current fragile world economy?  Well, the oil could soar to $500 per barrel, gold could soar to unpredictable heights and global financial markets would most certainly tumble. 

We all know that wars are incalculable and therefore are full of nasty surprises, and good example is Iraq, people are dying daily from both sides.  Currently the US military is strained to breaking point physically and financially and I don’t think they can face paying for a third battle that could drag on for years if not decades.  And would most certainly derail the ongoing peace talks in Middle East and vanish it in the thin air