What will Obama Jobs Summit amount to?

by Susan Marie Kovalinsky | December 3, 2009 at 07:13 am
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In Washington,  Obama et al  have been  under increasing  pressure,  both from a restless and fearful public,  and from Republicans,   to take some decisive and definite action to fix the sputtering economy.  

President Barack Obama ,  by talking job creation with business and labor leaders at the White House,  hopes to calm the fears and make himself look strong into the bargain.  

The Obama jobs summit is expected to draw various leaders and titans from the business world, from Google,  Disney,  and other companies,  and including city mayors,  representatives, and academics.  

Due to the focus on Afghanistan and Obamacare,  the White House has lacked a unified response to the economic crisis for the past several weeks.  But now that  unemployment has reached the  double digits for the first time in decades  -  between 10-17 %,  reports reveal  -    Democratic legislators are mulling over plans for  a second economic stimulus aimed directly at job creation. 

Indeed,  reading Elizabeth Warren's Huffington Post piece,  "America without a Middle Class"  reveals just how dire the jobs situation is becoming,  and where there is no decent employment there can be no middle class,  and hence no strong America.  

Administration officials are hoping Thursday's jobs forum, an Obama trip to Pennsylvania on Friday and a major economic speech on Tuesday will help counter Republican critics who contend the administration's economic recovery efforts have failed and its oversight of the $787 billion stimulus package has been inadequate.

At the jobs forum, Obama planned to defend his administration's handling of the economy and argue that it would be in far worse shape had Congress not passed the huge stimulus bill earlier this year. Under intense GOP attacks, public support for the stimulus effort has faded.

"I certainly hope it's more than a photo op," said the No. 2 House Republican, Rep. Eric Cantor of Virginia. "All of us want to do anything we can to get Americans back to work. Past history has been, with this White House, that there's been a lot of pomp and ceremony with very little follow-through in terms of delivering results."

Administration officials said they don't expect major policy announcements from the president, Vice President Joe Biden or members of the Cabinet who were scheduled to be on hand.

"Increasing employment is everyone's responsibility, from government to businesses to households," Obama economic adviser Larry Summers said in advance of the forum. "The White House jobs forum will take stock of where we are on the implementation of the Recovery Act and explore new job creation measures, including infrastructure investment, incentives for small businesses, developing our green economy and promoting U.S. exports."

The nation's unemployment rate is 10.2 percent, the highest since 1983. Some 15.7 million Americans are out of work. The average jobless worker has been unemployed for more than six months. These sobering statistics spell potentially serious trouble for Democrats in next year's midterm elections.

The recession technically may be over, but analysts say many of the jobs lost in the downturn probably will not return and high unemployment is likely to persist.

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2
Hugh Askew

"....with this White House, that there's been a lot of pomp and ceremony with very little follow-through in terms of delivering results."

Seems others are noticing as well.

4
Susan Marie Kovalinsky

No,  say it ain't so,  rng  -  the whole point of the election of Barack Obama was to end the 25 year divide of rich and poor, and to go back to the middle.  If that does not happen,  I intend on moving to Afghanistan.  

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Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

Gee Smokie and you bought that? 

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Susan Marie Kovalinsky

Ha,  thanks rng,  I will indeed begin my shopping, and Hugh, if I get stoned,  well,  my troubles will be over..... now need to book a flight ;)

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Hugh Askew

If you get stoned, you may have trouble finding the airport......  ;)

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Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

I understand there are a few available flights out of Camp Lajeune pretty soon, if you can stand being around a few Leatherneck Marines.

2
a211423

The rebound is slow, but the reasons might be more complicated than we realize.  We are on the cusp of a changing job market that is evolving from manufacturing/construction base to a more technological job market  addressing the needs of the 21st century versus the Detroit car manufacturing base that has stablized the job market in the past.  Digital and green technologies alone are moving to the front; however, it will take time for educational infrastructure to meet the demands of these technologies.  This is the intersection of education and technology. 

Tax credits to employers and the use of monies still set aside for banks will be on the discussion table to perhaps offer some immediate interventions.  We did not get to this place in one year, and I hope people realize that when discussing the demise of the middle class.  

Mark Zandi, an economist who advised Republican presidential nominee John McCain last year but now regularly confers with congressional Democrats, predicts that under current policies, unemployment — which stood at 7.6 percent when Obama took office in January — will peak at about 11 percent next summer and could still be as high as 10.5 percent by Election Day.

Slow job rebounds are a recent trend. Even though jobs returned relatively quickly after the deep recession that ended in November 1982, it was 14 months after the relatively mild one in 1992 and 24 months after the 2001 recession before job growth returned to pre-recession levels.

Why? U.S. companies are able to switch their activities to other parts of the world more easily and cut costs. Businesses globally are increasing productivity through automation and with information technologies. Engines of growth that helped pull the U.S. out of most recessions in the late 20th century — the U.S. auto industry and housing construction — aren't playing a role now.

"It's going to be tougher and tougher for the job market to come back," Zandi said.

1
Susan Marie Kovalinsky

A:  Thanks as always for your terrific info.  Yes,  it has taken a long time for this to come about,  and was happening even in the 80s and 90s.  Yes, and where indeed will the growth come from?  There in truth must be a focus on technology and the right kinds of jobs.  No going back to the past. 

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Susan Marie Kovalinsky

rng and ha:  Now i actually feel sad that I cannot really go....:(

1
a211423

You are welcome smk : )

You can go on a vacation, but I would stay out of war zones or countries with unstable governments or we might be seeing you in the news, and we don't want that.  Oh, and don't go hiking in the mountains near Iran or yachting in the Indian Ocean. : )

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Susan Marie Kovalinsky

Ha,  A,  I will heed your advice!  ; ) 

1
Spydermonkey

A, & rng are hitting the right points but....  We as a country will not be able to stay on top with "high tech jobs" without a well educated workforce to go with it.. Yes we need to encourage job growth, but we also need to improve our education system and keep collage affordable... like health care prolonged periods of price increases above the base rate of inflation keep more and more people from being able to afford any kind of collage.

I do know, I am there... I work full time, and take classes as I can, and now that my employer has stopped reimbursement for school (for everyone) my ability to continue classes is VERY limited...

Without progress you have stagnation, we as a country are, and have been stagnating for the last 10-20 years..(who wants to swim in a stagnate pond?)

2
Karl Gotthardt - albertacowpoke

Indeed,  reading Elizabeth Warren's Huffington Post piece,  "America without a Middle Class"  reveals just how dire the jobs situation is becoming,  and where there is no decent employment there can be no middle class,  and hence no strong America. 

Although I'm not a Huffington Post fan, that last paragraph of your story says it all. 

The jobs they're talking about, are not all college graduate jobs either.  I agree with snuffy that education is really important, but so is skills training as a combination of education and skill, i.e. formalized vocational training.

The problem in Canada and the US today is that our education is not planned to fill jobs available in the future.  Our population can't all be acadmics, lawyers, doctors or scientiests.  There is still room for Joe the Plumber and Harry the Carpenter. 

1
Hugh Askew

Agreed, cowboy. Problem is, plumbers are mostly sitting on the bench, ie; on the list at the union hall waiting for work. At least many are.  They, and the rest of the men that make a living in or near the construction industry, are in the same boat as everyone else. When others are out of work, they don't build new houses, or remodel, and they put off repairs that can wait - or do them themselves.

Furniture, carpet, paint, wallpaper, and appliance factories and warehouses, all wait for recovery. They are dependent on others having jobs, to fuel their industry. Others in turn are waiting for housing to recover, because they depend on sales of homes for their living.

All real simple in detail, real difficult in aggregate.


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snuffysmith

Well, I listened to his speech and was disappointed that all he did was summarize various proposals that were circulating among the attendees. And there was no discussion of changes in fiscal policy to encourage hiring.

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snuffysmith

Short answer: Not a hill of beans.

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First Flagged at 7:25 AM, Dec 3, 2009 by Hugh Askew
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