"Weapons of Mass Destruction" and "Climate Change"

uploaded by forthebetta November 22, 2008 at 01:04 pm
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"Weapons of Mass Destruction" and "Climate Change" by forthebetta

    Before I begin, I should mention that I'm not a Republican or Democrat.  I didn't vote, and I'll still complain because it's my right to.  I was disappointed that our only (real) choices were McCain and Obama.  I would have been happier with Ron Paul against Hillary Clinton, but it's over now, and we have Obama coming into office in January, and I wish him luck.  His good oratory skills will definitely help him rationalize any unpopular decisions, which he is bound to do at some point.
    I'll now start with Saddam Hussein's "Weapons of Mass Destruction" which Bush used as reason to invade Iraq.  Saddam Hussein was not a terrorist.  He was not a radical Islamist, and in fact protected the Christian minority.  Since 2003 there has been a slow genocide of these same Christians he once protected.  Before the Ba'ath Party, back when Iraq was a monarchy, Baghdad was a fairly safe and flourishing city, with Muslims, Christians, and Jews all living together without any serious problems.  The Jews mostly went to Israel after its creation, and the Christians have only started leaving in large numbers in the last five years.  My point is that Saddam Hussein, although ruthless against the idea of Kurdish Independance or Shi'ite majority taking over, he kept the country together.
    Bush went into Iraq with seemingly good intentions.  He wanted to stop a ruthless dictator from obtaining "Weapons of Mass Destruction" that he may have had, but was still not a threat to America, either way.  Of course we all know it was about oil.  It's the reason "why" he wanted to remove a dictator which we have a problem with.  Politicians today simply cannot tell the full truth, for many different reasons depending on the situation.  It was Orwell who once wrote, "In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act."
    Now I will move on to Obama, where I see a parallel between Bush's "Weapons of Mass Destruction" and Obama's "Climate Change."  I hate to criticize him before he even comes into office, but I feel that people need this warning.  Like Bush's supposed intentions of removing a dictator, Obama wants to change the way we obtain energy.  It's a good thing to reduce pollution, so obviously his intentions seem good.  The reason "why" is what I have a problem with.  Like Bush's Iraqi-oil in the name of "Weapons of Mass Destruction", Obama will be able to control energy in the name of "Climate Change," and both of their intentions seem good, at the time.
    I was once a believer that the world is warming and humanity is doomed if we don't stop our greenhouse gas emmisions.  Then I began studying climate change professionally, and found that, even if the earth's temperature rose a couple degrees over the past hundred years, that is insignificant compared to changes of ten or twenty degrees in a few decades, which have happened naturally during the earth's long history.  A couple degrees change over a hundred years time is extremely stable, and there is no reason to call it a "crisis" which is definitely "man-made," without real proof, enough to convince someone skeptical.
    Like I said, I think it's a good thing to reduce pollution sometimes, just like it's a good thing to remove a dictator sometimes.  It's the reason "why" that bothers me.  Obama has a lot of good characteristics, and he'll probably end up to be an okay president, with some inevitable disappointment, but I feel  the "Man-Made Climate Change" threat will be remembered in a similar way to Saddam's supposed "Weapons of Mass Destruction."

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Title: "Weapons of Mass Destruction" and "Climate Change"
File Size: 914 × 578 – 100.47 KB

Created: Sat, 11/22/2008 - 1:04pm
Modified: Sat, 11/22/2008 - 1:04pm

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Adam Purple

You've drawn an interesting parallel between an actual war in Iraq and a potential one against man-made climate change.  But with regard to your statements on global warming, I don't think the issue is actually whether or not the climate has shown natural and large scale variations over time, or whether or not the changes we are seeing now are comparatively dramatic.  Both questions continue to be the subject of furious debate on the internet, but I think those arguments miss the point.

Rather, I think the important issue is that the climate is changing, measurably, on the scale of a human lifetime.  And though the changes may be small in comparison to the Earth's climate history, even small, localized changes--a degree or two of average temperature, an inch or two of average rainfall, a small percentage change in cloud cover and sunshine--all can have dramatic effects on human industry, agriculture, and lives. 

We are not doomed because of climate change.  But for everyone who welcomes a milder winter, there are more who will have lost their livelihoods--due to the lack of snow, the lowered water tables, the altered growing seasons, the ruined farmland or coastline, the increased energy costs, the lost tourism--simply because change, any change, will be disruptive to those who are banking on true stability and predictability.  In the developed world, we will likely use our wealth to adapt to the changes.  In the poorest parts of the world, adaption may only come at the cost of increased suffering.

In short, I would agree that the hype about climate change being a cataclysmic event is overblown.  But I do think it's real, currently man-made, and likely to have some painful impacts on all of us.

 

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Fairbanks

Our mild winter sits at -8 now.  It has been -19 to +14 for two months.  Mostly on the minus side of zero.  Summer didn't show up this year, nor last year.  Last winter seemed fairly typical with several sessions of -40.  Sunspot number 0, for those who have any sun.   

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